Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

Nov. 14, 2021

Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Seattle Seahawks (3-5) and Green Bay Packers (7-2) meet in a key Week 10 battle between NFC teams at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on FOX.

Score Prediction

Packers 26, Seahawks 18

Best Bets

Packers -3.5 (-110)

Under 48.5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions

Things haven't exactly gone according to plan for the Seahawks this season, as it is very uncharacteristic to see this team two games below .500 at any portion of the season, let alone the midway point. But that's where we're at with Seattle, but there is plenty of time to turn things around. The good news is that QB Russell Wilson has been activated from the reserve/IR list after dealing with a broken finger on his throwing hand. He banged it on the helmet of a defender in the Week 5 game against the Los Angeles Rams, forcing him to miss the next three games. Backup QB Geno Smith did a decent job as a stand-in, steering the team to a 31-7 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last time out on Halloween before the team's bye. Seattle was also 3-0 ATS during Smith's starting reign, losing at Pittsburgh 23-20 in overtime in Week 6, and 13-10 at home to New Orleans in Week 7.

The Packers fell for just the second time this season, losing 13-7 at Kansas City in Week 9. Starting QB Aaron Rodgers was on the reserve/COVID list, missing the game, and backup QB Jordan Love was rather shaky in the setback. He engineered a scoring drive in the fourth quarter to make things interesting, but it wasn't nearly good enough. Rodgers could be activated from the COVID list Saturday, his first day of eligibility to return to team facilities. His chances of playing in Week 10 are improved by the fact the team is home, rather than the logistics of getting him to a road game. Love took all the first-team reps in practice, obviously, so he should be better if he is tasked with a second consecutive start.

A lot hinges on whether or not Rodgers can play. That makes a big difference in handicapping this game. Wilson is back, but will there be rust? Love might start, and he should be better prepared after being thrust into action last week. Plus, he'd be at home with a much more friendly crowd. If Rodgers returns, can he be effective after having not practiced in a week and a half, and not having played in two weeks?

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Resources

• Matchup: NFC West vs. NFC North
• Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
• TV-Time: CBS - 4:25 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

Seattle Seahawks Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 3-5
• ATS: 5-3
• O/U: 1-7
• ATS - Home: 2-2
• ATS - Away: 3-1

The Seahawks will have Wilson back under center, head coach Pete Carroll confirmed Friday. Rookie WR Dee Eskridge also returns from the reserve/IR list. That's good news for a Seattle offense which is 29th in the NFL with 314.0 total yards per game, and just 211.1 passing yards per contest to rank 27th. The Seahawks have still mustered 22.6 PPG, checking in 19th. Those numbers are almost certain to rise in the coming weeks, as Wilson works to re-jell with big-play WRs Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. The arrow is definitely pointing up for Seattle, barring any setbacks for Wilson and his surgically-repaired digit.

The Seahawks have covered four of the past five games overall, and they always seem to rise to the occasion when serving as an underdog. Seattle is 14-5 ATS in the previous 19 as a 'dog, and 11-3 ATS in the past 14 as an underdog on the road.

Seattle has been rather icy when facing Green Bay, however, whether the tundra is frozen at Lambeau Field, or otherwise. The Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in the past six meetings overall, and 0-6-1 ATS in the previous seven trips to Wisconsin overall. The home side is 4-0-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, and the favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings.

Green Bay Packers Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 7-2
• ATS: 8-1
• O/U: 2-7
• ATS - Home: 3-0
• ATS - Away: 5-1

For the Packers, the UNDER has connected in six consecutive outings. And the Seahawks have an NFL-best 7-1 UNDER record this season, so points could be at a serious premium in this marquee late-window game Sunday.

The Packers have managed just 333.4 total yards per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, with 223.8 passing yards per game, checking in 23rd. That's hard to believe, considering Rodgers has missed just one game. This offense has managed just 22.1 PPG, ranking 20th in the league. Defense has been the reason this team has looked championship-like, allowing just 321.2 total yards per game to rank fifth in the league. If Green Bay has an Achilles' heel, it's against the run, ranking 17th. But that's not Seattle's strength offensively, so the Packers should be OK there. The Pack allow 20.0 PPG, sixth-best in the NFL.

The Packers have covered eight games in a row, including the Love/Rodgers fiasco last week. Green Bay is also 5-0 ATS in its past five as a favorite, 7-0 ATS in the past seven on a grass surface, and 5-1 ATS in the friendly confines of Lambeau. And, as mentioned above, they have been the kryptonite to the Seahawks, especially against the number.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone UNDER the point total in six straight games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Seattle Seahawks

• Record: 3-5
• Division Standing: 1-1
• Points Scored: 181
• Points Allowed: 169
• PS/G: 22.6
• PA/G: 21.1

Inside the Stats - Green Bay Packers

• Record: 7-2
• Division Standing: 2-0
• Points Scored: 199
• Points Allowed: 180
• PS/G: 22.1
• PA/G: 20.0

Key Players to Watch

• SEA: Russell Wilson - QB (90/125, 1,196 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT)
• SEA: DK Metcalf - WR (39 catches, 580 yards, 8 TD)
• GNB: Aaron Rodgers - QB (173/258, 1,894 yards, 17 TD, 3 INT)
• GNB: Davante Adams - WR (58 catches, 786 yards, 3 TD)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Conclusion

There is still a lot of concern as to whether Rodgers will be able to play. Regardless, Love should be a lot more prepared this time around with a full week of first-team reps under his belt, and the experience of real live action in Kansas City last week, his first meaningful game action in front of fans since college. And a raucous crowd at Arrowhead is just a little more intimidating than playing in Logan, Utah on Saturday afternoons.

The Seahawks get Wilson back, and that's great news, but there are rust concerns. And Seattle's rushing attack is just 21st in the NFL, posting 102.9 yards per game on the ground. That's how Seattle could win this game, but they won't. For whatever reason, over the years, the Packers just seem to have the number of the Seahawks. Even if Love were to start a second straight game, I think the defense carries him to a victory. But I suspect No. 12 finds his way back into the starting lineup Sunday.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

• The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS across the past five games overall.
• The Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
• The Packers are 8-0 ATS in the past eight games overall.
• The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six home games.
• The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Seahawks.
• The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games for the Packers.
• The Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven home games vs. SEA.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

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