Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Predictions, Picks, Odds

First Round NBA Playoff action will resume on Wednesday night with Game 5 between Central Division rivals as the Chicago Bulls look to stay alive against the Milwaukee Bucks. Coverage begins from Fiserv Forum at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Score Prediction

Bucks 110, Bulls 102

Best Bets

Under 218 (-110) at Caesars

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Predictions

After finishing 11th in the East with a record of 31-41 SU last year, Chicago bounced back with a surprisingly triumphant start to this season, as the Bulls opened with an impressive 26-10 SU and 22-14 ATS run, while allowing just 106.9 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.

Unfortunately, Chicago has been decimated by health issues since mid-January, considering the Bulls closed the regular season with a bumpy 20-26 SU and 20-25-1 ATS skid, while surrendering 115.6 DPPG during that span.

On the other hand, Milwaukee posted a surprisingly poor start to the season, as the Bucks kicked things off with a lackluster 6-8 SU and ATS skid, with four of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

However, the Bucks have quietly dominated since their brief opening skid, considering Milwaukee enters Game 5 riding a sturdy 49-24 SU and 35-38 ATS run – while yielding lofty averages of 116.6 OPPG and 112.2 DPPG across that window.

I’ll take the under here, as the first four matchups of this series all stayed under at an average of 202.3 PPG, and while at least one squad has scored 110+ PTS in three of those matchups, the pace should ultimately slow down as Chicago tries to avoid elimination on the road in Game 5.

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Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

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Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Resources

Chicago Bulls Betting Analysis

  • SU: 47-39
  • ATS: 44-41-1
  • O/U: 40-45-1

After last year’s lackluster 31-41 SU showing, the Bulls went out and made some bold acquisitions this past offseason, which ultimately reshaped their entire roster, with Zach LaVine now accompanied by a dynamic supporting cast that consists of DeMar DeRozanNikola Vucevic, Lonzo Ball, Alex Caruso and others.

The Bulls stalled out due to various health concerns down the stretch though, considering Chicago enters Tuesday’s Game 5 riding a miserable 21-29 SU and 22-27-1 ATS skid, with a decent chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of LaVine (8), and all of them coming without Lonzo (28).

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 54-32
  • ATS: 41-45
  • O/U: 43-43

After finishing with the best record in the East in two of the last three seasons, Milwaukee’s rough start was somewhat of a head-scratcher, considering the Bucks’ compiled a record of 162-65 SU across the previous three regular seasons, only to open this season with a lackluster 6-8 SU skid.

Milwaukee has played excellent, when healthy, since mid-November though, considering the Bucks enter Game 5 riding a sturdy 49-24 SU stretch, with a huge chunk of those losses coming in the absence of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (8).

The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. (Getty Images)

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head

Milwaukee won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Chicago last year, with both Bucks’ victories staying under the total at an average of 214 PPG, while the Bulls’ lone win cruised over with a score of 118-112 (O 225).

Milwaukee kept that same train rolling with a 3-1 SU mark against Chicago this season, with their first three matchups staying under the total at an average of 212.7 PPG, while their fourth meeting soared over with a score of 127-106 (O 230).

The Bucks also went 3-1 SU against Chicago to open this series. However, Chicago covered a ten-point spread during its Game 1 loss, making Milwaukee 2-2 ATS across that window.

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Key Players to Watch

  • CHI: DeMar DeRozan - SF (27.9 PPG, 5.2 REB, 4.9 AST)
  • CHI: Zach LaVine - SG (24.4 PPG, 4.6 REB, 4.5 AST)
  • MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF (29.9 PPG, 11.6 REB, 5.8 AST)
  • MIL: Nikola Vucevic - C (17.6 PPG, 11 REB, 3.2 AST)

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Conclusion

After stomping Chicago in back-to-back road games to take a 3-1 lead, the Bucks return home for Tuesday’s Game 5 as ten-point favorites over the Bulls at Fiserv Forum, which is roughly the same number Milwaukee was favored by in their first two home matchups of this series.

I’ll take the under here, as the Bulls are 8-18 SU and ATS in their last 26 games, while scoring just 106.6 OPPG and allowing 115.3 DPPG during that span, setting the stage for another low-scoring battle against a Bucks squad that held its opponents to 105.2 DPPG across last year’s impressive NBA title run.

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

  • The Bulls are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Bulls' games.
  • The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
  • The Bucks are 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Bulls' games.
  • The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Chicago.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Bucks' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last eight matchups between the Bucks and Bulls.