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Last Updated Nov 02, 2021, 21:00 PM

2021 BC Filly & Mare Sprint Predictions, Odds, Preview

2021 Breeders' Cup Betting Central

Welcome to Stabile’s 2021 Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 5 and Saturday November 5 at Del Mar Racetrack in Del Mar, California.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.

Filly and Mare Sprint
Post Position & Morning Line Odds

  1. Proud Emma 20-1
  2. Estilo Talentoso 12-1
  3. Edgeway 12-1
  4. Ce Ce 4-1
  5. Gamine 3-5
  6. Bella Sofia 5-2

Field Subject to Change

Filly and Mare Sprint Betting Resources

  • Race: 4
  • Distance: 7 furlongs
  • Purse: $1 million
  • Age: 3up (f&m)
  • Date: Saturday, November 6
  • Time: 3:05 p.m. ET

The History

Run at six furlongs in 2007 because Monmouth Park isn’t configured for the intended distance. Groupie Doll became the first back-to-back winner in 2013. Three-year-old fillies finally got on the board when Shamrock Rose and Covfefe won consecutive runnings in 2018 and 2019.

Fast Facts

  • Favorites: 5 for 14 (36%)
  • Shortest: $3.40 (Groupie Doll, 2012)
  • Highest: $135.40 (Bar of Gold, 2017)
  • The champ is here? Yes. Gamine is back to defend her title.

How to Handicap the Filly and Mare Sprint

Best

Defending champion 5-Gamine, a six-plus length winner in the event last year, is perfect in all four starts this season, winning in gate-to-wire fashion each time, for the controversial Bob Baffert barn.

While she has yet to taste defeat in 2021, in certainly appears Gamine, specifically her speed figures, has gone backwards a bit in her four-year-old season.

Gamine kicked off the year by beating just three rivals in the G3 Las Flores at Santa Anita before returning less than a month later to win the G1 Distaff on the Kentucky Derby undercard at Churchill Downs. She shipped back to her California base to take the G2 Great Lady M at Los Alamitos before a return east to Saratoga.

At the Spa, Gamine ran her best race of the season, wiring the G1 Ballerina field at this distance, a trip she is undefeated at in four tries. In fact, she is a perfect eight for eight around one turn in her career.

Perhaps Gamine’s biggest rival comes in the form of sophomore filly 6-Bella Sophia for trainer Rudy Rodriguez.

After breaking her maiden impressively on debut before finishing second in a minor stakes at Belmont, Bella Sophia has won three straight, starting with an allowance win at Saratoga.

Then, like Gamine last season, Bella Sophia, less than four weeks later, sat just off the pace before exploding in the far turn to win the prestigious G1 Test at the Spa by over four lengths.

Last out, Bella Sophia easily handled older stakes fillies and mares for the first time when she coasted in the G2 Gallant Bloom at Belmont by over three lengths.

Rest

Two-time G1 winner 4-Ce Ce, a two-turn filly for the most part in her first two seasons on the track, has run in sprint races four of the five times she faced the starter this year. She’s won three times, including the G2 Princess Rooney going this trip at Gulfstream back in July and the G3 Chillingworth at Santa Anita most recently. She finished three lengths behind Gamine when third in the Ballerina.

2-Estilo Talentoso took the worst of a three-way photo finish in the G2 TCA at Keeneland last out in her eighth start of a season that has seen her visit the winner’s circle just once. She has hit the board in seven of those starts and took the G3 Bed o’ Roses in the slop at Belmont back in June.

3-Edgeway has won three of four starts this year, including the G3 Rancho Bernardo over the Del Mar strip when last seen in mid-August. She finished double-digit lengths behind Gamine when fourth in the Great Lady M.

Rancho Bernardo runner-up 1-Proud Emma will be looking for her first win in her fifth try since taking the G3 Bayakoa at Los Alamitos in her final start of 2020. She’s won or placed in all four tries over the Del Mar strip.

Filly and Mare Sprint Predictions

If I’m Right…

The two favorites are so dominant on paper that one of them almost certainly has to win this. I would lean towards Bella Sophia.

Live Longshot

Estilo Talentoso would be the one to benefit most should the two favorites hook up in a speed duel but her best still might not be good enough. Maybe we can get her in the exotics at 10-1.

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Anthony “the Big A” Stabile's expert horse racing content is featured in many different mediums nationally and you can check out all of his appearances by following him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile.


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