Los Angeles FC vs Flamengo Predictions, Odds and Best Bet

Joseph Beguiristain Sports Betting Expert

12 minute read

Los Angeles FC will face Flamengo on Tuesday at 9:00 PM EDT in Club World Cup Match Day 3 action from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL.

A disappointing Club World Cup for Los Angeles could take another turn for the worse, as group leaders Flamengo aim to secure nine points out of nine on the final matchday of Group D.

The Brazilians have showcased their skills brilliantly in the United States, decisively defeating Chelsea and scoring three goals to confirm their progression to the knockout stages.

With Felipe Luis facing the decision of whether to rotate and rest players or pursue a perfect Group D record, Los Angeles may have a chance to capitalize on this situation. The MLS side will be eager to leave the tournament with their pride intact.

However, the odds for LAFC against Flamengo indicate that they will face a challenging match. Bookmakers give the MLS club roughly a 21% chance of winning (+376 on the moneyline), making the Brazilians the clear favorites with most betting operators. They anticipate a competitive game but predict Flamengo will emerge victorious.

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Analysis of the Match

Flamengo has advanced to the knockout stage after a strong performance. They comfortably defeated Esperance de Tunis 2-0 and secured an impressive 3-1 victory against Chelsea. Although they initially fell behind due to a rare defensive error, the team rallied and truly deserved the three points.

With five different players contributing goals, Flamengo has shown resilience despite the absence of their forward, Pedro, who is still regaining his form after returning from a second ACL injury.

Head coach Filipe Luis emphasized that the team cannot rely on just one player, which has contributed to his success as a coach. Now that Flamengo is nearly guaranteed to finish at the top of their group and advance to the round of 16, Luis may choose to rest some of his star players. This could lead to another low-scoring match when they face LAFC.

LAFC Analysis and Form

The MLS team has struggled in the competition, having been the last team to qualify. Despite their hopes, they have not managed to gain any momentum and enter their final match without a point or a goal, which means their tournament is effectively over before it even began.

They aim to end their participation on a positive note, but defeating Flamengo seems to be a daunting task, regardless of whether they field their strongest lineup or make adjustments to their starting eleven.

LAFC entered the competition in strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last ten matches and scoring frequently. There were high expectations that they could compete for a top-two spot. However, they are now likely to finish at the bottom of their group.

Now, they face Flamengo, another Brazilian club that is approaching the final 16 with great confidence. Some fringe players may have the opportunity to showcase their skills, but they will need to seize this chance to demonstrate they deserve a spot in the tournament moving forward.

It's going to be a challenging match for the MLS club. If they manage to earn anything from this game, it would be a remarkable surprise.

Flamengo Analysis and Form

Filipe Luis is the calmest manager in the competition. His composed approach is infectious, and his team plays in a relaxed manner, even when facing top teams, as demonstrated by their victory over Chelsea.

Never flustered, Luis has instilled a new level of confidence in his players. Flamengo has only conceded one goal in their opening two matches, and their strong defense has continued their good form in domestic competitions.

It was interesting to see 20-year-old Wallace Yan shine against Chelsea. The highly rated youngster hasn’t featured much this season, but he scored on the global stage. There’s no doubt he will be given a chance to play against LAFC on Matchday Three.

Flamengo can afford to rotate their squad, but they will want to finish at the top of their group to avoid a potential clash with Bayern Munich in the round of 16. With Luis having lost only four matches in his 47 games to date, he is eager to maintain this impressive run.

Head-to-Head Analysis 

Los Angeles FC has never faced a Brazilian team in a competitive match, and similarly, Flamengo has yet to compete against an American team in such a fixture.

Additionally, Flamengo has never had an American player play in a competitive match for the club.

On the other hand, Los Angeles FC does have a Brazilian player on their roster. Marlon has participated in both of the team's matches at the Club World Cup this summer and has previously played for notable clubs such as Barcelona, Sassuolo, and Shakhtar Donetsk before joining the MLS.

In total, Igor Jesus and Danilo Silva, both Brazilian nationals, have also represented Los Angeles FC's first team.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Possible starting lineup for LAFC:

• Lloris
• Hollingshead
• Segura
• Long
• Palencia
• Jesus
• Delgado
• Tillman
• Martinez
• Bouanga
• Giroud

Possible starting lineup for Flamengo:

• Rossi
• Varela
• Pereira
• Ortiz
• Lucas
• Pulgar
• Jorginho
• de Arrascaeta
• Gerson
• Araujo
• Pedro

One positive aspect for LAFC is their young Venezuelan winger, David Martinez. At just 19 years old, he is highly regarded in both the MLS and his home country. He will be eager to showcase his talents as his team faces elimination.

Pedro, who was benched against Chelsea in favor of Bruno Henrique, managed to score in that match. As last season's top goalscorer, he is eager to return to the field and regain full fitness. This match presents a perfect opportunity for him to get back on the scoresheet, especially if he receives adequate support from his teammates.

Odds Discussion

Flamengo is the clear favorite to win within 90 minutes, with an implied probability of approximately 58% (-138 on the moneyline) of securing three points and making it nine points from nine overall.

This assessment seems accurate. LAFC struggled in their 1-0 defeat to Espérance de Tunis, generating only 0.37 expected goals (xG) from open play. Denis Bouanga missed his team's best chance—a late penalty—just as he did against Chelsea. The former Saint-Étienne player remains the primary goal threat for the MLS side and is considered the likeliest goalscorer by bookmakers.

The Asian handicap line is set at LAFC +0.75, while the goal line sits at 2.5, following a slight adjustment.

Bookmakers expect both teams to score, with the "Both Teams To Score - Yes" option having an implied probability of around 55% (-122 on the moneyline). This may come as a surprise, considering the MLS side has yet to find the net in this competition.

BEST BET: Flamengo to Win (-137)

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_{(Photo Credit: Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo)}

Joseph Beguiristain

Joseph Beguiristain is a South Florida native with 10-plus years of sports media experience. Before joining VegasInsider in July 2021, he wrote for the Sun-Sentinel and Miami Heat. More from Joseph Beguiristain