Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 5 Picks, Odds | Western Conference Finals

The conference round of the NBA Playoffs continues with one standalone matchup on Thursday night, and it could potentially be the last of the series, as Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 5 tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Wolves are 4.5-point favorites on the spread in Thursday's contest contest, while the total is set at over/under 209.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals between the Mavs and T-Wolves -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for Thursday, May 30.

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves Odds

DAL @ MIN Odds

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves Picks & Prediction

The Timberwolves finally earned their first win of this series in the latest meeting between these teams, as the Mavericks still enter Game 5 with a commanding 3-1 lead over the Wolves. However, this is a much different series if you trim off the final 12 minutes of each contest.

The Wolves have either led, or the score has been tied, entering the fourth quarter of all three matchups in this series. They led by a score of 83-82 heading into the final stanza of Game 1; they led by a score of 86-79 in Game 2; the score was tied at 87-87 in Game 3; and then led by a score of 78-73 on the way to their first victory of the series in Game 4.

The absence of Dereck Lively down low was clearly a factor for Dallas in Game 4, as it forced the Mavs to play Daniel Gafford over 31 minutes after averaging 23.6 minutes in the first three games of the series – while filling in the gaps with Maxi Kleber, who missed the entire OKC series (and the first three games of this series) with a shoulder injury.

However, at the risk of oversimplifying the product of a really fascinating matchup, the first four games of this series have primarily boiled down to which team’s stars shined brightest in crunch time. In the fourth quarters of the first three matchups of this series, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving combined for a total of 58 points on 18-of-32 (56.3%) from the field and 9-of-13 (69.2%) from 3-point range to help seal the deal for the Mavs in a trio of highly competitive battles they won by an an average margin of 4.3 points per victory.

While contrarily, the Wolves faded away late in those three contests. They scored only 64 points (as an entire team) in the fourth quarters of the first three games of the series, while shooting 24-of-55 (43.6%) from the field and 8-of-26 (30.8%) from long range in those pivotal 36 minutes of play.

Late in Game 4, however, the Wolves finally managed to flip the script, as Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Rudy Gobert combined for 24 points on 9-of-17 (52.9%) from the field in the fourth quarter of Tuesday’s contest – while this time around, the Mavs disappeared into the night, as the entire team scored only 27 points on 10-of-23 (43.5%) from the floor and 3-of-12 from 3-point range on the way to a 5-point home loss.

Not to pat myself on the back, but I picked Dallas to win this series from the start, and I highly doubt we’ll see Minnesota become the first team in NBA history to advance after trailing 3-0. However, the Wolves (-170) were originally favored to win this series for a reason – and as previously mentioned, they have either led, or the score has been tied, entering the fourth quarter of all three matchups in this series. 

So far though, the differentiating factor in this series has been the Mavs’ duo of cold-blooded killers capable of finishing big games in clutch time. But for the vast majority of this series, these teams have been very evenly matched. So, as the motivation scales remain tilted toward Minnesota on the verge of elimination, I expect to see this young Wolves team feed off the energy of the home crowd and flex some beer-muscles early in a return home in Game 5, especially after dropping their first two home games of the series by a combined total of four points (Game 1 - 108-105, Game 2 - 109-108).

The crunch-time numbers in the first three games of the series still worry me though. So, I’m not going to touch the full game line. I’ll lay the points with Minnesota on the first half spread in Game 5.

Pick: Timberwolves 1H -2.5 (-110)

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Thursday, May 30
Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
Venue: Target Center
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Time-TV: TNT, 8:30 p.m. ET

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Betting Stats

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +450
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks from VegasInsider Senior Reporter Patrick Everson!

5) Dallas Mavericks
(1st Place, Southwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +240
  • Odds to Win Conference: -600
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 48-34
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 117.9
  • OPPG: 115.6

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