College Football Betting Trends – Week 14

Betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 14 College Football slate, which includes a focus on the 10 Championship Games.

Check them out below and be sure to visit our NCAAFB picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Friday, December 2

Akron vs. Buffalo (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Make-up of recent snow-out game.
  • Joe Moorhead 5-2-1 last eight vs. spread this season after NIU romp.
  • Bulls have cooled with three straight Ls after previous five straight covers.
  • Blowout wins for UB last four in series. Tech edge-Buffalo, based on series and extended trends.

Tech Play: Buffalo
Expert Picks

North Texas at Texas San Antonio (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

  • CUSA Championship
  • Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
  • Rematch of tense 31-27 Roadrunners win (but Mean Green cover) on Oct. 22 at Alamodome.
  • Part of Mean Green 6-game spread win streak at midseason before dropping last two vs. spread.
  • Seth Littrell of course ended UTSA unbeaten run late last season.
  • Mean Green 13-5 spread run since mid 2021, UTSA just 1-4 vs. spread last five at home in 2022.

Tech Play: North Texas
Expert Picks

Utah vs. USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)

  • Pac-12 Championship
  • Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Utes have beaten SC two in a row after mid-October 43-42 survival test in Salt Lake City.
  • Though Utah only 1-4 vs. spread away from Rice-Eccles this season.
  • Trojans now “over” last six in 2022, 9-3 “over” this campaign, last two “over” in series.

Tech Play: Over
Expert Picks

Updated on 07/24/2024
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Saturday, December 3

Kansas State vs. TCU (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

  • Big 12 Championship
  • AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
  • Rematch of 38-28 Frogs win and cover at Fort Worth back on Oct. 22.
  • Sonny Dykes 9-2-1 vs. spread this season.
  • Cats only 4-5 as dog for Chris Klieman since last season.

Tech Play: TCU
Expert Picks

Toledo vs. Ohio (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

  • MAC Championship
  • Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
  • Teams didn’t meet this season, but Rockets did win and cover by 35-23 a year ago.
  • Toedo hits Detroit on a 5-game spread losing streak after loss to WMU last week.
  • Bobcats surging with wins in seven straight and covers in eight straight this season.

Tech Play: Ohio
Expert Picks

Coastal Carolina at Troy (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

  • Sun Belt Championship
  • Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
  • Teams didn’t meet this season.
  • Trojans have won last nine SU and 7-2 vs. spread in those games in a raucous debut campaign for Jon Sumrall.
  • Troy “under” last two after five straight “overs” previous this season.
  • Chants only 2-5 vs. spread last seven this season and routed in finale at JMU.
  • Though, Jamey Chadwell has covered last six as dog since 2020.

Tech Play: Troy
Expert Picks

Central Florida at Tulane (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

  • American Athletic Championship
  • Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Rematch of Nov 12 at Yulman won by UCF, 38-31.
  • Willie Fritz and the Green Wave, however, on 14-3 spread uptick since late last season.
  • Gus Malzahn has dropped two straight vs. line after Golden Knights covered five of previous six this season.

Tech Play: Tulane
Expert Picks

Fresno State at Boise State (FOX, 4:00 p.m. ET)

  • Mountain West Championship
  • Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
  • Teams didn’t meet this season but Broncos romped 40-14 over a Kalen DeBoer Fresno in 2021.
  • Boise closed season on 6-2 spread uptick , covering 4 of last 5 at home.
  • Jeff Tedford, however, has won seven in a row SU since mid–October.
  • Note FSU had five straight “over” results before “under” vs Wyoming last Friday.

Tech Play: Fresno State
Expert Picks

LSU vs. Georgia (CBS, 4:00 p.m. ET)

  • SEC Championship
  • Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
  • Underdog teams are 4-1 vs. line last five SEC title games.
  • First meeting since 2019 SEC title when Tigers rolled 37-10 en route to national title.
  • LSU had covered 7 of previous ten this season before A&M loss.
  • Tigers 3-1 as dog in 2022.
  • Kirby Smart only 6-6 vs. line this season, also “under” 10-4 since late 2021.

Tech Play: LSU, Under
Expert Picks

Purdue vs. Michigan (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)

  • Big Ten Championship
  • Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Teams haven’t met since 2017.
  • Boilermakers only 2-4 vs. spread down stretch this season but when games they needed to win to steal Big Ten West.
  • Purdue 6-2 vs. spread last eight away from Ross-Ade, also 6-3 last nine as dog for Brohm.
  • Jim Harbaugh 4-1-1 vs. line last six this season, “under” 9-3-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Purdue, Under
Expert Picks

Clemson vs. North Carolina (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

  • ACC Championship
  • Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Teams haven’t met since Sept of 2019, when Mack Brown almost pulled major upset over Dabo.
  • Heels have dropped last two outright and 3 of last 4 vs. spread this season.
  • Mack 3-0 as dog in 2022, and UNC also “under” 3 of last 4 this season (would have been four straight if not for OTs vs. NC State last week).
  • Clemson just 6-6 vs. spread this season.

Tech Play: North Carolina, Under
Expert Picks