Super Bowl 56 MVP Predictions – Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams are set to square off in Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium, and with so many household names set to take the big stage, it’s time to start thinking about predictions for this year’s Super Bowl MVP Award.

SUPER BOWL 56 MVP BETTING PREDICTIONS

The Super Bowl MVP Award notoriously leans towards the quarterback position, considering starting signal-callers have taken home 31 of 55 SB MVP Awards – recently highlighted by Tom Brady (+175) winning last year’s award – and Patrick Mahomes (+115) taking it home the year prior.

In recent years though, it has become far more common for exterior positions to receive SB MVP consideration, and even win the award – considering three of the last eight SB MVP winners were either wide-receivers or defensive players in Julian Edelman (+2000), Von Miller (+2200), and Malcolm Smith (+2200).

So, while Matthew Stafford (-110) and Joe Burrow (+210) currently headline this year’s SB MVP odds cycle, I’ll go ahead and give out my best bet between the two primary candidates – along with a mid-range and longshot pick in case we see an extraordinary performance from an outside position.

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FAVORITE: JOE BURROW - QB (+210) 

Between the two quarterbacks, Burrow seemingly stands as the best bet based on odds, considering Stafford is listed at -110 compared to Burrow’s +210 – and while my vote of confidence ultimately still belongs to the Rams in this matchup, backing Stafford to win SB MVP probably isn’t the wisest play.

If you like Stafford in this spot, my advice is to survey other player prop markets; for example, Stafford to throw three touchdown passes is valued at +150, or Stafford over 280 passing yards at -115, as those plays could still hit in the case of unusual winning circumstances or a loss – while SB MVP typically narrows the market down to the most influential player on the winning team.

In Cincinnati’s case though, I have a tough time visualizing a scenario in which the Bengals emerge victorious from this game and Burrow isn’t named SB MVP. Before this postseason, the Bengals hadn’t won a playoff game since 1991 – and Burrow just carried them to the Super Bowl in his second season under center. It’s a sensational story for a phenomenal young player, and barring another 266-yard, three-touchdown performance from rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase, Burrow should be a no-brainer for the award in the case of a Bengals’ victory.

MID-RANGE: COOPER KUPP - WR (+650)

Cooper Kupp strung together one of the most impressive regular-season campaigns by a wide-receiver in NFL history over the course of this year, as the fifth year wide-out compiled 145 receptions for 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns across the Rams’ 17 regular-season affairs – ultimately landing at the top of the Offensive Player of the Year ballot with -110 odds, right alongside Colts’ running-back Jonathan Taylor (-110).

He’s maintained a similar pace throughout the postseason too, considering Kupp hauled in 25 passes for 386 yards and four touchdowns during the Rams’ previous three playoff victories over the Cardinals, Buccaneers, and Niners – resulting in averages of 8.3 REC, 129 YPG, and 1.3 TD across that window.

Kupp has made catastrophic game-changing plays in all three of the Rams’ playoff matchups so far, which includes massive performances of 9+ receptions, 140+ YDS, and 1+ TD in each of L. A.’s last two games – and if he’s able to string together a third straight outing in that same ballpark, there’s a good chance Kupp could receive MVP honors in the case of a Rams’ victory.

LONG SHOT: AARON DONALD - DT (+1800)

Somebody else that very well could serve as the primary factor in a Rams’ Super Bowl victory is three-time Defensive Player of the Year, DT Aaron Donald, who was relatively quiet throughout the regular season with just 12.5 SK, 19 TFL, and four forced fumbles – but will undoubtedly receive an opportunity to assert his dominance against an ailing Bengals’ o-line on football’s biggest stage.

The Bengals adequately protected Burrow during their thrilling victory over Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game, as the Chiefs brought Cincinnati’s QB down for just one sack in that event. Prior to their latest victory though, the Bengals’ o-line was a serious concern, considering Burrow was sacked 32 times across Cincinnati’s seven matchups stretching from Week 13 through the Divisional Round – highlighted by the Titans and Raiders combining for 11 sacks against them in their first two playoff matchups.

Typically, it takes an extraordinary performance plus a memorable play for a defensive player to secure the Super Bowl MVP Award – but considering how poorly the Bengals’ o-line played in their first three postseason matchups, the idea of Donald waltzing in and blowing the doors off this entire game seems well within the realm of possibility.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson