CFL Betting Notes – Week 5
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
On the 4th of July, Montreal posted its first straight-up win of the season in Thursday night’s 36-29 upset against Hamilton as a heavy 13-point home underdog. This was the backend of an East Division home-and-home series.
In Friday’s CFL action, Winnipeg remained undefeated on the year with a 29-14 victory over Ottawa as a three-point road underdog. British Columbia edged Toronto 18-17 as an eight-point road favorite in Saturday’s early game ahead of Calgary’s 37-10 pasting of Saskatchewan as a five-point underdog on the road this past Saturday night.
Thursday, July 11
Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Eskimos -3
Total: 54.5
Game Overview
Edmonton comes off a bye week looking for its first road win of the season. The Eskimos were upended by Winnipeg 28-21 in Week 3 as five-point road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER 57 ½ points in that loss after going OVER in their first two wins at home against Montreal and BC. Edmonton beat the Lions 39-23 in Week 2 as three-point favorites at home. Trevor Harris has thrown for 1,086 yards and six touchdowns against zero interceptions in his first three starts for the Eskimos as their new quarterback.
The Lions snapped a three-game losing streak with Saturday’s win. They were outscored by 30 points in those first three losses before squeezing past Toronto with the one-point win their last time out. Mike Reilly completed 23 of his 34 passing attempts in his last start for 272 passing yards and one score. He was also picked off once. BC got a big effort from John White running the ball with 138 rushing yards and one score on 22 carries.
Betting Trends
-- The Eskimos have a 5-2 edge against the spread in their last seven games against BC and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings. The Lions are 10-4 SU and ATS in their last 14 home games against the Eskimos.
Friday, July 12
Toronto Argonauts (0-3 SU, 1-2ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:
Game Overview
Toronto is still looking for its first win of the season after losing 14 of 18 games SU in 2018. The Argonauts are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on the road. McLeod Bethel-Thompson put the ball up 33 times against BC on Saturday and he completed 25 of those passes for 303 yards and one touchdown. He also tossed an interception. Toronto was held to 41 yards rushing on 11 attempts. James Wilder Jr. has rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries this season.
The Blue Bombers are the only CFL team with a perfect record both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last two games after going OVER 50 ½ point in a 33-23 win against BC in Week 1 with the closing spread set as a PICK. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols left Friday’s game in the third quarter with an apparent neck injury, but he remains optimistic that he will be able to go this Friday night. Chris Streveler took his place and he completed six of his eight passing attempts for 42 yards and a score.Betting Trends
-- Winnipeg has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five home games against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in this inter-division clash. The Blue Bombers have won five of the last six meetings SU overall.
Saturday, July 13
Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:
Game Overview
The Alouettes stopped a two-game SU skid with last Thursday’s upset. The total went OVER 56 points against Hamilton and it has gone OVER in two of their first three games. Vernon Adams Jr. threw for 202 yards in that game after completing 14 of his 25 passing attempts. William Stanback was the top star on offense with 203 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns on 22 carries. He now leads the CFL in that category with 357 yards on the ground and four scores on 44 carries.
Ottawa started the season with a road upset against Calgary followed by a wild 44-41 victory against Saskatchewan at home as a 4 ½-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER 54 points in the loss to Winnipeg after it went OVER in the RedBlacks’ first two games. Dominique Davis has started all three games at quarterback and he has thrown for 864 yards and three touchdowns, but he has also tossed six interceptions. He has completed 67.2 percent of his 119 passing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- Ottawa has won six of its last seven games against Montreal SU with the total staying UNDER in each of the last five meetings. The RedBlacks are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine home games against the Alouettes.
Calgary Stampeders (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:
Game Overview
The defending CFL Champions played the part on Saturday with the lopsided victory against Saskatchewan despite the absence of quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell due to injury. In his place, Nick Arbuckle completed 19-of-22 passes for 262 yards and two scores. Reginald Begelton caught four passes for 61 yards and a score. Arbuckle completed at least one pass to nine different players. The Stampeders ran the ball 21 times for an additional 129 yards on the ground.
The Tiger-Cats fell from the ranks of the unbeaten with last Thursday’s loss as heavy road favorites. They beat Montreal 41-10 in the first meeting on June 28 as 12 ½-point favorites at home. The total went OVER 56 points in that second meeting after staying UNDER 56 ½ points in Week 3. Quarterback Jeramiah Masoli leads the CFL in passing after completing 94 of his 134 attempts for 1,325 yards in four games. He has seven touchdown throws against five interceptions.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has won its last five road games against the Tiger-Cats SU with a 6-1 record ATS in the last seven meetings in Hamilton. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings overall.
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