US Sports Betting Industry Expert
Following a dominating 6-2 win in Game 3, the Tampa Bay Lightning have gotten themselves back into the Stanley Cup Final, but still trail the Avalanche 2-1 in the series. Game 1 was a thrilling overtime victory for Colorado, but both of the last two games have been blowouts. First, it was the Avalanche rolling to a 7-0 victory in Game 2, followed by Tampa’s response in Game 3.
Oddsmakers have Game 4 as even money, with both teams sitting at -110 on the moneyline. Those odds are courtesy of SI Sportsbook where you can use our promo code, VIBONUS, for a Bet $5, Win $100 in free bets welcome offer!
The loss in Game 3 by the Avalanche was just their third loss of the postseason as they have a record of 14-3 in their 17 playoff games. It was their first loss on the road in the playoffs, as they had previously gone 7-0 outside of Denver.
Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has been dominant in their own barn throughout the Stanley Cup Playoffs. After losing to Toronto in their first home game of the postseason, Tampa has not dropped a game at Amalie Arena since. In fact, it’s been over six weeks since the Tampa Bay crowd left a Lightning game after watching their team lose.
On May 6, Tampa fell to Toronto 5-2 in Game 3 of their first round series. Since then, they’ve gone 8-0 at home, including 3-0 in Game 4s. Superstar goaltender Andre Vasilevskiy has been a huge reason for their success, allowing 13 goals in those eight games, which averages out to less than two per game. After allowing 11 goals to the Avalanche in Games 1 and 2 in Colorado, Vasilevskiy returned to form in front of his home crowd.
Despite three high-scoring affairs in which the teams combined for at least seven goals in each contest, oddsmakers think a slightly lower-scoring contest is coming in Game 4. According to SI Sportsbook, over 5.5 goals comes at a -138 price (under is +110) while over 6.5 goals sits at +140 (under 6.5 goals is -175). Remember to use our promo code, VIBONUS, for a Bet $5, Win $100 in free bets welcome offer!
They also offer a host of player props, including which players will score goals. Both Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon and Tampa’s Steven Stamkos are seen as the most likely goal scorers with both at +150 to put at least one into the back of the net.
MacKinnon has scored 11 goals in the playoffs but has yet to light the lamp in the Stanley Cup Final. He has been a very streaky goal scorer in these playoffs. In the first round series against the Predators, MacKinnon scored in each of the four games during the Avs’ sweep (five goals total).
In the second round against the Blues, MacKinnon scored in just one of the six games, but he had a hat trick in that Game 5 performance. Then, in the Western Conference Final, Mackinnon was on again, scoring in three of the four games during the sweep.
Stamkos, who scored 42 goals in the regular season, has potted 10 in the postseason. The Lightning need offense from Stamkos if they hope to even the series tonight. In games when Stamkos records at least one point, the team is 9-2. When he is held completely off the score sheet, Tampa is just 3-5, including 0-2 against Colorado.
Written by Dan Zaksheske, our US sports betting industry expert.