College Football Week 7 Best Bets: Bet On This Major Upset

College Football Week 7 Best Bets: Bet On This Major Upset

Image Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images

Last week I went 7-5 in my college football best bets, and I am back again to improve on this record. My best bets this week take me to California, The Cotton Bowl, and Rice-Eccles Stadium. Here are my college football week 7 best bets.

First things first: to make the most of college football saturday, you want to make sure you are getting the best line and taking advantage of the best sportsbook promos. Our college football odds page has odds for every game and every major sportsbook. We also have plenty of offers for users to take advantage of, below.

LOUISIANA TECH VS. KENNESAW STATE BEST BET

LT @ KENN Odds

While both of these teams have played at an average pace, both of their offenses are at the bottom of the barrel in college football. PFF has Louisiana Tech as the 108th-rated offense, while Kennesaw State is the 124th-rated offense. Both of these offenses are 100th or worse in EPA/pass and EPA/rush.

While Kennesaw's defense lacks, LA Tech has the 23rd-rated defense and is 21st in both EPA/pass and rush allowed. I expect a low-scoring slugfest in this Conference USA matchup.

Bet: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Kennesaw State Owls u45.5 (-110)


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NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS. NOTRE DAME BEST BET

NCST @ ND Odds

22.5 points seems to be way too many given how big of a step back Notre Dame's defense has taken and how successful NC State's offense is. NC State is currently 13th in EPA/pass and 19th in early-downs EPA/play. ND's defense doesn't rank particularly well in any certain category.

NC State has the 32nd-ranked pass-blocking OL, which will give CJ Bailey plenty of time in the pocket. NC State's pair of edge rushers also have the capability to wreak havoc. NC State's defense is 13th in success rate allowed against the run, and NC State will have to stop ND's run game to keep this close.

NC State has a lot going for them in this matchup, and I think they keep this one close.

Bet: North Carolina State Wolfpack +22.5 (-110) + ML (+1100)


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UNLV VS. AIR FORCE BEST BET

AFA @ UNLV Odds

I have been spearheading the UNLV-for-the-playoffs train, but I think it comes to a crashing halt this week. UNLV was the beneficiary of two blocked-punt touchdowns last week against Wyoming. While this is exciting, it is unlikely to repeat week in and week out.

UNLV came out of Laramie with a win on a snow/hail-covered field, but this is purely a play on some regression taking place after last week's special teams showcase.

PFF has Air Force with the 70th-rated SOS, and UNLV comes in at 130th. Air Force should keep this one close.

Bet: Air Force Falcons +6.5 (-115)


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OKLAHOMA VS. TEXAS BEST BET

OU @ TEX Odds

We are not reinventing the wheel here. These are two of the best defenses in the country. Oklahoma boasts the #1 pass defense in the country, and they are #1 in defensive success rate. There could not be a worse spot for Arch Manning to try and get something going. The status of Oklahoma quarterback John Mateer is questionable for this game, but Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian has said he is planning as if Mateer is going to play.

Texas' defense is a top-tier unit. They are top 20 in pass defense and top 10 in rush defense. Points will be scarce in this former Big 12 now SEC matchup.

Check out my full Texas vs. Oklahoma preview for more information on the game!

Bet: Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas Longhorns u42.5 (-110)


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FLORIDA ATLANTIC VS. UAB BEST BET

UAB @ FAU Odds

FAU is fast, they air the ball out, and this week, they are UAB's worst nightmare. This UAB defense could possibly contend for one of the worst in college football. They are 135th in EPA/pass allowed, 123rd in EPA/rush allowed, 122nd in early downs EPA/play allowed, and 133rd in 3rd down success allowed.

I will fade that poor of a defense in every way I can. FAU has notched a tougher SOS, making their stats better than UAB's while facing tougher competition.

Bet: Florida Atlantic Owls -4.5 (-110)


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SAN JOSE STATE VS. WYOMING BEST BET

SJSU @ WYO Odds

This bet is a continuation of my Air Force pick. Wyoming was on the losing side of two blocked-punt touchdowns, and that will not be replicated week in and week out.

Wyoming's defense is the strength of this team. They rank 24th in EPA/pass allowed and 30th in EPA/early downs allowed. Wyoming's defense can stifle San Jose State's offense and make things difficult for them. Who knows, maybe we will see some more snow/hail?

Bet: Wyoming Cowboys +2.5 (-108)


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AUBURN VS. GEORGIA BEST BET

UGA @ AUB Odds

Let's think back to Auburn's game against Oklahoma. They lost by 7 on a fake substitution in a game where they were more efficient than their opponent.

I love this matchup for Auburn's defense. They are the 2nd-best rush defense, which will force Gunner Stockton to stand in the pocket and pass the ball. Stockton as a passer grades out as average, and if Auburn can force him to throw the ball all over the field, they will be set up for success.

Check out our Georgia vs. Auburn prediction for more information on this SEC matchup.

Bet: Auburn Tigers +3.5 (-108)


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MICHIGAN VS. USC BEST BET

MICH @ USC Odds

Michigan went out west for ONE game last season and underperformed mightily. They went down to Washington 27-17. I have long maintained that in the era of conference realignment, travel will play a big part in team performance. This game is no different. Michigan has played a much tougher schedule to date, but USC's offense has been humming. USC currently boasts the #1 pass offense and the 8th-best rush offense. While Michigan's defense has been stout, they have yet to face an offense as efficient as USC's.

Unless Michigan head coach Sherrone Moore decides to take the training wheels off of Bryce Underwood, this game could get out of hand very quickly.

This is a huge Big Ten matchup. Check out my full Michigan vs. USC preview.

Bet: USC Trojans -2.5 (-110)


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BYU VS. ARIZONA BEST BET

BYU @ ARI Odds

Both of these teams have faced comparable schedules, but BYU has looked much better. Their defense is a top-tier unit, and they aren't bad offensively either. BYU also has a small rest advantage, after having to play West Virginia on Friday.

I am eyeing a matchup between BYU DL John Taumoepeau and Arizona OL Alexander Doost. This matchup presents an opportunity for BYU to pressure Noah Fifita and force him to make mistakes.

BYU has multiple top-30 offensive linemen. They will be able to protect Bear Bachmeier, and BYU should get out of Arizona with a win.

Bet: BYU Moneyline (-125)


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ARIZONA STATE VS. UTAH BEST BET

ASU @ UTAH Odds

This game is not for the faint of heart! Drink your coffee because you won't want to miss this matchup. These two teams are in the hunt for a Big 12 Championship, and this game could be very important. Utah's defense has been strong per usual, and quarterback Devon Dampier has been good through 5 games, with their only loss coming by the hands of undefeated Texas Tech.

Arizona State is going to have to find an answer to Dampier's dual-threat skill set, while needing to trust Sam Leavitt to air the ball out on offense. The home-field advantage for Utah will only be amplified with this game taking place at night. Utes win this one by a touchdown.

Bet: Utah Utes -3.5 (-115)


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I would love to hear from you all. You can interact with me on Threads and best of luck this week!

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