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Nov 03, 2021

2021 BC Turf Predictions, Odds, Preview

2021 Breeders' Cup Betting Central

Welcome to Stabile’s 2021 Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 5 and Saturday November 5 at Del Mar Racetrack in Del Mar, California.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.

Breeders' Cup Turf Betting Resources

  • Race: 11
  • Distance: 1 ½ miles on turf
  • Purse: $4 million
  • Age: 3up
  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 7
  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET 

The History

Pebbles in 1985 and Miss Alleged in 1991 are the only two fillies to have beaten the boys in this. Theatrical finally got the job done in 1987 and more importantly helped forge the Bill Mott/Allen Paulson partnership that would rule the sport for a decade. Kotashaan capped an amazing Horse of the Year season with a win in 1993. High Chaparral won it in 2002, then dead-heated with Johar in 2003, the only dead heat for win in Breeders’ Cup history. Better Talk Now won it in 2004 before failing to do so the next four years. Conduit won consecutive runnings in 2008 and 2009. In 2011, trainer Aidan O’Brien trained St. Nicholas Abbey to win with his son Joe in the saddle.  Main Sequence won his fourth G1 in as many tries with his patented late run to take it down in 2014. Two-time Arc winner Enable came over to dominate her American rivals in 2018. Bricks and Mortar returned from a life-threatening hock injury to cap off a perfect, Horse of the Year campaign with a stirring win over United in 2019.

Fast Facts

  • Favorites: 11 for 37 (30%)
  • Shortest: $3.60 (Enable, 2018)
  • Highest: $108.80 (Lashkari, 1984)
  • U.S based: 14
  • Foreign based: 24
  • The champ is here? Yes, Tarnawa is back! 

How to Handicap the Breeders' Cup Turf

All turf race participants are analyzed in post position order.

1-Rockemperor finally got his G1 win when he ran past his rivals impressively to capture the G1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic at over 15-1.

2-United was second to the great Bricks and Mortar in this two years ago and comes into this year’s renewal off a win in the G2 John Henry.

3-Domestic Spending couldn’t overcome the pedestrian pace in the G1 Mr. D after winning three straight G1 races. He’ll be making his first start beyond 10 furlongs.

4-Astronaut rallied to take the G2 Del Mar Handicap when last seen in August, just the second win of his career.

5-Tribhuvan has had a fine year since being handled more aggressively in the early running of his races. He won the G1 United Nations at Monmouth two back. Might have to rate.

6-Acclimate just missed in the John Henry and figures to once again be the speed in here.

7-Walton Street romped in the G1 Candian International at Woodbine last out, earning a 110 Beyer Speed Figure in his lone try on this side of the pond.

8-Broome seems to have fallen off form in his last three tries after taking a G1 in early July.

9-Sisfahan ships in from Germany having hot the board in all six career starts.

10-Yibir stormed home to beat fellow sophomores in the Jockey Club Derby at Belmont last out in his U.S. debut. He’ll try older rivals for the first time.

11-Gufo made the lead on the far turn before tiring to third in the Joe Hirsch. He won a money allowance and G1 Sword Dancer in his prior two starts when blinkers were added.

12-Teona tackles older males after beating older fillies and mares in a G1 at Longchamp back in September.

13-Tarnawa looks to defend her title after finishing second in the G1 Arc last out, just her third start since her victory in this last year.

14-Japan just missed in Sword Dancer before failing to fire in the Joe Hirsch when he beat just one home.

Breeders' Cup Turf Predictions 

If I’m Right… 

This is a crapshoot. The dirt races look pretty cut and dried this year but these turf events… 

Live Longshot

Tribhuvan has done little wrong since being forwardly placed early. Let’s see if it can work in here at 20-1.

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