Last Updated May 09, 2022, 3:56 PM

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Western Conference Semi-Finals will resume on Wednesday night with a pivotal Game 2 showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns. Coverage begins from Phoenix’s Footprint Center at 10:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Score Prediction

Suns 116, Mavericks 104

Best Bets

Suns -6 (-110) at Caesars

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Predictions

After finishing second in the West with a record of 51-21 SU last year, Phoenix kept that same train rolling with another dominant start to this season, as the Suns opened with a red-hot 27-8 SU and 18-17 ATS run, with 18 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Despite Chris Paul’s 15-game absence down the homestretch, Phoenix carried that same momentum all the way through the regular-season finish line, considering the Suns enter Wednesday’s Game 2 riding an impressive 42-12 SU and 31-23 ATS stretch, while averaging 116.6 OPPG and allowing just 109.6 DPPG during that timeframe.

On the other hand, Dallas posted a surprisingly pedestrian start to the season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid, with five of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

However, Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid, considering the Mavericks enter Wednesday’s contest riding a red-hot 40-15 SU and 36-19 ATS run, while surrendering just 104.4 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe, despite giving up 121 PTS to Phoenix in Game 1 of this series.

I’ll back Phoenix here, as the Suns cruised to a 121-114 victory in Monday’s series-opener despite Luka Doncic exploding for 45 PTS on 50% FG in the contest, and while he could very well replicate that same type of performance in Game 2, Phoenix just strikes me as the far superior team in this matchup across the board, and I expect them to handle business again at home this Wednesday.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Odds

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Resources

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 56-33
  • ATS: 51-37-1
  • O/U: 34-54-1

After a disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas initially kept the disappointment train rolling with a mediocre start to this season, as the Mavs’ opened with a head-scratching 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch, with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

However, Dallas completely flipped the script with its defense during the back-half of the season, considering the Mavs’ enter Wednesday’s Game 2 riding an impressive 40-15 SU run, despite averaging just 109.6 OPPG across that stretch.

Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 69-20
  • ATS: 49-40
  • O/U: 45-43-1

After battling Utah for the top spot in the conference all the way through the final day of last year’s regular season (51-21 SU), Phoenix was surprisingly rusty to start the year, as the Suns dropped three-of-four contests out of the gate, while averaging just 106.3 OPPG across that stretch.

The Suns clearly just needed a few weeks to settle into a rhythm though, considering the Suns boast records of 68-17 SU and 48-37 ATS since that opening skid, while ranking fifth in the league in scoring and third in offensive efficiency (114.7 OPPG, 1.118 OE); and on the flipside, ranking tenth in points allowed and third in defensive efficiency (107.6 DPPG, 1.049 DE).

The Suns are 10-0 SU in their last ten matchups against Dallas. (Getty Images)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head

The Suns swept a three-game regular-season set against Dallas last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 213.7 PPG.

Phoenix also went 3-0 SU against Dallas this season, with two matchups staying under the total at an average of 206.5 PPG, while the other barely went over with a score of 112-104 (O 212); however, their most recent regular-season results should be taken with a grain of salt, considering Doncic was sidelined for two of those affairs.

Doncic participated in Monday’s series-opener though, which resulted in another relatively high-scoring victory for Phoenix (121-114, O 214).

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Key Players to Watch

  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (28.4 PPG, 9.1 REB, 8.7 AST)
  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - PG (16.3 PPG, 3.9 REB, 4.8 AST)
  • PHX: Devin Booker - SG (26.8 PPG, 5 REB, 4.8 AST)
  • PHX: Chris Paul - PG (14.7 PPG, 4.4 REB, 10.8 AST)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Conclusion

After nearly blowing a double-digit fourth-quarter lead in Monday’s series-opener (W, 121-114), the Suns enter Wednesday’s contest as six-point home favorites over the Mavericks at Footprint Center, which is roughly the same number Phoenix was favored by in Game 1 (PHX -6.5).

I’ll back Phoenix here, as the Suns entered the final stanza of Game 1 with a 17-point lead before tallying just 25 PTS on 28% FG and 12.5% 3FG in the fourth quarter, which was still enough juice to earn a 121-114 victory and cover the spread; likely presenting an uphill battle for a Mavs’ squad that shot the ball surprisingly well during their loss in Monday’s series-opener (47.1% FG, 41% 3FG).

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Suns' games.
  • The Suns are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 matchups against Dallas.
  • The Mavericks are 0-10 SU in their last ten matchups against Phoenix.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the last nine matchups between Phoenix and Dallas.
  • The Suns are 7-2 SU in their last nine home games.

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