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Last Updated Apr 03, 2022, 23:37 PM

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Sunday night with a compelling Eastern Conference matchup between the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors. Coverage begins from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto at 7:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

Raptors 112, Heat 106

Best Bets

Raptors -2 (-110) at DraftKings

Heat vs. Raptors Predictions

After finishing 12th in the East with a record of 27-45 SU last year, Toronto bounced back with a surprisingly strong start to this season, as the Raptors kicked things off with a modest 23-23 SU and 25-21 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 26 of those contests.

However, Toronto has cranked things up a notch since the closing days of January, considering the Raptors enter Sunday riding an impressive 22-9 SU and 20-11 ATS stretch – while scoring 112.4 OPPG and allowing just 108 DPPG during that timeframe.

On the other hand, Miami stormed out to a triumphant start to the season, as the Heat kicked things off with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Aside from a brief nine-game skid in December (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), the Heat have carried that same momentum all the way through March too, considering Miami boasts sturdy records of 35-17 SU and 28-23-1 ATS across their last 52 games – while ranking fifth in defensive efficiency and tenth in offensive efficiency during that timeframe (1.096 OE, 1.052 DE).

I’ll back Toronto here, as the Raptors are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games, while tallying 114.2 OPPG and surrendering 104.7 DPPG during that span – likely presenting an uphill battle for a Heat squad that’s playing with a rest disadvantage and averaging just 106.3 OPPG across their latest 5-6 SU, 3-8 ATS skid.

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Odds

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Heat vs. Raptors Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southeast vs. Atlantic
  • Date: Sunday, April 3, 2022
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • TV-Time: NBA TV - 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

  • SU: 49-28
  • ATS: 42-34-1
  • O/U: 45-32

After last year’s underwhelming 40-32 SU showing, Miami made some bold offseason acquisitions in order to better suit needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry.

The transition went seamlessly at first, as the Heat kicked things off with an impressive 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with Miami’s only ATS losses across that span coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

The depth that Miami sacrificed to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in December though, considering a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a frustrating 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid. However, depth hasn’t been much of an issue down the homestretch, considering Miami enters Sunday riding a sturdy 35-17 SU, 28-23-1 ATS run.

Toronto Raptors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 45-32
  • ATS: 45-32
  • O/U: 38-39

After last year’s disappointing 12th place showing, Toronto bounced back with a surprisingly decent start to this season, as the Raptors opened with a modest 23-23 SU and 25-21 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 26 of those contests.

However, the Raptors emerged as legitimate playoff contenders in the closing days of January and still haven’t looked back, considering Toronto enters Sunday riding a sturdy 22-9 SU and 20-11 ATS stretch – with over half of those SU victories coming away from Scotiabank Arena (13).

The total has gone UNDER in five of the last eight matchups between Miami and Toronto. (AP)

Heat vs. Raptors Head-to-Head

The Heat won two of three regular-season matchups against Toronto last year, with the first two contests staying under the total at an average of 197.5 PPG, while their final meeting cruised over with a score of 116-108 (O 214). However, Toronto is 2-1 SU against Miami this season, with both Raptors’ victories soaring over the total at an average of 230 PPG – while Miami’s lone win stayed under with a score of 104-99 (U 207).

Key Players to Watch

  • MIA: Tyler Herro - SG (20.6 PPG, 4.9 REB, 3.9 AST)
  • MIA: Bam Adebayo - C (19 PPG, 10.3 REB, 3.4 AST)
  • TOR: Scottie Barnes - PF (15.4 PPG, 7.5 REB, 3.5 AST)
  • TOR: Pascal Siakam - PF (22.3 PPG, 8.4 REB, 5.2 AST)

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Conclusion

After extending their win streak to five games with a double-digit road victory in Orlando on Friday night (W, 102-89), the Raptors return home for Sunday’s contest as short favorites over the Heat at Scotiabank Arena – marking the third time Miami has been an underdog across their last five games.

I’ll back Toronto here, as the Heat are 5-6 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, while tallying just 106.3 OPPG and surrendering 107.7 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a tough road matchup against a Raptors squad that’s averaging 114.2 OPPG across their latest 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS run.

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Trends

  • The Raptors are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The Heat are 5-5 ATS in their last ten matchups against Toronto.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Raptors' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last eight matchups between Miami and Toronto.
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