Last Updated Mar 30, 2022, 10:21 PM

Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Wednesday night with a Pacific Division showdown between the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors. Coverage begins from Chase Center at 10:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Suns 118, Warriors 106

Best Bets

Suns -6 (-110) at DraftKings

Suns vs. Warriors Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Golden State is far less dominant without the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors enter Wednesday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-24 SU and 21-30-3 ATS stretch – with 18 of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green.

On the other hand, Phoenix absolutely dominated to open the season, as the Suns kicked things off with a red-hot 27-8 SU and 18-17 ATS run – with 18 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Despite Chris Paul’s recent 15-game absence, Phoenix has carried that same momentum all the way through March too, considering the Suns boast impressive records of 34-6 SU and 24-16 ATS across their last 40 games – while generating 118.4 OPPG and allowing just 108.6 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll back Phoenix here, as the Warriors are 1-6 SU and ATS since Curry’s latest injury, while scoring just 103.4 OPPG and surrendering 112.1 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a highly unfavorable matchup against a Suns squad that’s averaging 129.4 OPPG across their latest 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS run.

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Odds

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Suns vs. Warriors Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Pacific
  • Date: Wednesday, March 30, 2022
  • Venue: Chase Center
  • Location: San Francisco, CA
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis

  • SU: 61-14
  • ATS: 42-33
  • O/U: 39-35-1

After battling Utah for the top spot in the conference all the way through the final day of last year’s regular season (51-21 SU), Phoenix was surprisingly rusty to start the year, as the Suns dropped three-of-four games out of the gate – while tallying just 106.3 OPPG across that window.

Devin Booker and company clearly just needed a few weeks to settle into a rhythm though, considering the Suns boast records of 60-11 SU and 41-30 ATS since their four-game opening skid, while ranking third in the league in both scoring and offensive efficiency (115.3 OPPG, 1.122 OE) – and on the flipside, ranking eighth in points allowed and third in defensive efficiency (106.9 DPPG, 1.040 DE).

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 48-28
  • ATS: 36-36-4
  • O/U: 33-41-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, the Warriors returned seeking imminent revenge to start the new season, as Golden State kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

However, Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since mid-December, considering the Warriors enter Monday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-24 SU stretch, while tallying just 111.2 OPPG and allowing 107.9 DPPG during that span. The Warriors’ mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by Golden State averaging 115.1 OPPG across their last 27 games.

The Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. (AP)

Suns vs. Warriors Head-to-Head

Phoenix won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Golden State last year, with both Suns’ victories staying under the total at an average of 212.5 PPG, while the Warriors’ lone win soared over with a score of 122-116 (O 231). However, the Warriors are 2-1 SU against Phoenix this season, with their first two matchups staying well under the total at an average of 207 PPG – while their most recent meeting went over with a score of 116-107 (O 216).

Key Players to Watch

  • PHX: Chris Paul - PG (15 PPG, 4.5 REB, 10.8 AST)
  • PHX: Devin Booker - SG (26.5 PPG, 5 REB, 4.9 AST)
  • GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (18.9 PPG, 4 REB, 2.7 AST)
  • GSW: Jordan Poole - PG (17.9 PPG, 3.2 REB, 3.8 AST)

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Conclusion

After extending their win streak to eight games with a double-digit victory over Philadelphia this past Sunday (W, 114-104), the Suns hit the road for Wednesday’s contest as short favorites over the Warriors at Chase Center – marking the fourth time Golden State has been an underdog across their last five games.

I’ll back Phoenix here, as the Suns are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games, while generating 129.4 OPPG and allowing just 114.2 DPPG during that span – likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a Warriors squad that’s averaging 103.4 OPPG across their 1-6 SU skid since Curry’s latest injury.

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine matchups against Phoenix.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Suns' games.
  • The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in ten of the last 12 matchups between the Suns and Warriors.
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