2022 Texas Longhorns Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions
2022 TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING ODDS, PREDICTIONS, PREVIEW
Texas is back! We’ve heard that mantra repeated on a somewhat annual basis over the last decade, but the Longhorns have only won 10 games in a season once since 2009. This program has not been the same since Mack Brown was chased out of town in 2013 as both Charlie Strong and Tom Herman have struggled to turn things around.
Steve Sarkisian was supposed to be the latest program changer, but the Longhorns went 5-7 in his first season and failed to make a bowl game after losing at home to lowly Kansas. Texas is still happy with Sark as he has signed promising recruiting classes and brought in stars like Quinn Ewers, yet another underwhelming season will ratchet up his hot seat with the program set to jump to the SEC in a few years.
The Longhorns ranked 29th in Offensive SP+ in 2021. Casey Thompson was solid in his first season as a starting quarterback, but he announced that he was transferring to Nebraska after the Longhorns landed Ewers from Ohio State. Ewers was the No. 1 overall recruit in the Class of 2021, yet he seemed unlikely to get playing time behind C.J. Stroud. That led to him deciding to head back to the Lone Star State, and he is already being billed as the best quarterback in the Big 12 by some analysts.
It's more settled that Bijan Robinson is the best running back in the conference. Robinson was awesome in his second year with the Longhorns, earning First Team All-Big 12 honors. He ran for 1,127 yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 5.8 YPC, and he was the third leading receiver on the team too. Roschon Johnson and Keilan Robinson are both excellent backups, and the offensive line returns three starters from last year and brings in some highly rated recruits.
Ewers will have the Longhorns’ top two pass catchers last season too in Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington. Worthy was a First Team All-Big 12 selection, and Whittington has shown that he can be a big play threat. The receiving corps also added two proven transfers in Wyoming’s Isaiah Neyor and Iowa State’s Tarique Milton to go with former five-star recruit Agiye Hall and tight end Jahleel Billingsley from Alabama.
The problem with Texas last season was the defense. Texas ranked 86th in Defensive SP+, as the Longhorns couldn’t stop the run and opponents picked them apart with the underneath passing game. This defense allowed 5.2 YPC and 202.8 rushing YPG in 2021, and quarterbacks completed 67.6% of their passes against this unit.
Sarkisian hired former TCU head coach Gary Patterson to help fix the defense, but the game may have passed Patterson by given what we saw during his last couple seasons with the Horned Frogs. Seven starters return on this side of the ball, but the only person to get excited about is big nose tackle Keondre Coburn.
This offense will likely be one of the top 20 units in the country, but the defense is a huge concern. We will see both sides of the ball tested early when Texas welcomes Alabama to Austin on September 10, and that game could set the tone for the season. The Crimson Tide have a way of exposing your biggest weaknesses for your future opponents to use as a blueprint, so the Under is the play.
Best Bet: Under 8.5 Wins (-110)
2022 TEXAS LONGHORNS SCHEDULE
- Sat., Sept. 3 - vs. UL-Monroe
- Sat., Sept. 10 - vs. Alabama
- Sat., Sept. 17 - vs. UTSA
- Sat., Sept. 24 - at Texas Tech
- Sat., Oct. 1 - vs. West Virginia
- Sat., Oct. 8 - vs. Oklahoma*
- Sat., Oct. 15 - vs. Iowa State
- Sat., Oct. 22 - at Oklahoma State
- Sat., Nov. 5 - at Kansas State
- Sat., Nov. 12 - vs. TCU
- Sat., Nov. 19 - at Kansas
- Fri., Nov. 25 - vs. Baylor
WIN TOTAL ODDS
- Over 8.5 (-120)
- Under 8.5 (-110)
TEXAS LONGHORNS ODDS TO WIN BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP
If it wasn’t for the brand name, Texas would be around +400 to win the Big 12 given its issues. The Longhorns have real problems on defense, and although Ewers has a lot of hype, he is far from a proven commodity.
TEXAS LONGHORNS ODDS TO WIN NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
There is more value here because of the long odds. Texas is this big of a long shot because the Longhorns have to play Alabama in non-conference play, and we have seen what happens to teams outside the SEC that have to play the Crimson Tide.
TEXAS LONGHORNS 2022 HEISMAN CONTENDERS & ODDS
Bijan Robinson (RB) +2000
Quinn Ewers (QB) +6500
Agiye Hall (WR) +10000
Xavier Worthy (WR) +35000
Neither of the receivers are worth betting at the long odds because this is going to be an offense that attacks defenses in a lot of different ways. There’s a decent chance that no receiver has over 1,000 yards since there are so many talented options, and Robinson will get a ton of carries.
2021 TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING RESULTS
- SU: 5-7
- ATS: 5-7
- O/U: 5-7
- ATS-Home: 4-3
- ATS-Road: 1-4
- ATS-Favorite: 5-3
- ATS-Underdog: 0-4
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