2026-27 NFL MVP Odds: Bills QB Josh Allen Remains Favorite
NFL MVP odds for the 2026-27 season are starting to get more attention, with the regular season heading into Week 6.
Updated on 10/16/26
Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford narrowly won the 2025-26 honor. But in 2026-27 NFL MVP odds, he's still not even in the top five, with Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen leading the way.
Below are 2026 odds to win NFL MVP, from a variety of sportsbooks, along with oddsmaker insights on this popular market. Before you bet, make sure to check out our BetMGM bonus code.
(Feature image: Ron Chenoy/Imagn Images)
Mvp Odds
| Time | Bet365 | BetMGM | DraftKings | Caesars | FanDuel | RiversCasino | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |  › |  › |  › |  › |  › |  › | |
 Josh Allen | +225 | +250 | +240 | +250 | +210 | +225 | |
 Brock Purdy | +300 | +300 | +300 | +285 | +260 | +300 | |
 Patrick Mahomes | +700 | +600 | +600 | +650 | +850 | +600 | |
 Trevor Lawrence | +850 | +900 | +750 | +850 | +950 | +900 | |
 Joe Burrow | +1000 | +1200 | +950 | +1000 | +1500 | +1200 | |
 Lamar Jackson | +1100 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 | +1800 | +1500 | |
 Drake Maye | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 | |
 Dak Prescott | +2200 | +2500 | +1800 | +2000 | +2700 | +2500 | |
 Matthew Stafford | +2800 | +3000 | +2800 | +2800 | +2700 | +2800 | |
 Jared Goff | +3000 | +4500 | +4000 | +3500 | +3300 | +4000 | |
 Jahmyr Gibbs | +3000 | +6000 | +4000 | +5000 | +4000 | +6000 | |
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2026-27 NFL MVP Odds
(Almost) All AFC
LATEST UPDATE: There's a common theme atop BetMGM's NFL MVP odds for the 2026 season: AFC quarterbacks. Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen opened as the +600 favorite, and as of Oct. 13, he's into +250.
Then comes San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy at +300. But the next four in NFL MVP futures odds are all AFC signal-callers:
- Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes +600
- Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence +900
- Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow +1200
- Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson +1200
Interestingly, none of the above have taken the most tickes in 2026 NFL MVP odds. That includes Mahomes, who's healthy again and has the Chiefs at 4-0.
"Despite being one of the sport's biggest stars, Mahomes has generated relatively modest support so far and would also be a favorable outcome for us," BetMGM trading manager Hal Egeland said.
After Jackson, the price slides out to +2000 for Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott and New England Patriots QB Drake Maye. Then you finally arrive at reigning MVP and L.A. Rams QB Matthew Stafford at +3000.
Tickets, Money, Liability
LATEST UPDATE: The top ticket taker in BetMGM's NFL MVP futures odds is Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams, despite him missing the past three games with a hamstring injury. Williams' odds were +1600 after Week 1, but he got hurt in Week 2 and hasn't played since.
BetMGM now has Williams all the way out to +10000 (100/1). Yet he still has a slim ticket advantage over Burrow, and Williams has taken twice as many bets as Allen.
"Caleb Williams attracted a healthy amount of action [preseason]," Egeland said.
The top five in tickets in BetMGM's odds to win NFL MVP:
- Williams
- Burrow
- Allen
- Prescott
- L.A. Chargers QB Justin Herbert
The top five in dollars in BetMGM's NFL MVP 2026-27 odds:
- Allen
- Williams
- Burrow
- Herbert
- Purdy
Herbert is as much an anomaly as Williams. The Chargers QB took a lot of preseason action, so much so that he remains high in tickets and money, despite L.A. being 0-5 so far. Lawrence was +1200 preseason, but is now a huge +50000 long shot (500/1).
Mahomes is sixth in tickets and eighth in money. And with the Rams off to a tough 2-3 start, Stafford is just 19th in tickets/20th in money.
BetMGM's biggest liability is Mahomes' new teammate, running back Kenneth Walker III. Through four games, Walker already has 587 rushing yards on just 87 carries (6.2 yards per carry), with four TD runs and two TD catches.
Even so, Walker is a distant +8000 and is an afterthought in tickets and dollars in 2026 NFL MVP futures odds. Months ago, Walker opened +50000 (500/1).
Opening NFL MVP Odds
BetMGM first posted 2026-27 NFL Most Valuable Player odds in February. Below are opening odds on which player will win the NFL MVP award:
- Bills QB Josh Allen +600
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson +700
- Patriots QB Drake Maye +900
- Bengals QB Joe Burrow +1000
- Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes +1100
- Chargers QB Justin Herbert +1100
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott +1200
- Rams QB Matthew Stafford +1400
- Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence +1400
- Bears QB Caleb Williams +1600
- Packers QB Jordan Love +1600
- Commanders QB Jayden Daniels +2000
- 49ers QB Brock Purdy +2000
* No other players opened shorter than +2500
How is the Winner Determined in NFL Most Valuable Player Odds
The NFL MVP award is handed out annually to the top player of the regular season. The award is voted on by a panel of 50 sportswriters selected by the Associated Press (AP). The award is usually announced the night before the Super Bowl. Check out our Super Bowl odds for more information on all things NFL, and be sure to use our bet365 bonus code or Fanatics Sportsbook promo when placing your bet.
NFL MVP History
The NFL MVP has been dominated by quarterbacks, who have won the award 51 times. Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford earned his first NFL MVP award following the 2025-26 season.
Before last season kicked off, Stafford opened at +5000 in NFL MVP odds. So if you'd bet $100 on Stafford at those odds, then you would've won $5,000.
NFL MVP Winners
As noted above, last season, Matthew Stafford took home the first MVP award of his career, for the Los Angeles Rams. Recent NFL MVP winners, with opening odds in parentheses:
2025-26 - L.A. Rams QB Matthew Stafford (+5000)
2024-25 - Buffalo QB Josh Allen (+800)
2023-24 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+1600)
2022-23 - Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes (+700)
2021-22 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+800)
2020-21 - Green Bay Aaron Rodgers (+3000)
2019-20 - Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (+4000)
2018-19 - Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+3500)
2017-18 - New England QB Tom Brady (+400)
2016-17 - Atlanta QB Matt Ryan (+7500)
2015-16 - Carolina QB Cam Newton (+5100)
2014-15 - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (+650)
2013-14 - Denver QB Peyton Manning (+600)
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