Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:45 AM

2021 Arkansas Derby Picks, Predictions, Odds

Apr. 9, 2021

Horse Racing Expert

Arkansas Derby
Betting Resources and Picks

  • Date: Saturday, Apr. 10, 2021
  • Post-Time: 7:41 p.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: NBCSN, TVG
  • Race: 12
  • Distance-Length: Dirt, 1 1/8 Miles
  • Qualification: Three-year-olds
  • Track: Oaklawn Park
  • Location: Hot Springs National Park, Arkansas

Kentucky Derby Prep Betting Resources

Arkansas Derby
Picks, Analysis and Odds

1 – Super Stock (6/1)

Made up some ground late to finish fourth in the Rebel, a race of five of the six runners in here exit. He’s only won once in seven starts but it certainly looks like he won’t mind the added distances as the spring and summer march on. If the pace comes back a bit I could see him getting a piece of this.

2 – Caddo River (7/2)

After his rider foolishly allowed Concert Tour a loose lead in the Rebel it’s been confirmed this guy will be running from the rip in here. I’m unsure as to where he stands with the top three-year-olds but I want to give him one more chance while utilizing his speed.

3 – Hozier (3/1)

Was ahead of and moved just before Super Stock in Rebel and was fortunate enough to find the better part of the track down along the inside on what was just his third start. This race figures to play out a bit differently and it’s hard to imagine he finds another great trip.

4 – Get Her Number (6/1)

Didn’t do much running in the Rebel but it was his first start in over five months. Wouldn’t be surprised if he was a bit closer to the pace, maybe just behind the main speed but he’ll need to improve tremendously.

5 – Concert Tour (1/1)

If this unfolds the way the Rebel did, he’ll gallop. There is a chance he’ll sit off of Caddo River and gallop anyway. I’ve never been his biggest fan but this race goes through him. He’s just going to have to do a little running and actually earn it if he has to stalk/chase Caddo River.

6 – Last Samurai (15/1)

His lone win came after going seven furlongs in his second start. Has finished off the board while beaten double digits in his other three starts, including the Southwest in his latest try.

Arkansas Derby
Predictions - If I had $100

$100 win 2

Who is the Big A? Horse Racing expert Anthony Stabile provides his "Stabile's Seven" rankings throughout the Kentucky Derby prep trail.

Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday.

Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile

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