Last Updated Mar 25, 2022, 01:39 AM
Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions, Picks, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Thursday night with a heavyweight Western Conference battle between the Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets. Coverage begins from Ball Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
Suns 124, Nuggets 119
Over 231.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Suns vs. Nuggets Predictions
After finishing third in the West with a record of 47-25 SU last year, Denver stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Nuggets opened with a lackluster 20-19 SU and 16-23 ATS stretch – while scoring just 105.6 OPPG across that window.
The Nuggets have played excellent since the midway point of January though, considering Denver boasts sturdy records of 23-11 SU and 17-16-1 ATS across their last 34 games – while generating 118.5 OPPG and allowing just 112.7 DPPG during that timeframe.
On the other hand, Phoenix absolutely dominated to open the season, as the Suns kicked things off with an impressive 27-8 SU and 18-17 ATS run – with 18 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.
Despite the absence of Chris Paul, Phoenix has carried that same momentum all the way through March too, considering the Suns boast impressive records of 31-6 SU and 21-16 ATS across their last 37 games – while generating 117.8 OPPG and allowing just 107.9 DPPG during that span.
I’ll take the over here, as the Suns are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, while tallying 125.6 OPPG and allowing just 110.1 DPPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for a fast-paced back-and-forth battle against a Nuggets squad that’s averaging 117.8 OPPG across their latest 7-4 SU run.
Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Odds
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Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Resources
- Matchup: Pacific vs. Northwest
- Date: Thursday, March 24, 2022
- Venue: Ball Arena
- Location: Denver, CO
- TV-Time: NBA TV - 9:00 p.m. ET
- Injury Report
Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis
- SU: 58-14
- ATS: 39-33
- O/U: 37-34-1
After battling Utah for the top spot in the conference all the way through the final day of last year’s regular season (51-21 SU), Phoenix was surprisingly rusty to start the year, as the Suns dropped three-of-four games out of the gate – while tallying just 106.3 OPPG across that window.
Devin Booker and company clearly just needed a few weeks to settle into a rhythm though, considering the Suns boast records of 57-11 SU and 38-30 ATS since their four-game opening skid, while ranking fourth in the league in scoring and third in offensive efficiency (114.9 OPPG, 1.117 OE) – and on the flipside, ranking sixth in points allowed and third in defensive efficiency (106.5 DPPG, 1.036 DE).
Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis
- SU: 43-30
- ATS: 33-39-1
- O/U: 39-32-2
Despite the year-long absence of Jamal Murray, the Nuggets have still strung together an admirable 2021-22 campaign, considering Denver is tied with Minnesota for sixth place in the Western Conference standings with a record of 43-30 SU – which trails the fifth-place Mavericks (44-28 SU) and fourth-place Jazz (45-27 SU) by just a few games.
The Nuggets have encountered their fair share of health hurdles throughout the year, primarily highlighted by the extended absence of their tertiary scoring option, Michael Porter Jr. However, Denver still boasts solid numbers at both ends of the floor, considering the Nuggets have scored 115+ PTS in 11 of their last 17 contests (118.2 OPPG) – and surrendered 110 PTS or less in seven of their last 15 (113.4 DPPG).
Suns vs. Nuggets Head-to-Head
Denver won two of three regular-season matchups against Phoenix last year, with both Nuggets’ victories soaring over the total at an average of 244 PPG, while the Suns’ lone win stayed under with a score of 106-103 (U 221). The Nuggets are 1-1 SU against Phoenix this year though, with the first matchup staying under the total at a score of 110-98 (U 224.5) – while their latest meeting went over with a score of 126-97 (O 209).
Key Players to Watch
- PHX: Devin Booker - SG (25.9 PPG, 5.1 REB, 4.9 AST)
- PHX: Deandre Ayton - C (17 PPG, 10 REB, 1.4 AST)
- DEN: Nikola Jokic - C (26.2 PPG, 13.6 REB, 8 AST)
- DEN: Will Barton - SG (14.5 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.8 AST)
Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Conclusion
After posting a double-digit home victory over the Clippers on Tuesday night (W, 127-115), the Nuggets enter Thursday’s contest as short home underdogs against the Suns at Ball Arena – marking the third time Denver has been an underdog across their last six games.
I’ll take the over here, as the Nuggets are 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games, while tallying 117.8 OPPG and surrendering 115.6 DPPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for a competitive high-scoring battle against a Suns squad that’s averaging 125.6 OPPG across their latest 5-2 ATS run.
Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
- The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups against Denver.
- The Nuggets are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
- The total has gone OVER in five of the last eight matchups between Phoenix and Denver.
- The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Nuggets' games.