EPL Matchday 31 Picks, Predictions, Odds
We're back with our English Premier League (EPL) best bets and predictions for fixtures on Matchday 31. Matches are set to begin on Saturday, April 2 and ends on Monday, April 4th. Check out the top bets, odds and betting trends to consider for the weekend matches.
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LIVERPOOL vs. WATFORD
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 2
- Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
- Venue: Anfield
- Location: Liverpool, England
Best Bets
Liverpool Win to Nil (-135)
Roberto Firmino Anytime Goal (+110)
Mo Salah Over 1.5 goals (+235)
Four of the last five meetings between these clubs has seen the goal total go OVER 2.5. However, all five of those meetings has seen the BTS fail. The BTS failing is well over -200 however, so seeing the better club win to nil at cheap minus-value seems to be a safe bet to test. Also consider that the combined BTS of these two clubs is 25-33 favoring No, so the smart odds indicate one team failing to find the net.
Liverpool has also won its last four EPL matches to nil, including seven of its last nine. A wonderful prop bet to test in this is Roberto Firmino finding the net anytime at +110. He has scored a goal in five of his last six EPL matches when facing Watford during the daytime. Mo Salah is an expensive -200 to score, but is +235 to score twice which he has done in two of three EPL home matches against Watford.
BRIGHTON vs. NORWICH
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 2
- Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Amex Stadium
- Location: Falmer, England
Best Bets
Under 2.5 (-130)']
BTS - No (-150)
Brighton Scores Both Halves (+150)
Brighton 1H ML (+105)
There's a few ways this match could go, but the Under 2.5 has hit in three straight, while Brighton has gone Under 2.5 goals in 22 of its last 29 EPL matches. Norwich is 18-11 on the goal total but the historic and recent Brighton trends suggest the cheap -130 value is a safer play then the odds indicate. The BTS is also fine to test not hitting, as the combined BTS record for the clubs sits at 26-32 failing to hit.
Brighton has a lot of trends to consider though. Brighton has won five of its last six EPL matches to nil when facing a promoted club. Norwich has lost the first half in four straight EPL Matches, while also conceding a goal in both halves in those four matches. Feel free to test any of those trends with the above bets, but the Under does seem to be the safest bet on the board here.
MANCHESTER UNITED vs. LEICESTER
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 2
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Old Trafford
- Location: Manchester, England
Best Bets
Manchester United 2H ML (-120)
Marcus Rashford Anytime Goal (+160)
Cristiano Ronaldo Anytime Goal (-125)
If you're comfortable with the -190 ML for Manchester United then feel free to hop on it. They should win as Leicester has lost five of its last six EPL road matches. Leicester has lost three of its last four second half EPL road matches, and sees less expensive odds at -120. Manchester United has failed to win three straight EPL matches against Leicester though, so the second half line is suggested over the game line.
Cristiano Ronaldo to score anytime isn't terrible with odds at -125, and strongly considerable. He has scored the first goal in three straight EPL matches on a Saturday night, and has +275 odds to hit. Marcus Rashford has also scored a goal in four of his last five EPL matches when facing Leicester as the favorite, and has plus-value. Either player to score anytime is worth a shot here.
TOTTENHAM vs. NEWCASTLE
- Date: Sunday, Apr. 3
- Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Location: London, England
Best Bets
Tottenham 1H ML (+105)
Son Heung-Min Anytime Goal (+100)
Tottenham Scores Both Halves (+135)
Tottenham Over 1.5 Goals (-150)
Newcastle has lost two straight EPL matches at 1-0 each, so although there is a ton of value on Tottenham, keep in mind that Newcastle is due to score. The 'to nil', 'Under 2.5' and 'BTS - No' don't seem like great options here, mainly because of Newcastle's odds to break its scoreless streak along with a handful of trends. Tottenham has scored in both halves in a staggering seven of eight EPL home matches, while winning the first half in four straight EPL matches against Newcastle. Both markets have plus-value to consider for a team favored to win the match at odds close to -200.
The BTS has actually hit in four straight EPL meetings between the two clubs, while the goal total has gone OVER in three of four matches. Tottenham has scored two or more goals in five straight EPL matches, so the Over 1.5 at -150 is a solid option to focus on Tottenham's offense at home and not worry too much about which Newcastle will show. Son Heung-Min has scored in seven of his last eight EPL home matches, so his plus-value odds to score at anytime are worth the take here too.
CRYSTAL PALACE vs. ARSENAL
- Date: Monday, Apr. 4
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Sellhurst Park
- Location: London, England
Best Bets
Draw (+240)
Arsenal 1H ML (+165)
Bukayo Saka Anytime Goal (+210)
There's some good value across the board if the betting trends pan out, which they seem aligned for Monday's match. Let's start with the draw at +240, which has hit in four of the last five EPL meetings between Crystal Palace and Arsenal. Crystal Palace has also seen a 1-1 draw in three of its last four EPL home matches when playing as the underdog on a Monday, but seeing a draw in all four matches regardless.
Moving to Arsenal winning the first half, which the club has done in six straight EPL road matches. Also, Arsenal has seen a 1-0 lead at halftime in three of its last four EPL matches at Sellhurst Park. All these trends point to a draw but Arsenal leading at halftime. A solid prop to consider is Bukayo Saka to score a goal at +210, as he has scored a goal four of his last five EPL road matches.
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