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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:52 PM

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori - Trends

UFC Fight Night airs this Saturday, Dec. 5 with Jack Hermansson facing Marvin Vettori in the main event. The event is set to air live on ESPN2 from UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nevada. Below are the betting trends and probabilites for each match on the current fight card. 

Match card subject to change

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori

GIAN VILLANTE vs. JAKE COLLIER

  • Gian Villante has lost seven of his last 11 fights
  • Gian Villante has entered the third round in seven of his last nine fights
  • Jake Collier has won 11 of his last 16 fights 
  • Jake Collier has won four straight fights after losing the fight prior

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Villante (66.7%)

DAMON JACKSON vs. ILIA TOPURIA

  • Ilia Topuria has won nine straight fights and has never lost
  • Ilia Topuria has seen four of his last five fights end in the first round
  • Ilia Topuria has won with some form of a choke hold in six of his last nine fights
  • Damon Jackson has seen a finished result in 10 straight fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Topuria (73.3%)

CODY DURDEN vs. JIMMY FLICK

  • Jimmy Flick has won 15 of his last 20 fights
  • Jimmy Flick has won three straight matches with a submission 
  • Cody Durden is unbeaten in eight straight fights
  • Cody Durden has seen five of his last eight fights end in the first round

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Flick (64.5%)


MATT WIMAN vs. JORDAN LEAVITT

  • Matt Wiman has lost three of his last four fights
  • Matt Wiman has seen three straight fights enter the third round
  • Jordan Leavitt has won seven straight fights and has never lost
  • Jordan Leavitt has won five of his last seven fights with a submission  

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Leavitt (80.8%)

LOUIS SMOLKA vs. JOSÉ ALBERTO QUIÑÓNEZ

  • Louis Smolka has seen three straight fights end in the first round
  • Louis Smolka has seen a finished result in seven straight fights
  • José Alberto Quiñónez has gone the distance in four of his last six fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Smolka (58.2%)

JOHN ALLAN vs. ROMAN DOLIDZE

  • John Allan has seen three of his last five fights end in Round 2
  • Roman Dolidze has won seven straight fights and has never lost
  • Roman Dolidze has won four straight matches with a TKO/KO

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Dolidze (66.7%)

MOVSAR EVLOEV vs. NATE LANDWEHR

  • Movsar Evloev has won 13 straight fights and has never lost
  • Movsar Evloev has gone the distance in three straight fights
  • Nate Landwehr has won 14 of his last 17 fights
  • Nate Landwehr has seen a KO result in five of his last six fights after seeing a decision the fight prior

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Evloev (85.5%)

TALIA SANTOS vs. MONTANA DE LA ROSA

  • Taila Santos has won 16 of her last 17 fights
  • Talia Santos has gone the distance in three straight fights
  • Montana de la Rosa has won three of her last four fights after losing the fight prior

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Santos (69.2%)

GABRIEL BENITEZ vs. JUSTIN JAYNES

  • Justin Jaynes has seen five of his last six fights end in Round 1
  • Gabriel Benitez has lost three of his last five fights
  • Gabriel Benitez has seen two of his last three fights end in Round 1

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Benitez (68.3%)

JAMAHAL HILL vs. OVINCE ST. PREUX 

  • Ovince St. Pruex has lost four of his last seven fights
  • Ovince St. Pruex has seen three of his last four fights end in Round 2
  • Jamahal Hill has won seven of his last eight fights and has never lost

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Hill (63.9%)

JACK HERMANSSON vs. MARVIN VETTORI 

  • Jack Hermansson has won three straight UFC fights in Round 1 when facing a younger opponent
  • Jack Hermansson has seen a finished result in nine of his last 10 fights
  • Marvin Vettori has won three straight fights
  • Marvin Vettori has gone the distance in six of his last seven fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Vettori (58.5%)

What is Implied Probability?

Implied probability is a conversion of betting odds into a percentage. It takes into account the sportsbooks margin to express the expected probability of an outcome occurring.

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