Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks Predictions, Picks, Odds

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Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Friday night with a compelling non-conference matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks. Coverage begins from State Farm Arena at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

Hawks 114, Warriors 107

Best Bets

Hawks -1.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Warriors vs. Hawks Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Golden State is far less dominant without the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors enter Friday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-22 SU and 20-29-3 ATS stretch – with 15 of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green.

On the other hand, Atlanta stumbled out to a surprisingly poor start to the season, as the Hawks kicked things off with a frustrating 16-25 SU and 14-27 ATS skid – despite getting tagged as favorites in 25 of those matchups.

Atlanta has played solid, yet inconsistent basketball since the early stages of January though, considering the Hawks boast records of 20-12 SU and 16-16 ATS across their last 32 games – while yielding lofty averages of 114.4 OPPG and 113.3 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll back Atlanta here, as the Hawks enter Friday riding a relatively pedestrian 5-3 SU stretch, while generating 115.1 OPPG and surrendering 113.6 DPPG across that window – likely serving as a tough road matchup for a Warriors squad that’s averaging 101 OPPG across their 1-3 SU skid since Curry’s latest injury.

Warriors vs. Hawks Betting Odds

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Warriors vs. Hawks Betting Resources

Matchup: Pacific vs. Southeast
Date: Friday, March 25, 2022
Venue: State Farm Arena
Location: Atlanta, GA
TV-Time: NBA TV - 7:30 p.m. ET
Injury Report

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

SU: 48-25
ATS: 36-33-4
O/U: 31-40-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, the Warriors returned seeking imminent revenge to start the new season, as Golden State kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

However, Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since mid-December, considering the Warriors enter Friday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-22 SU stretch, while scoring just 111.6 OPPG and allowing 107.4 DPPG across that span. The Warriors’ mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by Golden State averaging 116.1 OPPG across their last 25 games.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Analysis

SU: 36-37
ATS: 30-43
O/U: 38-35

Atlanta was inevitably cursed with unrealistic expectations after last year’s impressive Eastern Conference Finals’ run, but the Hawks surprisingly lost 26-of-41 games out of the gate to start the season, despite getting tagged as favorites in 25 of those contests.

The Hawks have been on quite the rollercoaster since New Year’s Day though, considering Atlanta is 20-12 SU and 16-16 ATS in their last 32 games – despite averaging a lofty 114.4 OPPG across that window.

The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Golden State. (AP)

Warriors vs. Hawks Head-to-Head

The Hawks swept a two-game regular-season set against Golden State last year, with the first matchup going over the total at a score of 124-108 (O 218), while the second stayed under with a score of 117-111 (U 230). However, the most recent matchup between these teams took place back in November of this season, which resulted in a high-scoring victory for the Warriors (O 223).

Key Players to Watch

GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (18 PPG, 3.8 REB, 2.7 AST)
GSW: Draymond Green - PF (7.4 PPG, 7.4 REB, 7.1 AST)
ATL: Trae Young - PG (28.1 PPG, 3.8 REB, 9.5 AST)
ATL: Clint Capela - C (10.6 PPG, 11.8 REB, 1.3 BLK)

Warriors vs. Hawks Betting Conclusion

After snapping a three-game losing streak with a tough win in Miami on Wednesday night (W, 118-104), the Warriors hit the road again for Friday’s contest as moderate underdogs against the Hawks at State Farm Arena – marking the sixth time Golden State has been an underdog across their last 12 games.

I’ll back Atlanta here, as the Warriors are 1-3 SU and ATS since Curry’s latest injury, while scoring just 101 OPPG and surrendering 104.5 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a tough road matchup against a Hawks squad that’s averaging 115.1 OPPG across their current 5-3 SU run.

Warriors vs. Hawks Betting Trends

The Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight Warriors' games.
The Warriors are 15-4 SU in their last 19 matchups against Atlanta.
The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Hawks' games.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson