NBA Playoffs Player Props for Sunday, May 1

Stuart Durst Sports Betting Expert

9 minute read

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for NBA Playoffs action on Sunday, May 1. Check out his top play for the hardwood action below.

• Jaylen Brown (BOS) Over 0.5 Steals/Brook Lopez (MIL) Over 0.5 Blocks (-135) at DraftKings
• Grayson Allen (MIL) Over 10.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) Over 7.5 Assists/Grayson Allen Over 14.5 Points (+830) FanDuel

Updated on 05/15/2024

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Jaylen Brown (BOS) Over 0.5 Steals/Brook Lopez (MIL) Over 0.5 Blocks

I also played another variation, adding Marcus Smart steal, bringing the parlay to +120. Brown was very reliable for me in this category last series, with 2+ steals in 0.75 games and 1+ steal in every game of the series. While the Bucks wont turn the ball over quite as often as the Nets, the 40+ minute workload Brown should get will give him plenty of opportunities. Brown averaged 1.7 vs MIL and 1.1 steals per game on the regular season, he’s in a good spot to continue his playoff streak today. 

Brook Lopez is historically known as a great rim protector and shot blocker. With the Celtics running various lineups including Robert/Grant Williams, Al Horford, and Daniel Thies, Lopez should get plenty of opportunities to block points in the paint. Lopez only played 13 regular season games, but still averaged 1.2 blocks in 22.9 minutes. So far in the playoffs he's averaging 28.6 minutes and 1.6 blocks, with 1+ in 5/5 games. Lopez is poorly priced here, he should be able to record a block with about 20 minutes playtime.

Grayson Allen (MIL) Over 10.5 Points

This number is simply too low. While this Celtics matchup wont be easy, it will be good to not have to worry about blowout minutes with the Bucks players anymore. Allen averaged 11.1 on the season, but without Middleton we saw 13, 22, & 27 points. Alllen has proven time and time agian that hes one of the most reliable spot up guys in the league, but we've seen increased usage in his all around offensive game. The Celtics are a brutal matchup, but the focus will be on Giannis and Jrue Holliday, there should be plenty of opportunity for the sharpshooter. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) Over 7.5 Assists/Grayson Allen (MIL) Over 14.5 Points

Building on that logic, lets play this correlated parlay here. While its unclear how the Celtics will approach this matchup defensively, I'm asuming there not leaving Grant Williams on an island vs Giannis. Giannis averaged 6.4 assists in Round 1, but only played 40+ minutes once in that series, due to multiple blowouts. He reached 9+ assists in two of those games, and I'd imagine the Celtics are gonna force the ball out of his hands as much as possible. Allen has played great, going for 15+ in 2/3 games without Middleton in round 1. He's averaging 18.1 points over his last 10 games without Middleton, I'm expecting very good volume from the shooters. Fun Fact, Grayson ALlen shot 8-of-11 from 3 off passes from Giannis Antekokounmpo in the first round. 

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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community. More from Stuart Durst