Free Golf Picks & Predictions – Tour Championship
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Free Golf Winner Picks
Tournament winner markets are the most commonly wagered in golf betting, simply selecting a golfer to win the event for very good value. Because the value is so high, many bettors will wager on anywhere from one to five golfers in a single event.
VegasInsider provides Golf Free Picks for each event, picking winners for golfers that are favored, given mid-range odds, or long shots to consider.
Tommy Fleetwood Tournament Winner (+1400)
I'm a firm believer that if you give yourself enough chances, eventually you are going to find your way into the winner's circle. Fleetwood has had some brutal Sundays in his career. The two most recent were blown back-9 leads at the Travelers Championship and the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Perhaps he can learn from the mistakes he made in those events.
Ultimately, this is a 30-man field, and he comes into the event with as good of form as anyone not named Scottie Scheffler. Fleetwood has finished T4 or better in 5 of his last 10 events and is 2nd in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 6 months. He's also an above-average putter with good course history at East Lake. Am I betting on someone who can't win on TOUR? Perhaps, but the same narrative was floating around Cam Young until a few weeks ago.
Viktor Hovland Tournament Winner (+3000)
It feels like we are getting a discount on Hovland this week. He has as good of course history as nearly anyone at East Lake and is coming off a strong T7 finish at the BMW Championship, where he gained 7.5 strokes ball striking. Despite the recent form and course history combo, he's sitting at +3000 in the outright market on FanDuel. He's already won this event (2024) and has already won this year (Valspar Championship). The elephant in the room is Scottie Scheffler winning every other tournament he enters, but I'm hoping we get a mediocre week from Scottie given his subpar course history at East Lake.
Sam Burns Tournament Winner (+3000)
Burns has long been one of the best putters on the PGA TOUR. Over the last 6 months, nobody in this field has gained more strokes putting than Burns. The inconsistency of his results comes from his ball striking. However, over his last 9 events, he has gained off the tee in 7 of them and has gained on approach in 8 of them. The ball striking continues to get better, while the putter has remained hot. He's been in the mix so many times this season, so I'm hoping he can do it again in this small field.
Free Golf Matchup Picks
Keen on one particular golfer outperforming another? Perhaps you’re on the Brooks Koepka team and want to bet against his nemesis, Bryson DeChambeau?
Regardless, VegasInsider provides the best matchup selections for Golf Free Picks.
Instead of picking a tournament winner, bettors will select one specific golfer to finish in a higher position than another specific golfer.
This is known as matchup betting, and our experts provide top analysis on matchups for 72 holes of play or just one round.
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Golf Free Prop Picks
From group bets to nationality winners, even winning stroke margins, there are ample golf prop bets to select from.
Our VegasInsider golf experts go through the various prior markets for each event to find you the best value in exotic wagers.
These bets are only available at bet365, so be sure to claim our bet365 bonus code today and get in on the action!
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Golf Free Picks Offered by VegasInsider
The golf season is in full swing, as the golf Expert Picks feature will be offered on a weekly basis.
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How to Bet on Golf
Golf sports betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.
How Do Golf Odds Work?
The most popular bet in Golf is the “Odds to Win” wager or what some might call a future wager.
Put simply, you just need to pick the overall winner of the tournament. You select any of the golfers in the field and your payout for the bet will depend on the odds given at the time of the wager.
For example, Justin Thomas is listed as a 10/1 betting choice. If you wager $100 on Thomas to win the event and he comes in first, then you would win $1,000 (100 x10).
You would collect $1,100, which includes your win and stake ($100).
How Do you Bet on Golf Matchups?
Matchup betting in golf is just as simplistic as “Odds to Win” wagers.
In this bet, the objective is to select one golfer to finish ahead of another golfer.
Similar to other sports, there is money-line odds associated with each matchup, which means there will always be a favorite and an underdog.
For example, Dustin Johnson (-135) vs. Jason Day (+115) where Johnson is the favorite and Day is the underdog.
In this particular matchup, gamblers looking for a payout of $100 on Dustin Johnson would have to risk $135 to win $100.
Those betting $100 on Jason Day (+115) would earn a payout of $115 if Day finishes ahead of Johnson in the tournament.
To win your matchup wagers, you need the golfer you selected to post a lower score than the opponent selected in the matchups.
Once you're ready to bet on golf matchups, try out our BetMGM bonus code or bet365 bonus code.
How Does Betting the Field in Golf Work?
Many golf events will include a betting selection called the Field.
This bet consists of all golfers not listed in the “Odds to Win.”
The size of golf tournaments vary and it’s rare to see oddsmakers put a price on every ball striker that will tee off.
Golfers who are given the least opportunity to win will be grouped into the “Field” odds and paid out accordingly if they win.
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