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CFL Betting Notes - Week 20


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Heading into the stretch run of the CFL regular season, Friday’s betting action started with Montreal squeezing past Toronto 27-24 closing as a heavy 10 ½-point home favorite. Later that night, Saskatchewan kept its West Division title hopes alive with a 27-19 road victory against British Columbia as a 7 ½-point favorite.

The two Saturday games in Week 19 saw Hamilton roll over Ottawa 33-12 to cover as a heavy 17-point home favorite ahead of Calgary’s crucial 37-33 home victory against Winnipeg as a 6 ½-point favorite.

Friday, Oct. 25

Calgary Stampeders (11-5 SU, 5-10-1 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-7 SU, 11-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -2
Total: 48

Game Overview

Calgary comes into the backend of this West Division home-and-home series tied with Saskatchewan for first place in the standings. The Stampeders have won six of their last seven games straight-up with a costly 2-4-1 record against the spread over the same span. Reggie Begelton helped pace Saturday’s win with three catches for touchdowns as part of four receptions on the day for 62 yards. Josh Huff caught six balls for 121 yards as part of Bo Levi Mitchell’s 337 passing yards in that game.


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The loss has Winnipeg eying the third playoff seed in the West with a game and a half lead over Edmonton. The Blue Bombers are limping down the stretch with just two SU wins over their last seven games. They are 6-3 ATS in their last nine contests with the total going OVER in three of their last five games. They are 6-2 ATS this season playing at home. Chris Streveler threw for just 134 yards in Saturday’s loss but he was the team’s leading rusher with 85 yards on 15 carries. Justin Medlock did go 4-for-4 kicking field goals.

Betting Trends

--Calgary has won 20 of its last 24 games against the Blue Bombers SU and it has gone 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine road games against its division rivals. The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 13 meetings in Winnipeg.

Saturday, Oct. 26

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (13-3 SU, 11-4-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats split an early season home-and-home series against Montreal with the home team winning each matchup SU and ATS. They had already clinched the East Division crown but now they have the edge for the best record in the CFL regular season. Hamilton is 5-3 ATS on the road this year and 8-3-1 ATS when closing as a favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in five of its last eight games. Dane Evans had another productive game at quarterback with 452 yards passing and one touchdown throw. He now has 17 touchdown passes on the year.

Montreal is locked in as the No.2 seed in the East Division and it will face a crossover team from the West in the opening round of the playoffs. With Friday’s win, the Alouettes are 6-3 SU in their last nine games with a 5-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests. Vernon Adams Jr. completed 16-of-23 passing attempts for 249 yards and three touchdowns in Montreal’s win against Toronto. Two of those scoring throws came in the fourth quarter to help seal the win.

Betting Trends

--Hamilton has won seven of its last 10 games against Montreal SU and it has a 4-2 edge ATS in the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven matchups between these two East Division rivals.

Ottawa RedBlacks (3-13 SU, 5-11 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (3-13 SU, 7-7-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -5
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks are trying to avoid the season sweep against their East Division rivals after losing the first two games in the series both SU and ATS. The total went OVER in each of those games. They are also trying to snap an extended nine-game losing streak SU with a 2-7 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER in their latest loss and it has stayed UNDER in four of their last five outings. Will Arndt got the call at quarterback against Hamilton and he was held to 112 yards passing while completing 17 of his 30 passing attempts. Brendan Gillanders added 50 yards on the ground as the only Ottawa player to gain yards running the ball.

Toronto is 3-2-1 ATS in its last six games with Friday’s cover. The total has gone OVER in four of those six games. The Argonauts have posted a 2-1-1 record ATS in their last four home games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played at home. McLeod Bethel-Thompson played one of his best games of the season in the losing cause on Friday with 342 yards passing and two touchdown throws. He completed an efficient 77.8 percent of his 45 passing attempts. On the year, he has a CFL-high 24 passing touchdowns against 13 interceptions.

Betting Trends

--With the two wins earlier this season, Toronto is now 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in its last six games against the RedBlacks. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings in the East Division tilt.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (8-8 SU, 5-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -1
Total: 48
Game Overview

Saskatchewan comes into this season-ending home-and-home series against Edmonton with a 5-2 record ATS on the road this season. This will be the first meeting this year between these two West Division foes. The Roughriders have covered in their last four games and they are 9-3 ATS over their past 12 games. Cody Fajardo stayed hot at quarterback in Friday’s win with 224 yards passing and a score while completing 21 of his 26 passing attempts. On the year, he has thrown for 3,873 yards with 16 touchdown throws against eight interceptions.

The Eskimos clinched the final playoff spot heading into last week’s bye with a 19-6 victory against BC as 2 ½-point home underdogs. They have won two of their last three games SU following a four-game losing streak. This was the first time Edmonton covered the spread over its last seven games. It is 3-5 ATS in eight previous home games this season. Defense rose to the occasion against the Lions last time out with backup quarterback Logan Kilgore still struggling to get this offense into the end zone through the air.

Betting Trends

--Edmonton has a slight 6-4 SU edge in what has been a tight series the past few seasons with Saskatchewan 6-4 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of those 10 games and it has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.

  
HEADLINES
· Schwab: Grey Cup Preview
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