EPL Matchday 12 – Tech Trends & Edge Plays

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

10 minute read

Matchday 12 of the English Premier League (EPL) kicks off Friday, Dec. 11 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

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Friday, Dec. 11

LEEDS UNITED vs. WEST HAM

• Leeds has lost two straight league matches 4-1 when playing as the favorite
• Leeds has lost three straight league matches as the favorite
• Pablo Fornals has scored a goal in two of his last three league road matches when West Ham is the underdog
• Patrick Bamford has scored a goal in three of his last four league matches after losing the match prior
• West Ham has won three of its last four league matches

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Leeds United - 46.7%

Saturday, Dec. 12

WOLVERHAMPTON vs. ASTON VILLA

• The road team is unbeaten in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Aston Villa has gone OVER the goal total in seven of its last nine league matches
• Aston Villa has lost four of its last five league matches 

Tech Edge: Wolverhampton 
Probability: Wolverhampton - 43.5%

NEWCASTLE vs. WEST BROM

• The BTS has failed to hit in three of the last four league matches played between both clubs
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Newcastle has seen a 2-0 result in three straight league matches
• West Brom has failed to see the BTS hit in four of its last five league matches

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5  
Probability: Newcastle  - 44.4%

MANCHESTER UNITED vs. MANCHESTER CITY

• The road team has won four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Manchester United has won four straight league matches
• Manchester United has seen the BTS hit in seven of its last 10 league matches
• Manchester United has gone OVER the goal total in seven of its last 10 league matches
• Manchester City has failed to see the BTS hit in four of its last five league matches 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Manchester City - 56.5%

EVERTON vs. CHELSEA

• The BTS has failed to hit in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Everton has seen the BTS hit in eight of its last 11 league matches
• Chelsea has won four of its last five league matches

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5 
Probability: Chelsea - 56.9%

Sunday, Dec. 13

SOUTHAMPTON vs. SHEFFIELD UNITED

• Sheffield United has lost six straight league matches
• Southampton has won three of its last four league home matches 

Tech Edge: Southampton 
Probability: Southampton - 58.2%

CRYSTAL PALACE vs. TOTTENHAM 

• Tottenham has won four of its last five league matches to nil when facing Crystal Palace
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Tottenham has gone unbeaten in 10 straight league matches
• Tottenham has failed to see the BTS hit in five of its last six league matches 

Tech Edge: Tottenham
Probability: Tottenham - 57.3%

FULHAM vs. LIVERPOOL

• Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in eight of its last 11 league matches
• Liverpool has gone OVER the goal total in eight of its last 11 league matches
• Fulham has lost four of its last five league home matches 

Tech Edge: Liverpool
Probability: Liverpool - 75.9%

ARSENAL vs. BURNLEY  

• The goal total has gone OVER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Arsenal has lost three of its last four league matches
• Burnley has failed to see the BTS hit in seven of its last 10 league matches 

Tech Edge: Arsenal
Probability: Arsenal - 65%

LEICESTER CITY vs. BRIGHTON

• Leicester is unbeaten in five straight league matches when facing Brighton
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Leicester has gone OVER the goal total in eight of its last 11 league matches
• Brighton has seen the BTS hit in nine of its last 11 league matches  

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Leicester City  - 48.5%

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