NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Monday, Feb. 26

The NBA regular season continues with a relatively light 4-game slate on Monday -- however, we still have a nationally televised doubleheader on NBA TV headlining tonight's action as Raptors vs Pacers tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET, and then Heat vs Kings takes center stage at 10:000 p.m. ET.

Let's dive into our NBA best bets and expert picks for Monday, February 26. Looking for more basketball? Check out our NBA odds.

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NBA Best Bets | Expert Picks for Monday, Feb. 26

Heat vs Kings

by Michael Crosson

This past Friday, the Heat and Pelicans had an altercation on the court that resulted in the suspension of Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant and Nikola Jovic for tonight’s contest – and with Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier also listed as questionable, a huge amount of pressure is destined to fall on Bam Adebayo in the scoring department if Miami intends on keeping this game competitive.

Fortunately for the Heat, they seem to be calling upon Adebayo at the perfect time. Bam has scored 20-plus points in four of his last five outings, while knocking down more than 57% of his field goal attempts in four of those contests – and two of those 20-point performances came with Butler in the lineup, who absorbs over 24% of the team’s offensive usage when he’s on the floor.

I’ll back Bam to have another solid night on the scoreboard in tonight’s matchup against a Kings squad that ranks 22nd in points allowed and 11th in pace on the season.

Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points (-120)

Nets vs Grizzlies

by Ray Monohan

Memphis Grizzlies +2 (-110)

Monday, 8pm ET: Brooklyn Nets (21-35, 24-29-3 ATS, 8-18 AWAY) take on Memphis Grizzlies (20-37, 28-29 ATS, 7-21 HOME) at FedExForum.

The Nets are slight favorites by 1.5 points, with over/under set at 214.5. The Grizzlies ended a 9-game slump, securing consecutive W's against Houston and Milwaukee. They stumbled in a 101-95 defeat to LAC on Friday. The Nets come in losers of 4 in a row, and interim HC Kevin Ollie has his hands full trying to turn the fortunes around of the Nets.

It doesn't help that the Nets are 0-4 ATS in their L4 games as a road favorite, and the Grizz are 4-0 ATS L4 as a dog. These two haven't played since NOV 2022. A 127-115 BRK win at home. Before that MEM won 134-124 in OCT 2022. This is a nice spot to fade the Nets. They have been atrocious on the road this season and as of late things have gone extremely bad.

Coming into Monday's matchup, the Nets are now 2-14 ATS since the middle of December on the road. This is a bad situational spot too as the Nets have been on the road for quite some time and they still have to finish things up in Orlando after this one with Memphis.

The Grizzlies are a physical team and they actually have momentum, coming in winners in 2 of their last 3. They've played some of their best basketball this season at home too. They're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and they've actually covered 4 straight home games against the number.

Memphis is going to wear Brooklyn down in this matchup. The Grizzlies love to work the ball into the paint and that's one of the struggles the Nets have had when it comes to defending. Memphis should be able to find success inside and in turn, it'll open up shooting lanes for the outside threats. We're getting good value on the better team here.

Given the lengthy road trip too, Brooklyn has their sights set on just getting through this trip and getting home. Trends, Nets 1-6-1 ATS L8, 1-7 SU L8, 1-7 ATS L8 vs. MEM, and 2-14 ATS L16 on the road. Memphis are 4-1 ATS L5, 8-2 ATS L10 at home, and 5-2 ATS L7 in FEB. You know what to do. Hop ON!

For more daily expert predictions, check out our NBA Free Picks page and our NBA odds!

Heat vs Kings

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