Last Updated Apr 25, 2022, 10:44 AM
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
First Round Western Conference Playoff action will resume on Monday night with a compelling Game 2 showdown between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center in Dallas at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
Mavericks 106, Jazz 104
Mavericks +5.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions
After earning the top spot in the West with a record of 52-20 last year, Utah briefly sustained that same level of excellence with another dominant start to this season, as the Jazz opened with a triumphant 26-9 SU and 17-17-2 ATS run – with 20 of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.
Utah has been on quite the injury rollercoaster since mid-January though, considering Utah closed out the regular season with a bumpy 23-24 SU and 17-28-2 ATS stretch – with a decent chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of Donovan Mitchell or Rudy Gobert (10).
On the other hand, Dallas stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.
However, Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid, considering the Mavericks enter Game 2 riding an impressive 36-13 SU and 31-18 ATS stretch – while surrendering just 104.6 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.
I’ll take the points with Dallas here, as the Mavs’ kept things competitive for the length of Saturday’s series-opener despite the absence of Luka Doncic (99-93, U 208), so taking Dallas plus a handful of points at home is probably the best play against a Jazz squad that sits 5-7 SU and 3-8-1 ATS across their last 12 games.
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Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Resources
- Matchup: Northwest vs. Southwest
- Date: Monday, April 18
- Venue: American Airlines Center
- Location: Dallas, TX
- TV-Time: NBA TV - 8:30 p.m. ET
- Injury Report
- NBA Playoff Betting Central
Utah Jazz Betting Analysis
- SU: 50-33
- ATS: 34-45-4
- O/U: 37-44-2
The Jazz have been one of the West’s most consistent squads across the last few regular seasons, which is no fluke, considering Utah continuously maintains a very well-balanced attack – highlighted by Donovan Mitchell and company ranking second in the league in offensive efficiency (1.130 OE) and 8th in defensive efficiency (1.070 DE) on the year.
However, Utah’s consistency quickly fades without the combined presence of Mitchell and Gobert, considering the Jazz’ top-ranked offensive attack closed the regular season with a frustrating 23-24 SU skid – while scoring just 111.6 OPPG and surrendering 108.9 DPPG during that timeframe.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis
- SU: 52-31
- ATS: 46-36-1
- O/U: 31-51-1
After another disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that same ball rolling with a similarly slow start to this season, as the Mavs’ opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.
However, the Mavs’ success primarily came through defense down the homestretch, considering Dallas is 36-13 SU across their last 49 games – despite scoring just 109.7 OPPG across that window.
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head
Utah won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Dallas last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 218.3 PPG. However, Utah and Dallas split a four-game set 2-2 SU this season, with both Jazz’ victories going over the total at an average of 229.5 PPG – while both Mavericks’ wins stayed under with an average of 214 PPG. Utah beat Dallas by a score of 99-93 in Saturday’s series-opener though, which stayed comfortably under the closing number of OU 208.5.
Key Players to Watch
- UTA: Donovan Mitchell - SG (25.9 PPG, 4.2 REB, 5.3 AST)
- UTA: Rudy Gobert - C (15.6 PPG, 14.7 REB, 2.1 BLK)
- DAL: Spener Dinwiddie - PG (13.7 PPG, 4.2 REB, 5.2 AST)
- DAL: Jalen Brunson - SG (16.3 PPG, 3.9 REB, 4.8 AST)
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Conclusion
After posting a tough road win over Dallas in Saturday’s series-opener, the Jazz enter Game 2 of their first-round matchup as relatively steep road favorites over the Mavs’ at American Airlines Center – marking the eighth straight game Utah has been favored in.
I’ll take the points with Dallas here, as the Jazz closed the regular season with a head-scratching 5-7 SU and 3-8-1 ATS skid, while averaging just 110.8 OPPG during that span, and I doubt they’ll mount a second straight ATS road victory over a Mavs’ squad that smothered their opponents 104.7 DPPG across their 36-12 SU run prior to Saturday’s Game 1 loss.
Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends
- The Jazz are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The Mavericks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Jazz' games.
- The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Mavs' games.
- The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups against Dallas.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight matchups between Utah and Dallas.