Last Updated Jan 6 2026, 8:54 PM

2025-26 AFC Championship Odds: Broncos the Favorite, Patriots No. 2

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NFL Futures Odds

AFC championship odds continue to develop, with the regular season a wrap and Wild Card Weekend on the way.

Over the past three weeks or so, there's been a changing of the guard in odds to win the AFC championship. On Dec. 12, the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots were co-favorites. Now, it's the Denver Broncos alone on top.

Check back regularly for updates on 2025-26 AFC conference championship odds. Also, check out Patrick Everson's NFL Wild Card Odds Report. And be sure to use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action on 2026 NFC championship odds.

(Feature image: Ron Chenoy/Getty Images)

Afc Champion Odds

Time	Bet365	BetMGM	DraftKings	Caesars	FanDuel	RiversCasino
	›	›	›	›	›	›
Broncos	+230	+225	+230	+235	+230	+230
Patriots	+400	+400	+400	+380	+410	+400
Bills	+475	+500	+475	+485	+500	+475
Jaguars	+550	+600	+550	+580	+550	+600
Texans	+500	+550	+550	+520	+500	+475
Chargers	+1200	+1300	+1200	+1300	+1200	+1200
Steelers	+1800	+1800	+1700	+1800	+1700	+1800

2026 AFC Championship Odds

Mile-High Momentum

LATEST UPDATE: The Denver Broncos finished the regular season at 14-3 and nabbed the No. 1 seed, winning a tiebreaker over New England. In getting the bye and home-field advantage, Denver moved from +300 to +225 in BetMGM's AFC championship odds.

As the No. 2 seed, New England (14-3) gets at least one home playoff game, and two if it beats the L.A. Chargers on Wild Card Weekend. BetMGM has the Patriots as the +400 second choice in AFC futures odds.

Unlike Denver and New England, the Buffalo Bills (12-5) have been at or near the top of these odds all season long. But as the No. 6 seed, the Bills travel to red-hot Jacksonville (13-4, eight-game win streak) on Wild Card Weekend.

Still, BetMGM has Buffalo as the +500 third choice in 2025-26 AFC championship odds.

The Houston Texans (12-5) are a big mover in recent weeks, riding an eight-game win streak into the playoffs. Houston was as long as +4000 in AFC championship futures as recently as post-Week 11, but is now into the +550 fourth choice.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) are just as hot, winning eight in a row. Jacksonville is the +600 fifth choice among the seven remaining teams, followed by the Chargers (+1300) and Pittsburgh Steelers (+1800).

The top five in ticket count for BetMGM's AFC championship odds, not counting eliminated teams:

Bills
Broncos
Patriots
Steelers
Texans

If you include eliminated teams, the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens still have the third- and fifth-most tickets, respectively, in odds to win the AFC.

The top five in money among remaining teams:

Broncos
Bills
Texans
Patriots
Steelers

If eliminated teams were included in money count, Baltimore would be third and K.C. tied for fourth.

AFC Championship Opening Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs are the three-time defending AFC champions. BetMGM opened the Chiefs as +350 co-favorites to win a fourth straight AFC title. The Baltimore Ravens also opened +350.

Below are opening odds to win the AFC in the 2025-26 season, from BetMGM:

Kansas City Chiefs +350
Baltimore Ravens +350
Buffalo Bills +375
Cincinnati Bengals +800
Los Angeles Chargers +1100
Denver Broncos +1400
Houston Texans +1400
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
Miami Dolphins +2500
New England Patriots +3000
Indianapolis Colts +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +4000
Las Vegas Raiders +6000
New York Jets +6000
Cleveland Browns +8000
Tennessee Titans +10000

How to Read the Odds:
Bet $100 on Kansas City Chiefs (+350) to win $350
Bet $100 on Buffalo Bills (+375) to win $375

Super Bowl 60 Opening Odds for AFC Teams

Baltimore Ravens +700
Kansas City Chiefs +700
Buffalo Bills +700
Cincinnati Bengals +2000
Los Angeles Chargers +2200
Houston Texans +2500
Denver Broncos +3000
Miami Dolphins +5000
Pittsburgh Steelers +8000
New York Jets +8000
Indianapolis Colts +10000
Jacksonville Jaguars +10000
New England Patriots +12500
Las Vegas Raiders +15000
Cleveland Browns +15000
Tennessee Titans +20000

AFC Championship Betting History

The AFC has been dominated recently by the Kansas City Chiefs, who have represented the conference in the Super Bowl in four of the last five seasons.

Year-Winner-Record (Odds to Win)

2024-25: Kansas City Chiefs 15-2-0 (+360)
2023-24: Kansas City Chiefs 11-6-0 (+350)
2022-23: Kansas City Chiefs 14-3-0 (+450)
2021-22: Cincinnati Bengals 10-7-0 (+5000)
2020-21: Kansas City Chiefs 14-2-0 (+200)
2019-20: Kansas City Chiefs 12-4-0 (+300)
2018-19: New England Patriots 11-5-0 (+300)
2017-18: New England Patriots 13-3-0 (+125)
2016-17: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+300)
2015-16: Denver Broncos 12-4-0 (+500)
2014-15: New England Patriots 12-4-0 (+300)
2013-14: Denver Broncos 13-3-0 (+300)
2012-13: Baltimore Ravens 10-6-0 (+650)
2011-12: New England Patriots 13-3-0 (+300)
2010-11: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0 (+900)
2009-10: Indianapolis Colts 14-2-0 (+700)
2008-09: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0 (+900)
2007-08: New England Patriots 16-0-0 (+175)
2006-07: Indianapolis Colts 12-4-0 (+300)
2005-06: Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5-0 (+600)
2004-05: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+400)
2003-04: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+700)
2002-03: Oakland Raiders 11-5-0 (+600)
2001-02: New England Patriots 11-5-0 (+2000)
2000-01: Baltimore Ravens 12-4-0
1999-00: Tennessee Titans 13-3-0
1998-99: Denver Broncos 14-2-0
1997-98: Denver Broncos 12-4-0
1996-97: New England Patriots 11-5-0
1995-96: Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5-0
1994-95: San Diego Chargers 11-5-0
1993-94: Buffalo Bills 12-4-0
1992-93: Buffalo Bills 11-5-0
1991-92: Buffalo Bills 13-3-0
1990-91: Buffalo Bills 13-3-0
1989-90: Denver Broncos 11-5-0
1988-89: Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0
1987-88: Denver Broncos 10-4-1
1986-87: Denver Broncos 11-5-0
1985-86: New England Patriots 11-5-0
1984-85: Miami Dolphins 14-2-0
1983-84: Los Angeles Raiders 12-4-0
1982-83: Miami Dolphins 7-2-0
1981-82: Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0
1980-81: Oakland Raiders 11-5-0
1979-80: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0
1978-79: Pittsburgh Steelers 14-2-0
1977-78: Denver Broncos 12-2-0
1976-77: Oakland Raiders 13-1-0
1975-76: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-2-0
1974-75: Pittsburgh Steelers 10-3-1
1973-74: Miami Dolphins 12-2-0
1972-73: Miami Dolphins 14-0-0
1971-72: Miami Dolphins 10-3-1
1970-71: Baltimore Colts 11-2-1

NFL American Football Conference Teams

The NFL American Football Conference consists of 16 teams divided into four divisions of four: AFC East, AFC West, AFC North and AFC South.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson