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Last Updated Apr 25, 2022, 14:26 PM

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions, Picks, Odds

First Round NBA Playoff action will resume on Friday night with Game 3 between heavyweight Central Division rivals in the Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls. Coverage begins from United Center in Chicago at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Score Prediction

Bucks 116, Bulls 108

Best Bets

Bucks -2.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions

After finishing 11th in the East with a record of 31-41 SU last year, Chicago bounced back with a surprisingly triumphant start to this season, as the Bulls opened with an impressive 26-10 SU and 22-14 ATS run – while allowing just 106.9 DPPG to their opponents during that span.

Unfortunately, Chicago has been decimated by health issues since mid-January, considering the Bulls closed the regular season with a bumpy 20-26 SU and 20-25-1 ATS skid – while surrendering 115.6 DPPG during that span.

On the other hand, Milwaukee posted a surprisingly poor start to the season, as the Bucks kicked things off with a lackluster 6-8 SU and ATS skid – with four of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

However, the Bucks have quietly dominated since their brief opening skid, considering Milwaukee enters Game 3 riding a sturdy 47-24 SU and 33-38 ATS run – while yielding lofty averages of 116.6 OPPG and 112.4 DPPG across that window.

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as the Bulls are 5-8 SU and 6-7 ATS in their last 13 games, while scoring just 107.8 OPPG and allowing 115.8 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for an unfavorable matchup against the Bucks’ fourth-ranked offensive attack (115.2 OPPG, 1.115 OE).

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Resources

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 52-32
  • ATS: 39-45
  • O/U: 43-41

After finishing with the best record in the East in two of the last three seasons, Milwaukee’s rough start was somewhat of a head-scratcher, considering the Bucks’ compiled a record of 162-65 SU across the previous three regular seasons, only to open this season with a lackluster 6-8 SU skid.

Milwaukee has played excellent, when healthy, since mid-November though, considering the Bucks enter Game 3 riding a sturdy 48-23 SU stretch, with a huge chunk of those losses coming in the absence of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (8).

Chicago Bulls Betting Analysis

  • SU: 47-37
  • ATS: 44-39-1
  • O/U: 40-43-1

After last year’s lackluster 31-41 SU showing, the Bulls went out and made some bold acquisitions this past offseason, which ultimately reshaped their entire roster with LaVine now accompanied by a dynamic supporting cast that consists of DeMar DeRozanNikola VucevicLonzo Ball, Alex Caruso and others.

The Bulls stalled out due to various health concerns down the stretch though, as Chicago wrapped up the regular season with a frustrating 20-26 SU and 20-25-1 ATS skid – with nearly a third of those SU losses coming in the absence of LaVine (8), and all of them coming without Lonzo (26).

The Bucks are 17-2 SU in their last 19 matchups against Chicago. (Getty Images)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Head-to-Head

Milwaukee won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Chicago last year, with both Bucks’ victories staying under the total at an average of 214 PPG, while the Bulls’ lone win cruised over with a score of 118-112 (O 225). 

The Bucks kept that same train rolling with a 3-1 SU mark against Chicago this season, with their first three matchups staying under the total at an average of 212.7 PPG, while their fourth meeting soared over with a score of 127-106 (O 230). However, the Bucks and Bulls split their first two matchups of this series in Milwaukee, with both contests staying under the total at an average of 201.5 PPG.

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Key Players to Watch

  • MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF (29.9 PPG, 11.6 REB, 5.8 AST)
  • MIL: Jrue Holiday - PG (18.3 PPG, 4.5 REB, 6.8 AST)
  • CHI: DeMar DeRozan - SF (27.9 PPG, 5.2 REB, 4.9 AST)
  • CHI: Zach LaVine - SG (24.4 PPG, 4.6 REB, 4.5 AST)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Conclusion

After evening the series with a narrow road victory in Milwaukee in Game 2 (W, 114-110), the Bulls return home for Friday’s Game 3 as two-point underdogs against the Bucks at United Center, which is much shorter than the number Milwaukee was favored by in the first two matchups of this series (MIL -10).

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as the Bulls enter Game 3 riding a depressing 5-8 SU skid, while scoring just 107.8 OPPG and surrendering 115.8 during that span; likely serving as a difficult task against a Bucks squad that’s averaging 116.5 OPPG across their latest 8-5 SU run.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Trends

  • The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the last 20 Bulls' games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Bucks' games.
  • The Bucks are 17-2 SU in their last 19 matchups against Chicago.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six matchups between the Bucks and Bulls.
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