EPL Matchday 15 – Tech Trends & Edge Plays

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

Matchday 15 of the English Premier League kicks off Saturday, Dec. 26 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

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Saturday, Dec. 26

LEICESTER CITY vs. MANCHESTER UNITED

• Manchester United has won 10 straight league road matches
• Bruno Fernandes has scored a goal in seven of his last eight league matches when playing during the daytime
• Manchester United has covered the Asian Handicap in three straight league matches when facing Leicester
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three straight league matches played between both clubs
• Manchester United has won four straight league matches when facing Leicester  

Tech Edge: Manchester United
Probability: Manchester United - 42.9%

FULHAM vs. SOUTHAMPTON

• Southampton has won nine straight league matches when facing a promoted club
• Southampton has won four straight league matches to nil when playing as the favorite 
• Southampton has covered the Asian Handicap in four of its last five league matches when facing Fulham
• Fulham has seen a draw in three straight league matches 

Tech Edge: Southampton
Probability: Southampton - 43.1%

ASTON VILLA vs. CRYSTAL PALACE

• Aston Villa has lost three of its last four legue home matches when playing as the favorite
• Nathaniel Clyne has scored a goal in two straight league matches when playing inside Villa Park
• Crystal Palace has seen the road team win the first half in three straight league matches
• The BTS has failed to hit in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs 
• The home team has covered the Asian Handicap in four straight league matches played between both clubs
• Aston Villa has gone OVER the goal total in eight of its last 12 league matches 

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Aston Villa - 51.9%

ARSENAL vs. CHELSEA

• Arsenal has won the first half in four of its last five league home matches when playing as the underdog
• Arsenal has won three straight prime-time league home matches when playing as the underdog 
• Alexandre Lacazette has scored a goal in four straight prime-time league home matches when playing on a Saturday 
• Jorginho has scored a goal in two straight league matches when facing Arsenal
• The goal total has OVER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs 
• Arsenal has lost four of its last five league matches 

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5
Probability: Chelsea - 52.2%

SHEFFIELD UNITED vs. EVERTON

• Sheffield United has lost eight straight prime-time league matches
• Dominic Calvert-Lewis has scored a goal in four of his last five road league matches when playing on a Saturday
• Everton has won the first half in three straight league matches 

Tech Edge: Everton 
Probability: Everton - 53.3%

MANCHESTER CITY vs. NEWCASTLE UNITED

• Man City has won 11 straight league home matches when facing Newcastle
• Man City has won three of its last four league home matches to nil when playing on a Saturday
• Sergio Aguero has scored three or more goals in two of his last three league home matches when facing Newcastle 
• The goal total has gone OVER in five straight league matches played between both clubs
• Newcastle has covered the Asian Handicap in four of its last five league matches when facing Man City
• Man City has gone UNDER the goal total in 10 of its last 13 league matches 

Tech Edge: Sergio Aguero Goal  
Probability: Manchester City - 90.1%

Sunday, Dec. 27

LEEDS UNITED vs. BURNLEY

• Leeds has lost four of its last five league matches when playing as the favorite 
• Leeds has lost the second half in four of its last five league matches when playing as the favorite
• Leeds has seen the BTS hit in four straight league matches
• Patrick Bamford has scored a goal in three straight league matches when playing during the daytime as the favorite
• Ashley Barnes has scored a goal in two straight league matches when playing during the daytime on a Sunday

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Leeds United - 57.8%

WEST HAM vs. BRIGHTON

• Brighton has won three of its last four league road matches when playing during the daytime as the underdog
• Daniel Wlbeck has scored a goal in three of his last four league matches when playing during the daytime
• A draw has occurred in three straight league matches played between both clubs 
• Brighton is unbeaten in five straight league matches when facing West Ham
• Brighton has seen the BTS hit in 10 of its last 14 league matches 

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5 
Probability: West Ham - 42.6%

LIVERPOOL vs. WEST BROM

• Jordan Henderson has scored a goal in two straight league home matches when facing West Ham during the daytime
• Liverpool has won five straight league home matches to nil when playing on a Sunday
• Mo Salah has scored a goal in six of his last seven league matches
• West Brom has covered the Asian Handicap in three of its last four league matches when facing Liverpool
• Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in 10 of its last 14 league matches 
• Liverpool has seen the goal total go OVER in 10 of its last 14 league matches 

Tech Edge: Mo Salah Goal  
Probability: Liverpool - 89.3%

WOLVERHAMPTON vs. TOTTENHAM

• Wolves has won three of its last four league prime-time matches when playing as the underdog
• Tottenham has won the first half in four straight league matches when facing Wolves
• Wolves has won the second half in three of its last four league matches when facing Tottenham
• The road team has covered the Asian Handicap in five straight league matches played between both clubs
• The goal total has gone OVER in four straight league matches played between both clubs 
• Tottenham has failed to win four of its last five league matches 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Tottenham - 47.2%

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