CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
October 1, 2019
By David Schwab
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Hamilton helped it cause in winning the East Division title with Friday night’s 33-13 upset over Winnipeg as a five-point road underdog. In the first of three Saturday games on the Week 16 CFL schedule, Edmonton got past Ottawa 21-16, but it could not cover as seven-point favorites on the road.
In the third of four CFL inter-division tilts this past weekend, Saskatchewan rolled over Toronto 41-16 as a 6 ½-point road favorite. British Columbia kept things rolling for the West by beating Montreal 25-23, but it could not cover giving six points at home.
Friday, Oct. 4
Edmonton Eskimos (7-7 SU, 4-10 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (11-3 SU, 9-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -6
Total: 46 ½
The Eskimos were able to even their record and improve their playoff chances with Saturday’s win. They also snapped a straight-up four-game losing streak that included a 30-27 loss to Hamilton at home as slight 1 ½-point underdogs. Edmonton has failed to cover against the spread in seven of its last eight games with the total going OVER in four of its last six outings. Logan Kilgore threw a 17-yard game winning scoring strike to Tevaun Smith in the closing minutes to get past Ottawa.
Hamilton has clinched a playoff spot and its lead over Montreal for the East title is now four and a half games. The Tiger-Cats are a perfect 6-0 SU at home this season with a 4-1-1 record ATS. They are 6-3-1 ATS when closing as favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games. Dane Evans continues to get the call at quarterback and he threw for 359 yards and three scores against Winnipeg last Friday. Brandon Banks caught eight balls for 113 yards and a score in that game.
-- Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last five road games against the Tigers-Cats with a 5-1-1 record ATS in its last seven trips to Hamilton. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings overall.
Saturday, Oct. 5
Calgary Stampeders (9-4 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -1 ½
Total: 51 ½
Calgary returns from its bye week tied with Saskatchewan for first place in the West Division standings. The Stampeders have won their last four games SU with a 2-1-1 record ATS. Back on Aug. 17, they lost to Montreal 40-34 as five-point home favorites. The total went way OVER 49 ½ points in that game, but it has stayed UNDER in three of four games since that loss. Bo Levi Mitchell is a big reason for Calgary’s current winning streak. Overall, he has thrown for 1,732 yards and eight touchdowns in six previous starts.
Saturday’s loss to BC kept Montreal from clinching its first playoff berth since 2014, but it only needs one more win in its last five games to earn a spot in the East. With Vernon Adams Jr. serving a one-game league suspension, Matt Shiltz got the start at quarterback for the Alouettes. He went 10-for-19 for 177 yards. Adams should be back in the lineup this Saturday. He is fifth in the CFL in total passing yards (2,953) with 15 touchdown throws verse eight interceptions.
-- Montreal has won four of its last five home games against Calgary SU while covering in all five contests. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 matchups in this inter-division clash.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-5 SU, 9-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Winnipeg slipped out of first place in the West with Friday’s loss. This was its third SU loss in its last four games. This includes a SU home-and-home split against Saskatchewan with each team coming away with a win on its home field. The total stayed UNDER in both contests. The Blue Bombers are still forging on without Matt Nichols under center. In his place, Chris Streveler threw for 304 yards with one touchdown in Friday’s losing cause. He was also picked off twice.
The Roughriders’ only SU loss in their last nine games was on the road to Winnipeg. They have failed to cover in three of their last four games, but they are 6-3 ATS in nine games closing as favorites. Cody Fajardo turned in another strong effort at quarterback in Saturday’s win with 278 yards passing and three touchdown throws against no interceptions. He also ran for 80 yards and a score on 11 carries. Saskatchewan rushed for 147 total yards in that game.
-- Winnipeg has a SU 8-4 edge in its last 12 games against the Roughriders and it is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 11 meetings in Saskatchewan.
Toronto Argonauts (2-11 SU, 5-6-2 ATS) at British Columbia (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -9 ½
The Argonauts continue to ride out the string with just one SU win in their last six games. They lost to BC 18-17 early in the season as eight-point home underdogs. Toronto is 2-3-1 ATS in six previous road games this season. It is easy to see why this team has only won two games this year. The offense is averaging 19.7 points per game to complement a defense that is ranked last in the league in points allowed (33.0). James Franklin was back under center in Saturday’s loss.
It may be too little, too late, but the Lions have strung together three SU wins. Even after failing to cover against Montreal, they are 5-2 ATS over their last seven outings. The total stayed UNDER 49 points in that latest win and it has now stayed UNDER in BC’s last six contests. Mike Reilly completed 30 of his 34 passing attempts on Saturday for 309 yards and a score. He is currently second in the CFL in total passing yards with 3,615. Reilly has tossed both 15 touchdowns and interceptions this season.
-- BC has won 10 of its last 14 home games against Toronto SU, but the Argonauts have a 4-1 edge ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight matchups in this inter-division tilt.