CFL Betting Notes – Week 7

Week 6 Betting Recap

The home teams swept Week 6 in the CFL straight-up while going 3-1 against the spread. The run started Thursday night with Calgary’s 26-16 victory at home against Toronto, but the Stampeders could not cover as heavy 13 ½-point favorites. On Friday night, Winnipeg stayed perfect of the year both SU and ATS with a 31-1 rout over Ottawa as 11 ½-point home favorites.

Saturday’s action started with Montreal pulling off its third-straight upset with a 20-10 victory against Edmonton closing as six-point underdogs at home. Later that night, Saskatchewan raced past British Columbia 38-25 as a six-point favorite in the first meeting in that home-and-home series.

Thursday, July 25

Calgary Stampeders (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

Calgary remains two games back in the West Division standings as the defending champ. The total stayed UNDER 52 points in last week’s win against Toronto and it has remained UNDER in the Stampeders’ last three games.

Nick Arbuckle continues to get the start at quarterback and he has thrown for 914 yards and five touchdowns in four games. He had two touchdown passes against Toronto, but he was also picked off twice. Juwan Brescacin caught five passes for 64 yards and both of those touchdowns.

Ottawa’ losing streak reached three games with Friday’s setback. It has failed to cover the closing spread in its last four games. The RedBlacks went with Jonathon Jennings at quarterback for the injured Dominique Davis and he struggled with just 45 yards passing while going 6-for-15.

Will Arndt could not do much better with four completions on 13 attempts for 57 yards. The lone bright spot in one of Ottawa’s most dismal showings in franchise history was John Crockett’s 88 yards rushing on 15 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has a 4-1-1 SU record against Ottawa through the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall and in four of the last five matchups played at TD Place Stadium.

Toronto Argonauts (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -10 ½
Total: 53

Game Overview

The Argonauts have lost 14 of their last 15 games SU dating back to late August of last season. They have failed to cover in 11 of those games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of five games this year.

Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to get the start at quarterback and he continues to put up some big numbers despite the 0-5 start. He completed 32-of-42 passes against Calgary for 343 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw four interceptions. He has thrown for 1,159 yards and seven scores in five games, but he leads the CFL with eight INT’s.

Edmonton has fallen two games in back of Winnipeg in the West with Saturday’s loss. The total stayed UNDER 54 in that game and it has stayed UNDER in the its last three games. The Eskimos have won their only two games at home this season SU with a 1-1 mark ATS.

Trevor Harris completed 29-of-43 passing attempts against Montreal for 271 yards, but he could not get the offense into the end zone through the air. He also ran for 16 of Edmonton’s 49 total rushing yards.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has won five of the last seven meetings SU in this inter-division matchup, but Toronto holds a 4-1 edge in the last five games ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Edmonton.

Friday, July 26

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Pick 'em
Total: 55

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers continue to play extremely well on both sides of the ball. The offense is averaging 33.8 points per game complementing a defense that has only allowed a total of 80 points in its first five games. The total stayed UNDER 52 points against Ottawa and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests.

Matt Nichols completed an impressive 86.2 percent of his 29 passing attempts on Friday night for 295 yards and two touchdowns. This included a franchise-high 19 completions in a row.

Hamilton is the class of the East Division behind the highest scoring offense in the CFL (37.4 PPG). Its defense has also played extremely well by holding opposing teams to an average of 20 points a game. Jeramiah Masoli has thrown for 1,517 yards and nine touchdowns in his first five games.

His top target Brandon Banks leads the CFL in receiving yards with 506 on 36 receptions. He has caught three balls for touchdowns. The Tiger-Cats are 3-0 SU and ATS at home this year with the total staying UNDER in all three games.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have the SU 4-2 edge in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five matchups. It has also stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 meetings in Hamilton.

Saturday, July 27

Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) at British Columbia (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

The Roughriders needed three consecutive touchdown drives in the second half of the series opener to get past BC. They also got a huge boost from Marcus Thigpen’s 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown near the end of the second quarter.

Cody Fajardo ended the game with 278 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 17 of his 23 passing attempts. He also led the team in rushing with 53 yards and a score on eight carries. Shaquelle Evans caught five passes for 158 yards and one of the two scores through the air.

The total went OVER 50 points in Saturday’s loss and it has gone OVER in four of the Lions’ first six games. Their defense has allowed an average of 32.7 points in those first six games. It has given up at least 30 points in five of those contests.

Mike Reilly put up some big numbers on Saturday with 346 yards passing while completing 77.5 percent of his 40 attempts and BC added another 122 yards running the ball.

Betting Trends

-- With Saturday’s win, Saskatchewan improved to 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five games against the Lions. BC still has the 4-1 edge SU and ATS in its last five home games of this West Division tilt. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of the last 18 meetings at BC Place Stadium.