2025 Belmont Stakes Odds, Post Positions, Predictions: Sovereignty Storms To Win
Belmont Stakes odds are in the rearview mirror for 2025. The third and final leg of the Triple Crown served up what was expected: a battle between the top horses in the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes.
Sovereignty won the Derby, then skipped the Preakness. Journalism took second in the Derby and rumbled to a Preakness victory. Then Sovereignty overtook Journalism down the stretch to win the Belmont.
Check back for updates on 2026 Belmont Stakes odds, and use our TwinSpires offer code to get the most out of your action.
2025 Belmont Odds
Sovereignty Rules
UPDATE 7:20 P.M. ET SATURDAY, JUNE 7: Journalism closed as the 2/1 favorite in Belmont odds and took the lead coming out of the final turn tonight. But 5/2 second choice Sovereignty then roared past Journalism to nab the victory.
Baeza closed as the 7/2 third choice and finished. So it was a carbon copy of the Kentucky Derby: Sovereignty, Journalism and Baeza running 1-2-3, respectively.
UPDATE 6:55 P.M. ET SATURDAY, JUNE 7: Minutes from post time, Journalism is still 2/1 chalk in Belmont Stakes odds. But Sovereignty moved in from 3/1 to 5/2 in the past hour or so, while Baeza slid out from 3/1 to 7/2.
"Baeza has fallen back and Sovereignty has climbed up. I wouldn't be shocked to see 8/5 on Journalism come post time," TwinSpires retail sports analyst Jared DeRossett said.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY, JUNE 7: With post time two hours out, Journalism is actually sliding out a bit, while remaining the favorite in 2025 Belmont odds. Journalism got as short as 4/5 Friday night, but is now 2/1 chalk.
Close behind are Sovereignty and Baeza, both at 3/1. Rodriguez follows as the 6/1 fourth choice. Earlier today, it appeared interest in Baeza was tapering, but that's not the case now.
"Baeza continues to be popular at the windows, tied for second favorite with Sovereignty. Journalism will likely close as the favorite," TwinSpires retail sports analyst Jared DeRossett said. "There's not too much action underneath that, outside of Crudo moving a 15/1 opener to 10/1."
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY, JUNE 7: Several hours before post time, Journalism is the 7/5 chalk in Belmont Stakes odds. There was a point Friday night where the favorite actually got shorter than even money, at 4/5 odds.
"I was shocked, to be honest," said Ed DeRosa, horse racing odds expert and VP of content at Horse Racing Nation. "I certainly was wrong about Sovereignty possibly being favored."
Sovereignty is currently the 7/2 third choice, after opening the 2/1 second choice following Monday's post draw. Baeza opened 4/1 and is now the 3/1 second choice. Those horses aren't really gaining on Journalism now.
"I still don't think we'll see shorter than even-money odds on Journalism [at post time]. But he will be the favorite. Interest in Baeza is waning," DeRosa said.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY, JUNE 6: Belmont Stakes odds have shifted yet again, with Journalism back to the solo favorite. In fact, Journalism briefly got to his shortest price, 6/5, but he's now back at his opening odds of 8/5.
Baeza is the 3/1 second choice, after opening 4/1, and Sovereignty is 7/2, sliding out from his 2/1 opening odds. Rodriguez opened 6/1 and is now the 7/1 fourth choice.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY, JUNE 5: Surprisingly, early parimutuel betting has seen Baeza surge in Belmont Stakes odds. After Monday's post draw, in which Baeza drew the No. 6 gate, he was installed as the 4/1 third choice.
However, by early this afternoon, he was the 2/1 favorite. Journalism went from the 8/5 favorite to the 5/2 second choice, while Sovereignty slid from the 2/1 second choice to the 7/2 third choice.
Now, Baeza is the 5/2 co-favorite with Journalism, and Sovereignty remains 7/2.
"It's certainly noteworthy. But I don't see any way that holds up," TwinSpires retail sports analyst Jared DeRossett said, while still noting Baeza has a shot. "Sovereignty and Journalism certainly look to be the best of the race. [But] Baeza could take a step forward in his second race on the East Coast."
And a couple other horses might be worth a look, too. Rodriguez, which had to withdraw from the Derby due to a hoof issue, moved from 6/1 to 5/1 then back to 6/1. He's still the fourth choice. Crudo moved from 15/1 to 10/1, then 9/1, fifth on the Belmont odds board.
"I'll be curious to see if any horse has what it takes to take this race wire-to-wire. Similar to what Gosger almost did at the Preakness," DeRossett said. "A couple of horses seem to fit that mold, Rodriguez and Crudo. Crudo won going away in the Sir Barton, but is taking a major step up in class."
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET MONDAY, JUNE 2: The post draw took place an hour ago, with Journalism landing the No. 7 gate. Sovereignty will break from the No. 2 gate in an eight-horse field.
Morning Line odds then went up, with Journalism the 8/5 favorite and Sovereignty right behind at 2/1 in Belmont Stakes odds.
"This figures to be the most closely bet Belmont Stakes since 1994, when Strodes Creek was +130 against Kentucky Derby winner Go For Gin at +150," said Ed DeRosa, horse racing odds expert and vice president of content for Horse Racing Nation.
"If these odds hold, Journalism would be the first horse to be favored in all three Triple Crown races since Justify in 2018."
Justify won the Triple Crown, the last horse of 13 to do so. Regardless of whether the 2025 Belmont odds hold, the 1994 Belmont could be a harbinger for this year's race.
"Interestingly enough, Tabasco Cat upset Strodes Creek and Go For Gin as the third choice in 1994. And Baeza is poised to do similar this year," DeRosa said. "I'd love to see [Sovereignty and Journalism] get bet heavy, which would raise the price on Baeza."
Breaking from the sixth post, Baeza is the 4/1 third choice in the Belmont. And Baeza is well rested, having not run since taking third in the Kentucky Derby.
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET TUESDAY, MAY 20: It looks as if eight horses could be on the board for Belmont Stakes odds. Two probable entries: Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty and Preakness Stakes winner Journalism.
Sovereignty and Journalism finished 1-2 in the Derby. Sovereignty shipped to Saratoga shortly after winning the Run for the Roses, and Journalism did so in the wake of his Belmont win. It seems certain Sovereignty will run and Journalism is probable.
So who gets the favorite nod in Belmont odds?
"It'll likely be Journalism favored, but Sovereignty should be right there. All eyes will be on that rematch, and it should be an excellent race," TwinSpires retail sports analyst Jared DeRossett said.
Saratoga will host the Belmont Stakes for a second straight year, while Belmont Park undergoes renovations. So the race will again be 1 1/4 miles, rather than the usual endurance test of 1.5 miles.
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, MAY 18: Sovereignty has been pointed to the Belmont Stakes since his Kentucky Derby win on May 3. He'll be well-rested for the June 7 event, which for the second straight year takes place at Saratoga, with Belmont Park undergoing renovations.
Journalism isn't definite to follow up on two strong performances so far in the Triple Crown. He took second in the Derby, then plowed through traffic while rallying to overtake Gosger to claim the Preakness. Journalism covered 1 3/16 miles in 1 minute, 55.37 seconds.
But other challengers could surface in Belmont Stakes odds, as well. Among them: third-place Derby finisher Baeza, who like Sovereignty skipped the Preakness.
Belmont Stakes Predictions and Picks
For best bets, exacta picks and trifectas, head over to Action Network for expert analysis and recommendations.
Belmont Stakes Post Positions
Post-position draw took place Monday. Following is the draw, with odds on each horse, as of noon ET Saturday.
- Hill Road 14/1
- Sovereignty 7/2
- Rodriguez 7/1
- Uncaged 19/1
- Crudo 12/1
- Baeza 3/1
- Journalism 7/5
- Heart Of Honor 19/1
2025 Belmont Stakes Info
Race: 12
Purse: $2 Million
Distance: 1 1/4 Miles
Surface: Dirt
Date: Saturday June 7, 2025
Post-Time: 7:04 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Venue: Saratoga Race Course
Location: Saratoga, New York
The Belmont field has a maximum of 16 horses, who must qualify to enter. Qualifying is based on results/earnings from a series of Triple Crown prep races and of course the Kentucky Derby and Preakness.
Eight horses are on the Belmont Stakes odds board. There were nine horses in the Preakness and a full 20-horse field in the Derby.
2024-25 Kentucky Derby Prep Results
Types Of Preakness Betting
Futures Betting
Belmont futures wagering is a great option for all those who enjoy early betting. This type of bet is usually available up until the running of the Kentucky Derby.
Win, Place & Show Bets
Win, place and show bets are types of wagers that new players usually stick to. Just like the name suggests, a win bet is a bet placed on the horse that you hope to win the Belmont Stakes.
With place bets, you can get a return if your selection finishes first, second, or sometimes even fourth or fifth depending on the bookie’s offer. It goes without saying that the odds are much shorter, but this type of bet is more reassuring.
Show bet is the next in line. It’s quite simple: You win if your selection finishes in the top three. This bet comes with lower risk, but also a lower payoff.
Of course, it’s up to you to decide which one of these options is the best for you. There are also more complicated types of wagers. But once you get familiar with them, you’ll see that they can be easily understood.
Exacta Bet
If you’ve already tried some of the previous types of bets and you’d like to try something new when it comes to Belmont online betting, exacta is the next one to discuss.
In this type of bet, you have to choose two runners who you’ll think will finish first and second, but in exact order. That’s what makes this type of bet more complicated compared to those we discussed earlier. Of course, bigger risk means bigger potential payouts.
Trifecta Bet
A trifecta bet is similar to an exacta. But as the name suggests, this type of wager involves three horses. Choose three runners you think will finish in the top three, in the exact order, and wait for the outcome of the race.
If the exact order is daunting, there’s another option called a boxed trifecta wager. With this modified trifecta bet, you also have to choose three horses, but those three horses can finish in any 1-2-3 combination.
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Belmont Stakes Winners (Last 10)
- 2025: Sovereignty
- 2024: Dornoch
- 2023: Arcangelo
- 2022: Mo Donegal
- 2021: Essential Quality
- 2020: Tiz the Law
- 2019: Sir Winston
- 2018: Justify
- 2017: Tapwrit
- 2016: Creator
Triple Crown Winners
There won't be a Triple Crown winner this year, since Derby winner Sovereignty skipped the Preakness. But both Sovereignty and Preakness winner Journalism could be in the field trying to win two of the three Triple Crown races.
After waiting 25 years for a Triple Crown winner, horse racing fans were spoiled in the 1970s by the time Affirmed became the 11th horse to do it. Affirmed he captured the Triple Crown with a heart-stopping victory over Alydar in the 1978 Belmont Stakes.
Secretariat did it spectacularly in 1973, the first since Citation back in 1948. Seattle Slew completed the sweep in style, managing to stay undefeated through the 1977 Triple Crown
Little did they know, 37 years would come and go without another accomplishing the feat. American Pharoah was finally the one in 2015, for Hall of Fame Trainer Bob Baffert.
In 2018, Justify captured the Triple Crown. Baffert became the second trainer to win the Triple Crown twice, joining James ''Sunny Jim'' Fitzsimmons, who guided Gallant Fox in 1930 and Omaha in 1935.
Previous Triple Crown winners
- 1919: Sir Barton
- 1930: Gallant Fox
- 1935: Omaha
- 1937: War Admiral
- 1941: Whirlaway
- 1943: Count Fleet
- 1946: Assault
- 1948: Citation
- 1973: Secretariat
- 1977: Seattle Slew
- 1978: Affirmed
- 2015: American Pharoah
- 2018: Justify
For horse racing bettors wondering: Dating to 1932, 23 horses have won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, then lost in the Belmont. It's happened 14 times just since Affirmed completed the sweep.