Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Picks, Predictions, Odds

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First Round Western Conference Playoff action will resume on Monday night with a compelling Game 2 showdown between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center in Dallas at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

Mavericks 106, Jazz 104

Best Bets

Mavericks +5.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions

After earning the top spot in the West with a record of 52-20 last year, Utah briefly sustained that same level of excellence with another dominant start to this season, as the Jazz opened with a triumphant 26-9 SU and 17-17-2 ATS run – with 20 of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Utah has been on quite the injury rollercoaster since mid-January though, considering Utah closed out the regular season with a bumpy 23-24 SU and 17-28-2 ATS stretch – with a decent chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of Donovan Mitchell or Rudy Gobert (10).

On the other hand, Dallas stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

However, Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid, considering the Mavericks enter Game 2 riding an impressive 36-13 SU and 31-18 ATS stretch – while surrendering just 104.6 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.

I’ll take the points with Dallas here, as the Mavs’ kept things competitive for the length of Saturday’s series-opener despite the absence of Luka Doncic (99-93, U 208), so taking Dallas plus a handful of points at home is probably the best play against a Jazz squad that sits 5-7 SU and 3-8-1 ATS across their last 12 games.

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Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

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Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Resources

Matchup: Northwest vs. Southwest
Date: Monday, April 18
Venue: American Airlines Center
Location: Dallas, TX
TV-Time: NBA TV - 8:30 p.m. ET
Injury Report
NBA Playoff Betting Central

Utah Jazz Betting Analysis

SU: 50-33
ATS: 34-45-4
O/U: 37-44-2

The Jazz have been one of the West’s most consistent squads across the last few regular seasons, which is no fluke, considering Utah continuously maintains a very well-balanced attack – highlighted by Donovan Mitchell and company ranking second in the league in offensive efficiency (1.130 OE) and 8^th in defensive efficiency (1.070 DE) on the year.

However, Utah’s consistency quickly fades without the combined presence of Mitchell and Gobert, considering the Jazz’ top-ranked offensive attack closed the regular season with a frustrating 23-24 SU skid – while scoring just 111.6 OPPG and surrendering 108.9 DPPG during that timeframe.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

SU: 52-31
ATS: 46-36-1
O/U: 31-51-1

After another disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that same ball rolling with a similarly slow start to this season, as the Mavs’ opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

However, the Mavs’ success primarily came through defense down the homestretch, considering Dallas is 36-13 SU across their last 49 games – despite scoring just 109.7 OPPG across that window.

**The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups against Dallas. (Getty Images)**

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head

Utah won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Dallas last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 218.3 PPG. However, Utah and Dallas split a four-game set 2-2 SU this season, with both Jazz’ victories going over the total at an average of 229.5 PPG – while both Mavericks’ wins stayed under with an average of 214 PPG. Utah beat Dallas by a score of 99-93 in Saturday’s series-opener though, which stayed comfortably under the closing number of OU 208.5.

Key Players to Watch

UTA: Donovan Mitchell - SG (25.9 PPG, 4.2 REB, 5.3 AST)
UTA: Rudy Gobert - C (15.6 PPG, 14.7 REB, 2.1 BLK)
DAL: Spener Dinwiddie - PG (13.7 PPG, 4.2 REB, 5.2 AST)
DAL: Jalen Brunson - SG (16.3 PPG, 3.9 REB, 4.8 AST)

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Conclusion

After posting a tough road win over Dallas in Saturday’s series-opener, the Jazz enter Game 2 of their first-round matchup as relatively steep road favorites over the Mavs’ at American Airlines Center – marking the eighth straight game Utah has been favored in.

I’ll take the points with Dallas here, as the Jazz closed the regular season with a head-scratching 5-7 SU and 3-8-1 ATS skid, while averaging just 110.8 OPPG during that span, and I doubt they’ll mount a second straight ATS road victory over a Mavs’ squad that smothered their opponents 104.7 DPPG across their 36-12 SU run prior to Saturday’s Game 1 loss.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Jazz are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Mavericks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Jazz' games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Mavs' games.
The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups against Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight matchups between Utah and Dallas.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson