College Football Betting Trends – Week 14

Bruce Marshall Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 14 College Football slate, which includes a focus on the 10 Championship Games.

Check them out below and be sure to visit our NCAAFB picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Friday, December 2

Akron vs. Buffalo (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Make-up of recent snow-out game.
• Joe Moorhead 5-2-1 last eight vs. spread this season after NIU romp.
• Bulls have cooled with three straight Ls after previous five straight covers.
• Blowout wins for UB last four in series. Tech edge-Buffalo, based on series and extended trends.

Tech Play: Buffalo
Expert Picks

North Texas at Texas San Antonio (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

• CUSA Championship
• Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
• Rematch of tense 31-27 Roadrunners win (but Mean Green cover) on Oct. 22 at Alamodome.
• Part of Mean Green 6-game spread win streak at midseason before dropping last two vs. spread.
• Seth Littrell of course ended UTSA unbeaten run late last season.
• Mean Green 13-5 spread run since mid 2021, UTSA just 1-4 vs. spread last five at home in 2022.

Tech Play: North Texas
Expert Picks

Utah vs. USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)

• Pac-12 Championship
• Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
• Utes have beaten SC two in a row after mid-October 43-42 survival test in Salt Lake City.
• Though Utah only 1-4 vs. spread away from Rice-Eccles this season.
• Trojans now “over” last six in 2022, 9-3 “over” this campaign, last two “over” in series.

Tech Play: Over
Expert Picks

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Saturday, December 3

Kansas State vs. TCU (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

• Big 12 Championship
• AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
• Rematch of 38-28 Frogs win and cover at Fort Worth back on Oct. 22.
• Sonny Dykes 9-2-1 vs. spread this season.
• Cats only 4-5 as dog for Chris Klieman since last season.

Tech Play: TCU
Expert Picks

Toledo vs. Ohio (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

• MAC Championship
• Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
• Teams didn’t meet this season, but Rockets did win and cover by 35-23 a year ago.
• Toedo hits Detroit on a 5-game spread losing streak after loss to WMU last week.
• Bobcats surging with wins in seven straight and covers in eight straight this season.

Tech Play: Ohio
Expert Picks

Coastal Carolina at Troy (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

• Sun Belt Championship
• Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
• Teams didn’t meet this season.
• Trojans have won last nine SU and 7-2 vs. spread in those games in a raucous debut campaign for Jon Sumrall.
• Troy “under” last two after five straight “overs” previous this season.
• Chants only 2-5 vs. spread last seven this season and routed in finale at JMU.
• Though, Jamey Chadwell has covered last six as dog since 2020.

Tech Play: Troy
Expert Picks

Central Florida at Tulane (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

• American Athletic Championship
• Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
• Rematch of Nov 12 at Yulman won by UCF, 38-31.
• Willie Fritz and the Green Wave, however, on 14-3 spread uptick since late last season.
• Gus Malzahn has dropped two straight vs. line after Golden Knights covered five of previous six this season.

Tech Play: Tulane
Expert Picks

Fresno State at Boise State (FOX, 4:00 p.m. ET)

• Mountain West Championship
• Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
• Teams didn’t meet this season but Broncos romped 40-14 over a Kalen DeBoer Fresno in 2021.
• Boise closed season on 6-2 spread uptick , covering 4 of last 5 at home.
• Jeff Tedford, however, has won seven in a row SU since mid–October.
• Note FSU had five straight “over” results before “under” vs Wyoming last Friday.

Tech Play: Fresno State
Expert Picks

LSU vs. Georgia (CBS, 4:00 p.m. ET)

• SEC Championship
• Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
• Underdog teams are 4-1 vs. line last five SEC title games.
• First meeting since 2019 SEC title when Tigers rolled 37-10 en route to national title.
• LSU had covered 7 of previous ten this season before A&M loss.
• Tigers 3-1 as dog in 2022.
• Kirby Smart only 6-6 vs. line this season, also “under” 10-4 since late 2021.

Tech Play: LSU, Under
Expert Picks

Purdue vs. Michigan (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)

• Big Ten Championship
• Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
• Teams haven’t met since 2017.
• Boilermakers only 2-4 vs. spread down stretch this season but when games they needed to win to steal Big Ten West.
• Purdue 6-2 vs. spread last eight away from Ross-Ade, also 6-3 last nine as dog for Brohm.
• Jim Harbaugh 4-1-1 vs. line last six this season, “under” 9-3-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Purdue, Under
Expert Picks

Clemson vs. North Carolina (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

• ACC Championship
• Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
• Teams haven’t met since Sept of 2019, when Mack Brown almost pulled major upset over Dabo.
• Heels have dropped last two outright and 3 of last 4 vs. spread this season.
• Mack 3-0 as dog in 2022, and UNC also “under” 3 of last 4 this season (would have been four straight if not for OTs vs. NC State last week).
• Clemson just 6-6 vs. spread this season.

Tech Play: North Carolina, Under
Expert Picks

Bruce Marshall

Bruce's unique and colorful brand of football and basketball analysis, as well as informed commentary on the national and international sports scene, has made him an in-demand guest for many years on numerous sports talk radio and TV shows across the country. Bruce's vast array of editorial work has also been featured in VegasInsider, along with the Las Vegas Review-Journal and New York Post. Bruce, who is also in the midst of several book projects, combines all of his work while splitting time between Celebration, Florida and Henderson, Nevada. More from Bruce Marshall