NFL Week 12 Predictions: Chiefs Continue Their Skid

NFL Week 12 Predictions: Chiefs Continue Their Skid

Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Here are my NFL Week 12 predictions, including a pick for Sunday Night Football between the Rams and the Buccaneers, as well as the Colts vs. The Chiefs. Click on the links below to place the wager instantly:

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TEXANS VS. BILLS PREDICTION

BUF @ HOU Odds

The Texans enter this matchup allowing 16.3 points per game, which is the best in the league. They’ve also given up just 258.1 total yards per game, which is one of the lowest marks in the league. Opponents have gained only 4.6 yards per play, placing the Texans among the top defenses in that category, and the unit has allowed 87.1 rushing yards per game, which reinforces the strength of their front. These defensive metrics keep Houston competitive in low-scoring, possession-driven games.

The Bills have allowed the 3rd-most EPA/rush attempt. Woody Marks and Nick Chubb are going to control this matchup.

Prediction: Houston Texans +6 (-105) + ML (+240)

COLTS VS. CHIEFS PREDICTION

IND @ KC Odds

The Colts enter this matchup allowing 20.6 points per game, while the Chiefs are averaging 25.4 points per game offensively. The Colts have been effective running the ball, gaining 145.3 rushing yards per game, which could help control the clock against the Chiefs' passing attack. The Colts’ defense has generated nearly 3 sacks per game and 14 turnovers on the season, creating potential for momentum shifts. Time of possession and rushing efficiency could be key factors in keeping the game close.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-114) + ML (+156)

STEELERS VS. BEARS PREDICTION

PIT @ CHI Odds

The under on this total looks strong. Pittsburgh has run fewer than 60 offensive snaps per game - the lowest in the NFL - which limits scoring chances and keeps games low scoring. They have scored heavily off of turnovers and short fields this season, while the Bears lead the league in turnover differential (+16). Both teams rank among the luckiest according to the Action Network, meaning they’ve scored more points than their play suggests is sustainable. With two decent defenses, points will be hard to come by. This game stays under 45.5.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears u45.5 (-110)

COWBOYS VS. EAGLES PREDICTION

PHI @ DAL Odds

The Cowboys at +3.5 against the Eagles offers strong value. The Eagles top Action Network's luck rankings as the NFL's luckiest team, overperforming expected outcomes, while the Cowboys rank a solid 17th — positioning them for positive regression in a divisional clash. The Cowboys boast the league's 6th-ranked 3rd-down conversion rate (42.7%), which should help them sustain drives and control the clock against Philly's opportunistic but regression-prone defense. Offensively, the Cowboys operate at a blistering pace, with 70 snaps per game and a 4.26% big-time throw rate, which fuels explosive plays that keep scores tight. I think Dallas wins this NFC East matchup.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-115) + ML (+155)

FALCONS VS. SAINTS PREDICTION

ATL @ NO Odds

Action Network's luck rankings has these two teams as two of the unluckiest in football. They have been scoring fewer points than expected, and I think some regression is inbound. Although Penix is out, Cousins is not the worst back up quarterback if you are looking for points, and Shough hasn't been awful in his limited playing time.

Both of these teams allow a 60% touchdown conversion rate in the red zone. With the total so low, I think this total could sail over.

Prediction: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints o39.5 (-105)

RAMS VS. BUCCANEERS PREDICTION

TB @ LA Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers luck is starting to run out. We are so far from the "Baker Mayfield has 4 game winning drives in 5 weeks" discourse, that water has seemed to finally find its level.

The Rams defense is extremely efficient in the red zone and on late downs. Offensive injuries have effected this Bucs team the last few weeks, and I do not see how it gets any better for Tampa Bay this week.

Prediction: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (-114)

I would love to hear from you all. You can interact with me on Threads and best of luck this week.

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