Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions, Picks, Odds

First Round NBA Playoff action will resume on Sunday afternoon with a critical Game 4 between Central Division rivals in the Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls. Coverage begins from United Center in Chicago at 1:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Score Prediction

Bucks 116, Bulls 106

Best Bets

Bucks -4 (-110) at Caesars

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions

After finishing 11th in the East with a record of 31-41 SU last year, Chicago bounced back with a surprisingly triumphant start to this season, as the Bulls opened with an impressive 26-10 SU and 22-14 ATS run – while allowing just 106.9 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.

Unfortunately, Chicago has been decimated by health issues since mid-January, considering the Bulls closed the regular season with a bumpy 20-26 SU and 20-25-1 ATS skid – while surrendering 115.6 DPPG during that span.

On the other hand, Milwaukee posted a surprisingly poor start to the season, as the Bucks kicked things off with a lackluster 6-8 SU and ATS skid, with four of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

However, the Bucks have quietly dominated since their brief opening skid, considering Milwaukee enters Game 4 riding a sturdy 48-24 SU and 34-38 ATS run – while yielding lofty averages of 116.6 OPPG and 112.4 DPPG across that window.

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as Chicago struggled miserably down the homestretch, considering the Bulls sit 5-9 SU and 6-8 ATS across their last 14 games, while scoring just 105.9 OPPG and allowing 115.5 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for another highly unfavorable matchup against the Bucks’ fourth-ranked offensive attack (115.1 OPPG, 1.115 OE).

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Updated on 07/26/2024
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Resources

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 53-32
  • ATS: 40-45
  • O/U: 43-42

After finishing with the best record in the East in two of the last three seasons, Milwaukee’s rough start was somewhat of a head-scratcher, considering the Bucks’ compiled a record of 162-65 SU across the previous three regular seasons, only to open this season with a lackluster 6-8 SU skid.

Milwaukee has played excellent, when healthy, since mid-November though, considering the Bucks enter Game 4 riding a sturdy 49-23 SU stretch, with a huge chunk of those losses coming in the absence of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (8).

Chicago Bulls Betting Analysis

  • SU: 47-38
  • ATS: 44-40-1
  • O/U: 40-44-1

After last year’s lackluster 31-41 SU showing, the Bulls went out and made some bold acquisitions this past offseason, which ultimately reshaped their entire roster, with Zach LaVine now accompanied by a dynamic supporting cast that consists of DeMar DeRozanNikola Vucevic, Lonzo Ball, Alex Caruso and others.

The Bulls stalled out due to various health concerns down the stretch though, considering Chicago enters Sunday’s Game 4 riding a miserable 21-28 SU and 22-26-1 ATS skid – with a decent chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of LaVine (8), and all of them coming without Lonzo (28).

The Bucks are 18-2 SU in their last 20 matchups against Chicago. (Getty Images)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Head-to-Head

Milwaukee won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Chicago last year, with both Bucks’ victories staying under the total at an average of 214 PPG, while the Bulls’ lone win cruised over with a score of 118-112 (O 225).

The Bucks kept that same train rolling with a 3-1 SU mark against Chicago this season, with their first three matchups staying under the total at an average of 212.7 PPG, while their fourth meeting soared over with a score of 127-106 (O 230).

Milwaukee also went 2-1 SU against Chicago to open this series. However, the Bulls covered a hefty ten-point spread in their Game 1 loss (93-86, CHI +10), making the Bucks a 1-2 ATS across that window.

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Key Players to Watch

  • MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF (29.9 PPG, 11.6 REB, 5.8 AST)
  • MIL: Jrue Holiday - PG (18.3 PPG, 4.5 REB, 6.8 AST)
  • CHI: DeMar DeRozan - SF (27.9 PPG, 5.2 REB, 4.9 AST)
  • CHI: Zach LaVine - SG (24.4 PPG, 4.6 REB, 4.5 AST)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Conclusion

After regaining the series lead with a blowout road victory in Game 3 (W, 111-81), the Bucks enter Sunday’s fourth matchup as 4.5-point road favorites over the Bulls at United Center, which is slightly heavier than the number Milwaukee was favored by this past Friday (MIL -3).

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as the Bulls scored just 81 PTS on 39% FG and 26% 3FG during their 30-point home loss in Game 3, and while Chicago probably won’t post quite as dismal numbers from the field on Sunday, the Bucks still strike me as the far superior team in this matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Trends

  • The Bucks are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Bulls' games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine Bucks' games.
  • The Bucks are 18-2 SU in their last 20 matchups against Chicago.
  • The Bulls are 2-4 ATS in their last six matchups against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between the Bucks and Bulls.