Last Updated Oct 22, 2022, 3:34 PM

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Picks, Predictions, Odds

The last five games between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Texas Longhorns have been decided by one possession, so expect a close game when these teams meet on Saturday, October 22, 2022, at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC from Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma. 


The Big 12 title hopes for either the Oklahoma State Cowboys or Texas Longhorns will take a major hit this weekend. Both teams already have one conference loss, so a second conference loss could very well knock them out of contention to play in the Big 12 Championship Game. Although this game is being played in Stillwater, the Texas Longhorns are favored by the college football betting odds now that Quinn Ewers is back under center.

Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 34, Texas 31
Best Bet: Oklahoma State +6 (-110)


More Odds | Futures Odds | CFP Central


Date: Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022
Matchup: Big 12
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium
Location: Stillwater, Oklahoma
Time-TV: ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks


Perhaps a letdown should have been expected from Texas last week. The Longhorns were very fortunate to squeak out a win over Iowa State following their blowout win over Oklahoma two weeks ago. Xavier Hutchinson dropped a wide-open touchdown pass that would have put the Cyclones up by four points with less than three minutes left, and an obvious targeting penalty that led to a turnover wasn’t called, allowing Texas to escape with a 24-21 win.

The good news for Texas is that Quinn Ewers looks to be the real deal. Ewers has thrived under center for the Longhorns, completing 67.7% of his passes for 8.8 YPA with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington are both pro caliber receivers that should end up playing on Sundays, allowing Steve Sarkisian to have a lot of success with this offense.

Bijan Robinson is having a huge year too. Robinson has run for 780 yards and 10 touchdowns already this season, and he is averaging 5.7 YPC. The best running back in the Big 12 has been a solid receiver out of the backfield too, helping this offense rank 11th in Offensive SP+.

Texas has been excellent on defense, but the Longhorns have caught some breaks on this side of the ball. Rival Oklahoma didn’t have star quarterback Dillon Gabriel available when they met two weeks ago at Red River, and they have only played one road game through their first seven tilts of the 2022 campaign. In their previous road game, the Longhorns gave up 31 first downs and 479 total yards to an above average Texas Tech offense, so Oklahoma State could have a lot more success than anyone thinks on Saturday.

Texas has gone UNDER the total in seven of nine games. (Getty)


Oklahoma State was unbeaten and ranked in the top ten until falling on the road in double overtime to TCU last week. The Cowboys took a double-digit lead into halftime and led by 14 points with less than 10 minutes left in the fourth quarter, but the Horned Frogs roared back to tie it with under two minutes to play. TCU never relinquished the momentum edge in the extra frame and moved to 6-0 after Kendre Miller found the end zone on the final play of the game.

The Cowboys offense is ranked 16th in Offensive SP+. Spencer Sanders continues to have accuracy issues at times, but Mike Gundy isn’t going to move away from the senior signal caller due to his mobility. Sanders is completing just 58.5% of his passes for 1,639 yards (8.0 YPA) with 13 touchdowns and three interceptions through six games, and he has run for 309 yards (4.5 YPC) and eight touchdowns.

Sanders has needed to jumpstart a ground game that hasn’t been effective over the last month. Dominic Richardson started the season with strong performances against Central Michigan and Arizona State, but he hasn’t averaged more than 3.5 YPC in any of Oklahoma State’s last four games.

Jim Knowles became Ohio State’s defensive coordinator this offseason, and Oklahoma State has fallen off on this side of the ball as a result. The Cowboys have one of the worst pass defenses in college football, allowing 331.4 YPG through the air, and they are surrendering almost 480 yards per game. To be fair, the Cowboys have played some excellent offenses to date, and this defense has been excellent at getting off the field on third downs, ranking third nationally in third down defense.


  • OKST has gone OVER in five of six games.
  • OKST is 4-1 ATS last five games.
  • OKST is 19-3 SU last 22 games.
  • OKST is 12-1 SU last 13 home games.
  • Texas is 6-2 ATS last eight games.
  • Texas is 4-1 SU last five games.
  • Texas has gone UNDER in seven of nine games.
  • Texas is 1-4 SU last five road games.
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