2025-26 NFL MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford the Favorite; Drake Maye Rising Fast
NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 season have been on the board for several months now. With the regular season steaming into Week 13, the there's a new favorite in odds to win NFL MVP.
The past month has seen a big changing of the guard. Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye have left Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes in their wake.
Below are current NFL MVP odds from an array of sportsbooks, followed by oddsmaker insights on 2025-26 NFL MVP odds. To get the most out of your NFL betting, make sure you check out our BetMGM bonus code.
(Feature image: Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images)
Mvp Odds
| Time | Bet365 | BetMGM | DraftKings | Caesars | FanDuel | RiversCasino | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |  › |  › |  › |  › |  › |  › | |
 Matthew Stafford | +105 | -105 | +105 | +110 | +110 | +100 | |
 Drake Maye | +125 | +135 | +120 | +135 | +125 | +125 | |
 Dak Prescott | +1400 | +1200 | +1100 | +1000 | +1600 | +1200 | |
 Jordan Love | +1400 | +1300 | +1500 | +1400 | +1000 | +1400 | |
 Josh Allen | +2000 | +2000 | +1800 | +1800 | +2500 | +2000 | |
 Sam Darnold | +5000 | +5000 | +4000 | +5000 | +7500 | +5000 | |
 Patrick Mahomes | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +6000 | +5000 | |
 Caleb Williams | +5000 | +5000 | +6000 | +5000 | +4000 | +6000 | |
 Jalen Hurts | +10000 | +10000 | +7500 | +8000 | +10000 | +5000 | |
 Jonathan Taylor | +6000 | +6600 | +7500 | +6000 | +7500 | +7500 | |
 Jaxon Smith-Njigba | +6000 | +8000 | +8000 | +6000 | +7500 | +8000 | |
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2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
Welcome Matt
LATEST UPDATE: With Week 13 in full swing, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford continues to stretch out as the favorite in BetMGM's 2025-26 NFL MVP odds. Entering Week 12, Stafford was +150 chalk; now, he's -235.
The significant move was mostly due to Stafford's solid Week 12 showing vs. the Buccaneers. He completed 25 of 35 passes for 273 yards and three touchdowns.
QB Drake Maye's breakout season for the New England Patriots has him as the second choice in odds to win NFL MVP. However, from post-Week 11 to post-Week 12, Maye slightly slipped from +185 to +200.
At the moment, it's a two-player race between those two. Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor is the distant +1800 third choice.
When odds first posted back in February, Stafford could be had at +5000 and Maye at +6600. But that's all changed with the Rams an NFC-leading 9-2 – and atop Super Bowl odds – and the Patriots a league-leading 10-2.
Much has changed in the past month. After Week 9, when the Buffalo Bills beat the Kansas City Chiefs, Josh Allen was the +160 favorite, followed by Patrick Mahomes at +350.
Now, Allen is the +2000 fourth choice, followed by Mahomes at +2500.
Tickets, Money, Liability
LATEST UPDATE: Baker Mayfield surprisingly continues to lead the ticket count in BetMGM's 2025 NFL MVP odds market. But with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5) losing their last three games, Mayfield has slid out to +10000 (100/1). He was as short as +1200 prior to Week 9.
Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow has been off the board for weeks, yet is still No. 2 in ticket count. Burrow took a ton of preseason/early-season action before suffering a Week 2 toe injury that he just returned from in Week 13.
"Burrow was the most-bet-on player in the offseason, by an overwhelming amount," BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini said.
Rounding out the top five in tickets in 2025-26 NFL MVP odds:
- Lamar Jackson (+8000)
- Jonathan Taylor (+1800)
- Patrick Mahomes (+2000)
Jackson was the preseason favorite for the honor at +450. But he missed three games with a hamstring injury and fell as far as +10000 (100/1) in odds to win NFL MVP. He returned in Week 9 and led four straight Baltimore Ravens wins while getting as short +3000.
However, he's now slid back significantly to +12500.
The top five in money in BetMGM's NFL MVP odds:
- Mahomes
- Maye
- Mayfield
- Burrow
- Jackson
Maye is BetMGM's largest liability in 2025-26 NFL MVP odds, overtaking Mayfield in the past month. Resurrected Indianapolis Colts QB Daniel Jones is a trouble spot, too, guiding the Colts to an 8-3 mark. Jones opened a distant +15000 (150/1), got as short as +1500 after Week 8 and is now +5000.
"Daniel Jones would be [one of] the worst outcomes," Cipollini said.
Interestingly, even though Stafford is still drawing semi-limited interest at BetMGM. After Week 9, Stafford was 15th in ticket count and 16th in money; after Week 12, he's 10th in tickets and a more respectable seventh in money.
By comparison, Mayfield has taken two times more bets than Stafford, and Mahomes has taken three times more money than Stafford.
Opening NFL MVP Odds
BetMGM first posted 2025-25 NFL Most Valuable Player odds in May. Below are opening odds on which player will win the NFL MVP award:
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson +450
- Bills QB Josh Allen +600
- Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes +700
- Bengals QB Joe Burrow +750
- Commanders QB Jayden Daniels +1100
- Eagles QB Jaylen Hurts +2000
- Texans QB C.J. Stroud +2200
- Chargers QB Justin Herbert +2500
- Lions QB Jared Goff +2500
- Packers QB Jordan Love +2500
- 49ers QB Brock Purdy +2800
- Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield +3000
- Bears QB Caleb Williams +3500
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott +3500
- Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence +3500
- Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa +4000
- Rams QB Matthew Stafford +5000
- Giants RB Saquon Barkley +5000
- Cardinals QB Kyler Murray +5000
*No other players opened shorter than +6600
How is the Winner Determined in NFL Most Valuable Player Odds
The NFL MVP award is handed out annually to the top player of the regular season. The award is voted on by a panel of 50 sportswriters selected by the Associated Press (AP). The award is usually announced the night before the Super Bowl. Check out our Super Bowl odds for more information on all things NFL, and be sure to use our bet365 bonus code or Fanatics Sportsbook promo when placing your bet.
NFL MVP History
The NFL MVP has been dominated by quarterbacks, who have won the award 50 times. Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen, always among the favorites these days, earned his first NFL MVP award following the 2024-25 season.
Before last season kicked off, Allen opened at +800 in NFL MVP odds. So if you'd bet $100 on Allen at those odds, then you would've won $800.
NFL MVP Winners
As noted above, last season, Josh Allen took home the first MVP award of his career for the Buffalo Bills. Recent NFL MVP winners, with opening odds in parentheses:
2024-25 - Buffalo QB Josh Allen (+800)
2023-24 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+1600)
2022-23 - Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes (+700)
2021-22 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+800)
2020-21 - Green Bay Aaron Rodgers (+3000)
2019-20 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+4000)
2018-19 - Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+3500)
2017-18 - New England QB Tom Brady (+400)
2016-17 - Atlanta QB Matt Ryan (+7500)
2015-16 - Carolina QB Cam Newton (+5100)
2014-15 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+650)
2013-14 - Denver QB Peyton Manning (+600)
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