Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Predictions, Picks, Odds

4 minute read

First Round NBA Playoff action will resume Saturday mid-afternoon with a heavyweight Western Conference clash between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. Coverage begins from FedExForum in Memphis at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Timberwolves 106

Best Bets

Under 236.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Predictions

After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, Memphis briefly kept that same ball rolling with another mediocre start to this season, as the Grizzlies opened with a relatively pedestrian 9-10 SU and 10-9 ATS skid – with nine of those losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Memphis has arguably been the hottest team in basketball since that opening skid, considering the Grizzlies closed out the regular season with an impressive 47-16 SU and 42-20-1 ATS run – while tallying 117.4 OPPG and allowing just 108.1 DPPG across that window.

On the other hand, Minnesota also posted a surprisingly start to the season, as the Timberwolves kicked things off with a disappointing 11-15 SU skid – while averaging just 107.7 OPPG during that period.

Minnesota has played excellent since mid-December though, considering the Wolves enter the postseason riding a sturdy 36-21 SU and 32-23-2 ATS stretch – while generating 119.4 OPPG and surrendering 116.9 DPPG across that window.

I’ll take the under here, as Tuesday’s Play-In victory over Los Angeles makes the Wolves 5-6 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, while averaging 118.1 OPPG during that span – setting the stage for a relatively low-scoring battle against a Grizzlies squad that allowed just 112.3 DPPG across their 12-4 SU run to close out the regular season.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Resources

Matchup: Northwest vs. Southwest
Date: Saturday, April 16, 2022
Venue: FedExForum
Location: Memphis, TN
TV-Time: ESPN - 3:30 p.m. ET
Injury Report
NBA Playoff Betting Central

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Analysis

SU: 47-36
ATS: 42-38-2
O/U: 50-32

After last year’s lackluster 23-49 SU showing, Minnesota initially kept that same train rolling with another frustrating to this season, as the Timberwolves kicked things off with a frustrating 11-15 SU and ATS skid – with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Minnesota has admirably flipped the script since December, considering the Wolves enter their first-round playoff matchup riding a solid 36-21 SU and 32-23-2 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 23 of those contests.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis

SU: 56-26
ATS: 52-29-1
O/U: 43-38-1

After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, Memphis briefly flew under the radar by posting a 9-10 SU start to this season, which inevitably led to getting tagged as underdogs in seven-of-ten matchups to kick off December – but quickly stole the spotlight with a trio of upset victories and a 7-3 SU record across that window.

Memphis has absolutely dominated since that point though, considering the Grizzlies enter the postseason riding an impressive 47-16 SU and 42-20-1 ATS run – while racking up 117.4 OPPG and allowing just 108.1 DPPG during that timeframe.

**The Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in their last ten matchups against Minnesota. (Getty Images)**

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head

The Grizzlies swept a three-game regular-season set against Minnesota last year, with the first and third matchups soaring over the total at a lofty average of 249.5 PPG, while their second meeting stayed under with a score of 120-108 (U 232). However, Memphis and Minnesota split a four-game set 2-2 SU this season, with the first two matchups soaring over the total at an average of 238 PPG – while their most recent two affairs stayed under at an average of 228.5 PPG.

Key Players to Watch

MIN: Karl-Anthony Towns - C (24.6 PPG, 9.8 REB, 3.6 AST)
MIN: Anthony Edwards - SG (21.3 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.8 AST)
MEM: Ja Morant - PG (27.4 PPG, 5.7 REB, 6.7 AST)
MEM: Desmond Bane - SF (18.2 PPG, 4.4 REB, 2.7 AST)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Conclusion

After knocking off the Clippers in a thrilling home Play-In game on Tuesday night (109-104), the Timberwolves hit the road for Saturday’s first-round series opener as relatively steep underdogs against the Grizzlies at FedExForum – marking the fourth time Minnesota has been an underdog across their last nine contests.

I’ll take under here, as Memphis closed out the regular season with an impressive 12-4 SU and 9-6-1 ATS run, while tallying 122.6 OPPG and allowing just 112.3 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a relatively low-scoring battle against a Wolves squad that’s averaging 118.1 DPPG across their current 3-8 ATS skid.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Wolves are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The Grizzlies are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Wolves' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Grizzlies' games.
The Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in their last ten matchups against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last eight matchups between Memphis and Minnesota.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson