UFC on ESPN 14 Betting Trends, Records To Watch

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

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UFC on ESPN 14 Main Card

Main Event - Middleweight Bout
Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till

Robert Whittaker (29-years-old)
UFC Record (11-3)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO loss (Round 2, 3:33) in title bout vs. Israel Adesanya at UFC 243 on Oct. 5, 2019
• Despite loss last time out, still 9-1 across past 10 fights with four KO/TKO and five decision victories
• Hasn't had a submission result (win or loss) since tapping vs. Hoon Kim on Oct. 30, 2011 at LFC: Legend Fighting Championship 6
• In 26 career professional bouts Whittaker is 10-2 via KO/TKO and 5-1 via submission
• Three of his past five fights, and seven of his past 13 bouts, have finished inside the distance

Darren Till (27-years-old)
UFC Record (5-2-1)

• Last Fight - split-decision win vs. Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 244 on Nov. 2, 2019
• 1-2 across past three fights, but two losses are to contenders Jorge Masvidal and Tyron Woodley in a title bout
• Three of his past five fights have finished inside the distance (1-2)
• Has never posted a submission victory at the UFC level (0-1)
• Last submission win was Nov. 29, 2014 vs. Sergio Matias at AFC: Aspera FC 14

Light Heavyweight Bout
Mauricio Rua vs. Rogerio Nogueira

Mauricio Rua (38-years-old)
UFC Record (10-9-1)

• Last Fight - split-decision draw vs. Paul Craig at UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz-Jacare on Nov. 16, 2019
• 1-1-1 across his past three bouts
• Three of his past four fights have finished inside the distance, with three KO/TKO results (2-1)
• Six of his past nine have also finished inside the distance
• 'Shogun' has never won at the UFC level via submission, going 0-2, including a loss to Chael Sonnen Aug. 17, 2013 in the main event

Rogerio Nogueira (44-years-old)
UFC Record (6-6)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO loss (Round 1, 2:07) vs. Ryan Spann at UFC 237 on May 11, 2019
• Lost via unanimous decision to Rua on Aug. 1, 2015 at UFC 190, and also via unanimous decision on June 26, 2005 at PRIDE: Critical Countdown 2005
• Each of his past four fights have finished inside the distance, all via KO/TKO (2-2)
• Has never had a submission finish (win or loss) at UFC level

Heavyweight Bout
Fabricio Werdum vs. Alexander Gustafsson

Fabricio Werdum (42-years-old)
UFC Record (11-6)

• Last Fight - split-decision loss to Aleksei Oleinik at UFC 249 on May 9, 2020
• 0-2 across his past two outings, and 3-4 over his previous seven fights
• Has never lost three consecutive fights at any point during his professional career
• Four of his past six fights have gone the distance (2-2)
• In 33 career professional fights, 11-0 via submission, with last win Oct. 7, 2017 vs. Walt Harris at UFC 216

Alexander Gustafsson (33-years-old)
UFC Record (10-6)

• Last Fight - submission loss (Round 4, 2:38) vs. Anthony Smith on June 1, 2019
• 0-2 across past two outings, and 3-5 over his previous eight bouts
• Has never lost three consecutive bouts at any point during his professional career
• Each of his past three fights have finished inside the distance (1-2)
• Hasn't won via submission since topping James Te Huna at UFC 127 on Feb. 26, 2011

Women's Strawweight Bout
Carla Esparza vs. Marina Rodriguez

Carla Esparza (32-years-old)
UFC Record (6-4)

• Last Fight - split-decision win vs. Michelle Waterson at UFC 249 on May 9, 2020
• 3-0 across his past three bouts, a split-decision win, a majority-decision win and a unanimous-decision win
• Eight of her past nine bouts have gone the distance (6-2)
• Hasn't had a KO/TKO win since topping Lynn Alvarez at Invicta FC 3 on Oct. 6, 2012
• Hasn't had a submission win since Dec. 12, 2014 vs. Rose Namajunas at The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale

Marina Rodriguez (33-years-old)
UFC Record (2-0-2)

• Last Fight - majority-decision draw vs. Cynthia Calvillo on Dec. 7, 2019
• 2-0-2 at UFC level, and all four fights have gone the distance
• In 14 career professional fights, 5-0 via KO/TKO and 1-0 via submission
• Seven of her previous eight pro fights have been decided by the judges

Light Heavyweight Bout
Paul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Paul Craig (32-years-old)
UFC Record (4-4-1)

• Last Fight - split-decision draw vs. Mauricio Rua on Nov. 16, 2019
• 2-1-1 across his past four fights, including a pair of submission victories
• Eight of his nine bouts at the UFC level have finished inside the distance (4-4)
• In 17 career professional fights, 12 of his bouts have ended via submission (11-1)
• He is just 1-3 across his career via KO/TKO
• Holds a 76" to 70.5" reach advantage, and four-inch height advantage, over his opponent

Gadzhimurad Antigulov (30-years-old)
UFC Record (5-3)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO loss (Round 1, 0:44) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
• Each of his four fights at the UFC level have ended before the end of Round 1
• Holds a 8.70 to 1.65 takedown average advantage, and 3.48 to 1.47 submission average advantage
• Each of his previous eight fights have finished inside the distance (6-2)

Welterweight Bout
Alex Oliveira vs. Peter Sobotta

Alex Oliveira (32-years-old)
UFC Record (10-6-1)

• Last Fight - split-decision win vs. Max Griffin at UFC 248 on March 7, 2020
• 1-3 across his past four outings, including a submission loss vs. Gunnar Nelson at UFC 231
• Eight of his previous 11 fights have finished inside the distance, although past three have been decisions
• In 29 career fights as a profession, 13 have ended via KO/TKO (12-1) and eight by submission (4-4)

Peter Sobotta (30-years-old)
UFC Record (4-5)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO loss (Round 3, 4:59) vs. Leon Edwards on May 17, 2018
• Was forced to pull out of his previously scheduled bout Sept. 28, 2019 vs. Alessio Di Chirico due to an undisclosed injury
• 2-2 across his previous four fights, including two KO/TKO setbacks
• Four of his past five fights have finished inside the distance

Welterweight Bout
Khamzat Chimaev vs. Rhys McKee

Khamzat Chimaev (26-years-old)
UFC Record (1-0)

• Last Fight - submission win (Round 2, 1:12) vs. John Phillips on July 15, 2020
• Chas Skelly holds the previous record of quickest turnaround between fights in UFC history at 13 days
• 7-0 in seven career fights as a professional, with all seven fights ending inside the distance
• 3-0 in his career via KO/TKO, and 4-0 via submission, including his UFC debut last week

Rhys McKee (24-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making his UFC debut
• Last Fight - TKO win (Round 1, 1:03) vs. Hakon Foss at Cage Warriors: Ireland
• 3-0 across his past three outings, with each battle finishing inside the distance
• In 13 career professional bouts, 7-1 via KO/TKO and 3-0 via submission

UFC on ESPN 14 Prelims

Lightweight Bout
Francisco Trinaldo vs. Jai Herbert

Francisco Trinaldo (41-years-old)
UFC Record (15-6)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. John Makdessi on March 14, 2020
• 2-1 across his past three fights, with all three unanimous decisions
• Only one of his previous six fights have finished inside the distance, a KO/TKO win vs. Evan Dunham on Sept. 22, 2018
• In 32 career professional fights, 8-0 via KO/TKO and 5-3 via submission

Jai Herbert (32-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making UFC debut
• Last Fight - KO/TKO win (Round 1, 3:26) at CW 109 for the lightweight strap on Oct. 26, 2019
• Each of his previous four fights have ended inside the distance, all KO/TKO wins
• Only one of his 11 fights as a professional have gone the distance

Welterweight Bout
Nicolas Dalby vs. Jesse Ronson

Nicolas Dalby (35-years-old)
UFC Record (2-2-1)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Alex Oliveira in his UFC return on Sept. 28, 2019
• 'Locomotivo' has posted a 4-0-1 record across his past five professional fights, including two wins via KO/TKO and one by submission
• All five of his fights at the UFC level have ended up going the distance

Jesse Ronson (34-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making his UFC debut
• Last Fight - submission win (Round 1, 4:16) at BTC 9: Rampage vs. Troy Lamson on Feb. 29, 2020
• 6-2 across past eight professional fights, with six bouts finishing inside the distance
• In 31 career fights as a pro, 12 have ended via KO/TKO (10-2) and eight by way of submission (7-1)

Heavyweight Bout
Tom Aspinall vs. Jake Collier

Tom Aspinall (27-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making his UFC debut
• Last Fight - TKO win vs. Michael Ben Hamouda at Cage Warriors 107: Liverpool on Sept. 28, 2019
• Each of his past three pro wins have been by way of KO/TKO
• In nine career professional fights, none of his fights have ended up going the distance

Jake Collier (31-years-old)
UFC Record (3-3)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Marcel Fortuna on Nov. 11, 2017
• Has alternated wins and losses in his six fights at the UFC level
• Was suspended 10 months by United States Anti-Doping Agency after testing positive for a banned substance Dec. 27, 2018

Featherweight Bout
Movsar Evloev vs. Mike Grundy

Movsar Evloev (26-years-old)
UFC Record (2-0)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Enrique Barzola on Oct. 26, 2019
• 2-0 at the UFC level, and 12-0 in 12 career professional fights
• While only four of his 12 career fights have gone the distance, both have been unanimous decisions at the UFC level

Mike Grundy (33-years-old)
UFC Record (1-0)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO win (Round 2, 4:42) vs. Nad Narimani in his UFC debut on March 16, 2019
• Was forced to pull out of a scheduled fight vs. Evloev back in August due to a rib injury
• 9-0 across his past nine career pro bouts, with last loss on March 28, 2015, a submission loss to Damian Stasiak at BAMMA 19

Heavyweight Bout
Tanner Boser vs. Raphael Pessoa

Tanner Boser (28-years-old)
UFC Record (2-1)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO win (Round 1, 2:41) vs. Philipe Lins on June 27, 2020 at the UFC's APEX Facility
• Each of his previous two appearances at the UFC level had gone the distance
• In the past 15 pro fights, 12 have ended up going the distance
• In 25 career professional bouts, 10 have ended via KO/TKO (9-1) and two by way of submission (2-0)

Raphael Pessoa (31-years-old)
UFC Record (1-1)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Jeff Hughes on Oct. 26, 2019
• In 11 career professional fights, six have ended by way of KO/TKO (6-0) and two by submission (1-1)
• Was submitted by Ciryl Gane on Aug. 10, 2019 in his UFC debut
• Eight of his 11 fights as a professional have finished inside the distance (1-1 at UFC level)

Women's Bantamweight Bout
Bethe Correia vs. Pannie Kianzad

Bethe Correia (37-years-old)
UFC Record (5-4-1)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Sijara Eubanks on Sept. 21, 2019
• Hasn't won consecutive fights at UFC level since going 3-0 from Dec. 6, 2013 to Aug. 30, 2014
• Two of her previous three fights have finished inside the distance, both losses
• In 16 career professional fights, just 2-2 via KO/TKO and 0-1 by way of submission

Pannie Kianzad (28-years-old)
UFC Record (1-1)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Jessica-Rose Clark on Nov. 9, 2019
• Each of her past three fights, and seven of the previous eight, have been unanimous decisions
• Hasn't had a win via knockout since Aug. 22, 2014 vs. Megan van Houtum at CWFC 71: Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 71
• Hasn't had a victory by submission in 18 career fights, going 0-2

Welterweight Bout
Ramazan Emeev vs. Niklas Stolze

Ramazan Emeev (33-years-old)
UFC Record (3-1)

• Last Fight - unanimous decision loss vs. Anthony Rocco Martin on Nov. 9, 2019
• All four of his fights at the UFC level have ended up going the distance (all unanimous decisions)
• Last fight to finish inside the distance was a submission win vs. Maiquel Falcao at M-1 Challenge 65 on April 8, 2016
• In 22 career professional fights, 3-1 via KO/TKO and 7-1 by way of submission

Niklas Stolze (27-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making his UFC debut
• Last Fight - unanimous decision win vs. Omar Jesus Santana at NOVA FC 1: A Star is Born on April 13, 2019
• In 15 career fights as a professional, 4-0 via KO/TKO and 5-0 by way of submission
• Only two losses of pro career are by unanimous decision, with last loss vs. Chris Stringer at BAMMA 30 on July 7, 2017

Bantamweight Bout
Nathaniel Wood vs. John Castaneda

Nathaniel Wood (27-years-old)
UFC Record (3-1)

• Last Fight - KO/TKO loss (Round 3, 0:16) vs. John Dodson on Feb. 15, 2020 in Rio Rancho, N.M.
• All four of his fights at the UFC level have finished inside the distance
• Last pro fight to go to decision was a unanimous-decision win vs. Bryan Creighton on Nov. 14, 2015 at BAMMA 23: Night of Champions
• In 20 career professional fights, 9-2 via KO/TKO and 5-2 by way of submission

John Castaneda (28-years-old)
UFC Record (0-0)

• Making his UFC debut
• Last Fight - submission win (Round 3, 2:37) vs. Marcele Rojos at Combate Estrellas on April 12, 2019
• Two of his past three fights finished inside the distance, and 13 of his 21 professional fights overall have not involved the judges

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