EPL Matchday 14 – Tech Trends & Edge Plays

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

Matchday 14 of the English Premier League kicks off Saturday, Dec. 19 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

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Saturday, Dec. 19

CRYSTAL PALACE vs. LIVERPOOL

• Liverpool has won three straight league matches 2-1 when playing inside Selhurst Park during the daytime
• Liverpool has won six straight league matches when facing Cyrstal Palace
• Sadio Mane has scored a goal in six straight league matches when facing Crystal Palace
• Mo Salah has scored a goal in five of his last six league matches
• Wilfried Zaha has scored a goal in three of his last five league matches when playing during the daytime
• The goal total has gone OVER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in 10 of its last 13 league matches  

Tech Edge: Liverpool
Probability: Liverpool - 66.7%

SOUTHAMPTON vs. MANCHESTER CITY

• Southampton has won four of its last five league home matches
• Danny Ings has scored a goal in five of his last six league matches when Southampton is playing during the daytime as an underdog 
• The home team has won three of the last four league matches played between both clubs
• The goal total has gone OVER in three of the last four league matches played between both clubs
• The favorite has failed to cover the Asian Handicap in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• Manchester City has seen the goal total go UNDER in nine of its last 12 league matches

Tech Edge: Southampton Asian Handicap
Probability: Manchester City - 68.3%

EVERTON vs. ARSENAL

• Arsenal has lost seven of its last eight league prime-time road matches when playing on a Saturday
• Everton has won three of its last four prime-time league matches to nil
• Arsenal has covered the Asian Handicap in four of its last five league matches when facing Everton
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three of the last four league matches played between both clubs
• The home team has won four of the last five league matches played between both clubs

Tech Edge: Everton
Probability: Everton - 41.2%

NEWCASTLE UNITED vs. FULHAM

• Newcastle has seen a draw in four of its last six league matches when facing a promoted club as the favorite
• Jonjo Shelvey has scored a goal in three straight league matches when facing Fulham 
• Newcastle has seen the BTS hit in eight of its last 10 league home matches
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• The BTS has failed to hit in five straight league matches played between both clubs

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Newcastle - 39.2%

Sunday, Dec. 20

BRIGHTON vs. SHEFFIELD UNITED

• Sheffield has lost eight straight league matches
• Sheffield has lost three of its last four league matches to nil when playing during the daytime
• Brighton has seen the BTS hit in nine of its last 13 league matches

Tech Edge: Brighton 
Probability: Brighton - 58.8%

TOTTENHAM vs. LEICESTER CITY

• Tottenham has won two straight league home matches 2-0
• Tottenham has won four of its last five league matches when facing Leicester City 
• Harry Kane has scored two or more goals in three of his last four league home matches when facing Leicester City 
• Tottenham has covered the Asian Handicaop in three of its last four league matches when facing Leicester City 

Tech Edge: Harry Kane Goal  
Probability: Tottenham - 48.1%

MANCHESTER UNITED vs. LEEDS UNITED

• Manchester United has won four straight league matches to nil when facing a promoted club
• Manchester United has won five of its last six league matches
• Manchester United has scored ecacvtly three goals in three of its last four league matches
• Macnhester United has failed to see the BTS hit in four straight league home matches 

Tech Edge: Manchester United
Probability: Manchester United - 60%

WEST BROM vs. ASTON VILLA

• Aston Villa has lost three of its last four league matches when playing as the favorite
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three of the last four league matches played between both clubs
• Aston Villa has seen the BTS fail to hit in seven of its last 11 league matches  

Tech Edge: Aston Villa 
Probability: Aston Villa - 51.5%

Monday, Dec. 21

BURNLEY vs. WOLVERHAMPTON

• Burnley has lost three of its last four league home matche to nil when playing as the underdog
• Pedro Neto has scored a goal in three of his last four prime-time league matches
• Burnley has covered the Asian Handicap in three straight league matches when facing Wolverhampton
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four straight league matches played between both clubs
• A 1-1 draw has occurred in two straight league matches played between both clubs
• Burnley has failed to see the BTS hit in nine of its last 12 league matches  

Tech Edge: Burnley Asian Handicap  
Probability: Wolverhampton - 44.8%

CHELSEA vs. WEST HAM 

• West Ham has lost six straight prime-time league matches after seeing a draw the match prior 
• Tomas Soucek has scored a goal in two straight leagye matches when playing as the underdog
• West Ham has covered the Asian Handicap in four of its last five league matches
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of its last five league matches

Tech Edge: West Ham Asian Handicap
Probability: Chelsea - 67.2%

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