NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 28
The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 6-game slate this Wednesday -- headlined by a nationally televised doubleheader on ESPN as Pelicans vs Pacers tips off the early window at 7:30 p.m. ET, and then Lakers vs Clippers takes center stage at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Let's dive into our NBA best bets and expert picks for Wednesday, February 28.
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NBA Best Bets | Expert Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 28
Lakers vs Clippers
Not too long ago, the Clippers were widely considered the hottest team in the Western Conference. From December 1 to February 5, the Clippers posted a league-best record of 26-5 – while leading the entire league in offensive rating during that span, as opposed to ranking just 16th in defensive rating.
Unfortunately, however, the Clippers have cooled off at the offensive end over the last few weeks, and their middle-ranked defense is finally beginning to catch up with them. The Clippers are 3-4 in their last seven games, while scoring 107 points or less in five of those contests, and surrendering 121-plus points in four of them.
And LAC’s three wins during that span were rather underwhelming – all coming by six points or less in matchups against the Pistons (112-106), Warriors (130-125) and Grizzlies (101-95).
While on the flip side, the Lakers have played their best basketball of the season since the midway point of January – boasting a solid record of 12-7 in their last 19 games, while ranking 4th in the league in offensive rating and 25th in defensive rating during that span.
Similarly to LAC, however, the Lakers have taken their foot off the gas a little bit on offense in their last few games, and they’ve paid the price for their dreadful defensive play. The Lakers have lost two of their last three games, with both losses coming by double digits thanks to the fact they surrendered 123-plus points in two contests.
Per usual, LeBron James and Anthony Davis are listed as questionable for this contest. But on a more significant note, Paul George will miss tonight’s contest with a knee injury for the Clippers. If LeBron and AD are both good-to-go tonight, I think we’ll see the underdogs come out on top in this one.
Pick: Lakers ML (+135)
Grizzlies vs Timberwolves
This total has been dropping and, simply put, it has become too low. We only need 210 to be a winner here. Lets say the oddsmakers are correct, as they so often are, about the spread of 12 in this game. In that case, a total of 210 would mean a final of 111 to 99. Do you really think the Wolves are only to score 111 at home here? I sure don't!
Memphis has allowed 121 ppg in going 0-4 L4 road games. But also look for the Grizzlies to bounce back after an ultra lousy home performance in most recent game in which they scored only 86 points. Prior to that one, Memphis had enjoyed a 3-game stretch in which they averaged 110 ppg. So you can see my 121 to 110 range with a Minny win would make sense here given those numbers.
I do feel we have a lot of wiggle room here given this low total in the 210 range here. Just how much defense is Minny going to play here when they have tougher games against Sacramento and the Clippers on deck? Also, the Timberwolves have already won all 3 match-ups with Memphis this season.
I just don't expect their defensive intensity to be at it's greatest here. Also, those 3 games in the season series have all totaled at least 216 points and averaged 222 points per game. We have got some solid line value here with this low total. Take advantage! OVER 209.5 in Minnesota
For more daily expert predictions, check out our NBA Free Picks page and our NBA odds!
Mavericks vs Raptors
VegasInsider NBA betting expert ASA is red hot! He is 9-4 in his last 13 NBA picks -- returning a profit of +450. Click here to purchase his top play for Mavericks vs Raptors tonight.
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