Last Updated Dec 03, 2022, 8:02 PM

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines Picks, Predictions, Odds

What a difference there was in the two divisions of the Big Ten this season. The best teams in the East were both 11-0 and 8-0 in conference games when they met last Saturday to decide which would represent their side in Lucas Oil Stadium. Michigan prevailed and will face Purdue who finished the season with four losses and the same overall record as Illinois but makes it to the championship game based on the better 6-3 record versus other Big Ten teams.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Prediction

Based on what we’ve seen so far this season, there doesn’t look like there’s any way that the Boilermakers can beat Michigan in this one. Of course, when you’re looking for the Big Ten Championship Game best bet, there’s that little thing called the point spread involved in the outcome. In this case, it isn’t a little thing at all. The Wolverines are favored by over two touchdowns and if there’s anything that’ll level the playing field, it’s a 16 ½ point line. Ohio State scored 23 points against Michigan but before that Harbaugh’s team had gone seven straight games allowing 17 points or less.

Score Prediction: Michigan 41, Purdue 13
Best Bet: Michigan -16.5 (-110)

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Odds

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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Resources

  • Date: Saturday, December 3, 2022
  • Matchup: Big Ten
  • Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Time-TV: FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Expert Picks

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis

Purdue had the same exact record last year as they head into Saturday’s showdown trying to win their first conference title since 2000. In 2021 that finish was only good enough for fourth place in the West. This year their offense is averaging over 28 points a game and they’re 21st in passing years with Aidan O’Connell throwing for over 3,100 yards so far including 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

In their last four games, the Boilermakers put up 30 against IU and 31 versus Illinois but totaled only 20 points in the other two. Those were against Northwestern and Iowa, two defenses that will never be confused with Michigan’s. On that side of the ball, Purdue has been outrushed in four of its last five including allowing 215 yards to Indiana.

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Michigan Wolverines Betting Analysis

If you told your sports betting buddies that Michigan was going to beat Ohio State, in the Horseshoe, by 22, as nine-point underdogs, they may have asked you to take a drug test. Piling up over 500 yards of offense isn’t as hard as it sounds when you have two scoring plays of 45 and 69 yards each, another couple that both covered 75 yards, and none of those were even your longest touchdown of the game. That offense is ranked seventh in the nation averaging over 39 points a game, but it may have been their defense that made the loudest statement.

Ohio State had scored 43 points or more in seven of their last eight heading into that contest with TTUN and the Wolverines held them to three points in the second half. Michigan is number two in yards allowed, third in both rushing yards, at less than 85 a game, and points allowed at under 13 each week. The fact that they’re sitting in the second playoff spot for a chance to win their first National Championship since 1997 should help them show up in a game where they’re listed at -905 on the money line.

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