2025-26 NFL MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford the Favorite; Drake Maye Rising Fast
NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 season have been on the board for several months now. With the regular season now over, that market is off the board, while we all wait for news on the winner.
Matthew Stafford has been atop odds to win the NFL MVP for much of the past two months. Drake Maye is the close second, with everyone else miles behind.
Below are closing NFL MVP odds from an array of sportsbooks, followed by oddsmaker insights on 2025-26 NFL MVP odds. To get the most out of your NFL betting, make sure you check out our BetMGM bonus code.
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Mvp Odds
2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
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LATEST UPDATE: The regular season is all that counts in betting on NFL MVP odds. So this market is off the board at sportsbooks across the country.
Over the final two weeks of the season, there were wild fluctuations in BetMGM's odds to win NFL MVP. Prior to Week 17, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford was at his strongest position as a -325 favorite.
However, the Rams then lost to Atlanta 27-24 as 7.5-point road favorites. That ended their shot at the NFC's No. 1 seed and knocked L.A. off the top perch in Super Bowl odds, with the Seattle Seahawks overtaking the Rams.
Meanwhile, QB Drake Maye was in the midst of helping the New England Patriots close out their 14-3 season with three consecutive wins.
So after Week 17, Maye leapt all the way to -700, while Stafford tumbled to the +425 second choice.
In Week 18, though, Stafford had a big game, throwing for four touchdowns in the Rams' 37-20 home rout of Arizona. The Patriots also coasted in Week 18, thumping Miami 38-10. But Maye had just one TD pass and 191 yards passing.
That prompted another pendulum swing, though not as large. Stafford closed as the -140 favorite in BetMGM's 2025-26 NFL MVP odds, while Maye was the +115 second choice.
No other player was shorter than +50000 (500/1).
When odds first posted back in February, Stafford could be had at +5000 and Maye at +6600.
Tickets, Money, Liability
LATEST UPDATE: Stafford ended the season No. 1 in tickets and money in BetMGM's 2025 NFL MVP odds market. Interestingly, Baker Mayfield was No. 2 in tickets, but that was largely due to outsized early-season action on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB.
However, with the Bucs (8-9) losing six of their last eight games, Mayfield has slid out to a huge +50000 (500/1). He was as short as +1200 prior to Week 9, when the Bucs were 6-2.
Rounding out the top five in tickets in 2025-26 NFL MVP odds:
- Maye
- Joe Burrow
- Josh Allen
The top five in money in BetMGM's NFL MVP odds:
- Stafford
- Maye
- Patrick Mahomes
- Allen
- Mayfield
Stafford is BetMGM's largest liability in 2025-26 NFL MVP odds.
Opening NFL MVP Odds
BetMGM first posted 2025-25 NFL Most Valuable Player odds in May. Below are opening odds on which player will win the NFL MVP award:
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson +450
- Bills QB Josh Allen +600
- Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes +700
- Bengals QB Joe Burrow +750
- Commanders QB Jayden Daniels +1100
- Eagles QB Jaylen Hurts +2000
- Texans QB C.J. Stroud +2200
- Chargers QB Justin Herbert +2500
- Lions QB Jared Goff +2500
- Packers QB Jordan Love +2500
- 49ers QB Brock Purdy +2800
- Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield +3000
- Bears QB Caleb Williams +3500
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott +3500
- Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence +3500
- Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa +4000
- Rams QB Matthew Stafford +5000
- Giants RB Saquon Barkley +5000
- Cardinals QB Kyler Murray +5000
*No other players opened shorter than +6600
How is the Winner Determined in NFL Most Valuable Player Odds
The NFL MVP award is handed out annually to the top player of the regular season. The award is voted on by a panel of 50 sportswriters selected by the Associated Press (AP). The award is usually announced the night before the Super Bowl. Check out our Super Bowl odds for more information on all things NFL, and be sure to use our bet365 bonus code or Fanatics Sportsbook promo when placing your bet.
NFL MVP History
The NFL MVP has been dominated by quarterbacks, who have won the award 50 times. Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen, always among the favorites these days, earned his first NFL MVP award following the 2024-25 season.
Before last season kicked off, Allen opened at +800 in NFL MVP odds. So if you'd bet $100 on Allen at those odds, then you would've won $800.
NFL MVP Winners
As noted above, last season, Josh Allen took home the first MVP award of his career for the Buffalo Bills. Recent NFL MVP winners, with opening odds in parentheses:
2024-25 - Buffalo QB Josh Allen (+800)
2023-24 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+1600)
2022-23 - Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes (+700)
2021-22 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+800)
2020-21 - Green Bay Aaron Rodgers (+3000)
2019-20 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+4000)
2018-19 - Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+3500)
2017-18 - New England QB Tom Brady (+400)
2016-17 - Atlanta QB Matt Ryan (+7500)
2015-16 - Carolina QB Cam Newton (+5100)
2014-15 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+650)
2013-14 - Denver QB Peyton Manning (+600)
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