Filly & Mare Sprint Predictions, Odds, Preview


Breeders' Cup Betting Guide

Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 6 and Saturday November 7 at Keeneland in Lexington Kentucky.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.

Filly & Mare Sprint Morning-Line Odds

1 Speech 6/1
2 Gamine 7/5
3 Come Dancing 8/1
4 Inthemidstofbiz 30/1
5 Sconsin 20/1
6 Venetian Harbor 8/1
7 Serengeti Empress 3/1
8 Sally's Curlin 20/1
9 Bell's the One 6/1

Field Subject to Change

Filly & Mare Sprint Betting Resources

  • Distance: 7 furlongs
  • Purse: $1 million
  • Age: 3up(f&m)
  • Date: Saturday, November 7
  • Time: 12:02 p.m. ET

The History

Run at six furlongs in 2007 because Monmouth Park isn’t configured for the intended distance. Groupie Doll became the first back to back winner in 2013. Three-year-old fillies finally got on the board when Shamrock Rose and Covfefe won consecutive runnings in 2018 and 2019.

Filly & Mare Sprint Fast Facts

  • Favorites: 4 for 13 (31%)
  • Shortest: $3.40 (Groupie Doll, 2012)
  • Highest: $135.40 (Bar of Gold, 2017)
  • U.S based-Foreign based:: No, as Covfefe has been retired.

How to Handicap the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

The Best

2-Gamine is the 7-5 morning line favorite as she cuts back from nine to seven furlongs and makes her first start against older rivals since breaking her maiden on debut back in March for trainer Bob Baffert.

Disqualified from purse money after a post-race positive going two turns at Oaklawn, Gamine rattled off a couple of romps against G1 foes in both the Acorn at a mile at Belmont on Stakes day back in June, a race she won by almost 19 lengths, and the Test at this distance up in Saratoga.

Gamine was able to set pretty easy leads in both wins before caving to some pace pressure and added distance when third in the G1 Kentucky Oaks at Churchill most recently over two months ago.

7-Serengeti Empress figures to be the speed and is as dangerous as they come when she’s on the front end. Last year’s Oaks winner has found a home at this distance as she won or placed in all four tries at the distance.

Trained by Tom Amoss, Serengeti Empress began the year by winning one of four starts, the G2 Azeri at Oaklawn, around two turns before her connections decided to point her to races around one turn. She fought off all challengers when she kicked off the second half of her season with a gutsy score in the G1 Ballerina on the Travers undercard at Saratoga before missing by a nose after battling through the stretch in the G1 DC Distaff at Churchill on Kentucky Derby day.

The Rest

9-Bell’s the One nailed Serengeti Empress on the line last out and would benefit from another hot pace. A winner of half her fourteen starts, she raced well at both Keeneland and at the trip, counting the 2019 renewal of G2 Raven Run at the trip and over the course among her wins.

6-Venetian Harbor wheels back in three weeks off of a gate-to-wire tally after setting a tepid pace in the Raven Run. Another consistent sophomore filly, she’s finished first or second in all seven starts. She won the G2 Las Virgenes at Santa Anita before runner-up performances in the G2 Fantasy, G1 Ashland and Test.

1-Speech cuts back to a sprint off of a fourth-place finish in the Oaks. She was awarded the win over Gamine at Oaklawn before finishing behind Swiss Skydiver in the G2 Santa Anita Oaks and taking the premiere race for three-year-old fillies at Keeneland, the Ashland.

3-Come Dancing finished off the board as the 2-1 second choice in this event last year and won for the first time in just four starts since when she parlayed a good trip into a G2 Honorable Miss victory at Saratoga on closing weekend.

5-Sconsin picked up the pieces when the pace incinerated in the G2 Eight Belles on the Oaks undercard to win by over two lengths. She finished second in the G3 Beaumont at this distance in her lone start over this course.

4-Inthemidstofbiz has won her last three starts and four in a row on dirt, including the G2 TCA going six panels at Keeneland most recently. She has shown plenty of early speed as of late and could add to a strong pace.

8-Sally’s Curlin closed from a long way back to round out the trifecta in the DC Distaff and took the G3 Hurricane Bertie at Gulfstream back in March at this distance.

Filly & Mare Sprint Predictions

If I’m Right...

For the first time in her career, Gamine will NOT have the early lead and that usually poses a problem for younger fillies that are put in the position of chasing for the first time. I’m tossing her and hoping she reacts to the scenario accordingly.

Live Longshot...

8-Sally’s Curlin should benefit from a light campaign and a fast pace. I don’t think she’s much different than some of the other closers in here but she’ll be the biggest price for sure. She is 20-1 on the morning line.

Listen to "The Big A"

Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile