Flamengo vs Chelsea Predictions, Odds and Best Bet

Joseph Beguiristain Sports Betting Expert

12 minute read

Flamengo will face Chelsea on Friday at 2:00 PM EDT in Club World Cup Match Day 2 action from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

This is a critical Group D match, with both teams having won 2-0 in their opening games. This matchup will determine which team can secure the top spot and a more favorable draw in the knockout stage.

Chelsea enters the game with confidence after an impressive victory over LAFC last time out. New signing Liam Delap came off the bench to assist for the second goal, showcasing manager Enzo Maresca's deep squad.

However, there is added intrigue on the Flamengo side. Manager Filipe Luis, who played for Chelsea for one season between two lengthy stints at Atletico Madrid, has made a significant impact since taking charge. He can also rely on former Chelsea player Jorginho in central midfield.

Bookmakers are not optimistic about Luis's chances against his former club, giving Flamengo an implied probability of around 20% to win (+400 on the moneyline). The odds for a draw are similarly low, with Chelsea being heavily favored.

Mengão proved their capability by securing a win on Match Day 1. They are well-coached and possess a solid mix of experience and quality. Could we see an upset in this match?

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Analysis of the Match

Both Flamengo and Chelsea performed well in their first matches and are now set to meet in Philadelphia, aiming to gain an advantage in Group D. Chelsea secured a 2-0 victory against LAFC, with goals from Neto and Enzo Fernandez. Meanwhile, Flamengo achieved the same scoreline against Esperance de Tunis.

Both matches ended as anticipated, with neither defense facing significant challenges; however, the upcoming match promises to be more entertaining for neutral viewers. However, don’t expect a high-scoring game.

Chelsea is favored to finish at the top of the group and is still the favorite to do so, but their clash with Flamengo will be anything but easy.

Filipe Luis, a former player for Chelsea, is now head coach of Flamengo and has accomplished remarkable feats since taking over last year. Under his leadership, the team has lost only three of 47 games.

Flamengo boasts a strong defense featuring Ayrton Lucas, Leo Pereira, Leo Ortiz, and Guillermo Varela, with Wesley Franca and Alex Sandro available as backups. Chelsea will need a commendable performance to break through this defense.

Flamengo has conceded only four league goals in 11 matches prior to this tournament, showcasing Luis’s invaluable defensive expertise.

Chelsea has recorded three clean sheets in its last five games and successfully kept LAFC at bay throughout the entire 90 minutes. While Chelsea appears superior on paper, silencing Pedro and his teammates will be their top priority in this second round.

Flamengo Analysis and Form

Flamengo is thriving under its new, young head coach, Filipe Luis. The team, filled with superstars and strong personalities, has posed challenges for previous managers. However, Luis has earned their respect from day one.

Luis aims for his team to play positive, attacking football rather than just focusing on defensive strategies. As a result, the players have embraced his philosophy, and it is paying off.

Flamengo has been scoring freely, but it's worth noting that their previous opponents were relatively weaker. The upcoming challenge against Chelsea will be an actual test of where Flamengo stands among Europe's top teams.

Confidence is sky-high after the club's opening-round victory, in which Giorgian de Arrascaeta shone as the standout player. If Flamengo can maintain discipline defensively, they may create opportunities to secure all three points.

Chelsea Analysis and Form

Chelsea accomplished exactly what it needed to in its opening match, and considering the club's strong form towards the end of its domestic season, it can be confident about a good run in this tournament.

Enzo Maresca knows that a victory in this match will secure their spot in the knockout stages, allowing him to rest key players against Esperance de Tunis in round three. This opportunity to rotate players will give Chelsea a competitive advantage over those who may not have such flexibility.

However, Maresca also understands that it won't be easy. Flamengo is currently one of the best teams in South America, and Maresca will need his players to deliver another top performance to secure the three points.

The Italian coach is still working to win over fans, and facing a young, knowledgeable head coach will be a real test for him and his team. This match could potentially result in another 0-0 draw for the Club World Cup, much to FIFA's dismay.

Head to Head Analysis

Flamengo has faced English opponents twice, both times against Liverpool. The club won 3-0 in the 1981 Intercontinental Cup final but lost 1-0 after extra time in the 2019/20 Club World Cup final.

Chelsea, on the other hand, has played against Brazilian teams on two occasions. The London club suffered a 1-0 defeat to Corinthians in the 2012/13 Club World Cup final but redeemed itself in 2021 by securing a 2-1 victory over Palmeiras after extra time to win the trophy.

In addition to this, Flamengo has faced Al-Hilal twice, recording one win and one loss, and has previously secured a victory against Al Ahly in earlier editions of the Club World Cup.

Flamengo's manager, Filipe Luís, has experience with Chelsea, having played 26 games for the club during the 2014/15 season, where he scored one goal and contributed to their Premier League and League Cup victories.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Flamengo Possible Starting Lineup:
Rossi; Varela, Pereira, Ortiz, Lucas; Pulgar, Jorginho; de Arrascaeta, Gerson, Araujo; Pedro.

Chelsea Possible Starting Lineup:
Sanchez; Cucurella, Colwill, Adarabioyo, James; Caicedo, Lavia; Palmer, Neto, Madueke; Jackson.

It’s no longer surprising to see Giorgian de Arrascaeta’s name on the scoresheet, as he notched his 12th goal of the season for both club and country against Espérance de Tunis. His knack for knowing when to make runs into the box has made Flamengo a much more dangerous side this season.

Ex-Chelsea player Jorginho played alongside Pulgar in Flamengo’s two-man midfield and will be eager to deliver another impressive performance against his former team.

Chelsea relied on Neto and Enzo Fernandez to secure all three points in their last match, and both will be crucial once again in Round 2. Neto’s opening goal demonstrated his threat when cutting inside, and Flamengo will need to keep a close watch on him if they hope to gain any points from the match. New signing Liam Delap came off the bench to provide an assist for Fernandez, but the former Ipswich striker is likely to remain among the substitutes for this upcoming game.

BEST BET: Under 1 Goal in the First Half (+107)

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Joseph Beguiristain

Joseph Beguiristain is a South Florida native with 10-plus years of sports media experience. Before joining VegasInsider in July 2021, he wrote for the Sun-Sentinel and Miami Heat. More from Joseph Beguiristain