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NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 27

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

The NBA regular season continues with a jam packed 11-game slate this Tuesday -- headlined by a nationally televised doubleheader on TNT as 76ers vs Celtics takes center stage at 7:30 p.m. ET, followed by Rockets vs Thunder at 10:00 p.m. ET.

Let's dive into our NBA best bets and expert picks for Tuesday, February 27. Looking for more basketball? Check out our NBA odds.

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NBA Best Bets | Expert Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 27

76ers vs Celtics

by Michael Crosson

In their most recent outing, the Sixers never stood a chance in a home matchup against the Bucks. Philly went down 14 points in the first quarter of Sunday’s contest, and was never truly able to get back in the game after going to halftime trailing by a score of 69-48 en route to a 21-point loss.

Their latest performance wasn’t exactly a change of course for this Embiid-less Sixers team though. The Sixers are 4-10 in their last 14 games, while ranking 24th in offensive rating and 29th in defensive rating during that span – with over half of those losses coming by double-digits (7).

While on the opposite side of the spectrum, the Celtics have been the best team in the East from Day 1 this season, currently holding a 7.5-game lead over the entire conference in the win column. And they simply refuse to take their foot off the gas, highlighted by Boston yielding a league-best record of 26-6 since New Year’s Day, while ranking top-3 in both offensive and defensive rating during the timeframe.

Over the years, this Celtics team has been constructed to win games at the defensive end of the floor, and that’s exactly what they did early in the season. Boston still managed to post an impressive record of 14-4 through the month of November, despite ranking just 9th in scoring and offensive rating during that span.

Believe it or not though, the Celtics are more dangerous now than they’ve ever been in the Jayson Tatum era – and that’s saying something for a team that has reached five of the last seven Eastern Conference Finals.

Not only have the Celtics continued to succeed at the defensive end of the floor, but they’ve also blossomed into the most dangerous offense in basketball as well. Since December 1, the Celtics lead the entire NBA in scoring and offensive rating by a considerable margin, which is mainly thanks to the fact that they rank 4th in three-point percentage on the most attempts in the league over the last three months – 39% on 42.3 attempts per game.

With that in mind though, the total for this matchup opened below 230 due to the Sixers scoring 104 points or less in four straight games against the Heat, Knicks and Cavaliers – three teams that rank bottom-10 in the league in pace.

Prior to their last four games, however, the Sixers scored 119-plus points in five of seven contests to open February, while also surrendering 120-plus points in five of those affairs. So I think we’re destined to see Philly return to its high-scoring ways in Boston tonight, although it will still likely lead to another ugly loss.

Pick: Over 231.5 (-110)

Hornets vs Bucks

by ASA

Hornets @ Bucks Under 225.5 Total Points (-110)

We don't expect much scoring from either team tonight as both are in less than favorable scheduling situations. The Bucks are coming off a pair of big wins in Minnesota and Philadelphia and facing a Hornets team they recently beat 36.

Charlotte is coming off a 3-game Western Conference Road trip and playing their 4th game in six days. What both teams are doing extremely well right now is playing defense.

In their last 7 games the Hornets have the best defensive Net Rating in the league and the Bucks are 5th best. If we look at each teams last 5 games we see the Hornets are allowing just 1.046-points per possession (5th best) while the Bucks are giving up just 1.059PPP (6th).

Both teams are also playing at a much slower rate in recent games with their pace of play dropping considerably. The Under has cashed 3 straight in this series and in 8 of the last ten meetings.

Charlotte has stayed Under in 5 straight games, the Bucks have played Under in 5 of their last six.

Make no mistake, the oddsmakers have adjusted this number down due to each team's recent play, but they didn't move it enough in our opinion. Bet Under.

For more daily expert predictions, check out our NBA Free Picks page and our NBA odds!

Heat vs Trail Blazers

VegasInsider NBA betting expert AAA Sports is red hot! He is 7-1 in his last eight NBA picks -- returning a profit of +592. Click here to purchase his top play for Heat vs Trail Blazers tonight.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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