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Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Picks, Odds | Western Conference Finals

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read

The conference round of the NBA Playoffs continues with one standalone matchup on Tuesday night, and it could potentially be the last of the series, as Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Mavs are 2.5-point favorites on the spread in Tuesday's contest contest, while the total is set at over/under 210 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Mavericks and T-Wolves -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for Tuesday, May 28.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Odds

MIN @ DAL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -118 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -108 -0.5 -102 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o104 -110 N/A o103.5 -115 o104 -110 o104.5 -107 o103.5 -110 o103.5 -115 o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u104 -110 N/A u103.5 -115 u104 -110 u104.5 -122 u103.5 -110 u103.5 -115 u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A -105 -105 -102 -108 -110 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A -115 -125 -118 -118 -110 N/A -118  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +2 -110 N/A N/A N/A +1.5 -129 N/A N/A +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -2 -110 N/A N/A N/A -1.5 -103 N/A N/A -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o107.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A o106.5 -120 N/A N/A o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u107.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A u106.5 -112 N/A N/A u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A N/A N/A N/A even -106 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A N/A N/A N/A -127 -114 N/A -118  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -125 +0.5 -115 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -110 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 +0.5 -121 +0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o52.5 -110 N/A N/A o52.5 even o52.5 -112 o51.5 -120 o52.5 -110 o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u52.5 -110 N/A N/A u52.5 -120 u52.5 -117 u51.5 -104 u52.5 -120 u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A -105 -110 -102 -118 -122 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A -120 -120 -118 -108 -100 N/A -118  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -125 +0.5 -112 +1.5 -141 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -105 -0.5 -108 -1.5 +108 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o51.5 -115 N/A N/A o51.5 -110 o51.5 -120 o51.5 -120 o51.5 -105 o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u51.5 -115 N/A N/A u51.5 -110 u51.5 -112 u51.5 -106 u51.5 -120 u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A N/A N/A -108 even -100 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A N/A N/A -112 -127 -122 N/A -118  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -115 N/A +0.5 -125 +0.5 -108 +1.5 -136 +0.5 -114 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -115 N/A -0.5 -105 -0.5 -112 -1.5 +104 -0.5 -106 -0.5 -110 -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o54 -115 N/A N/A o54.5 -102 o53.5 -114 o53.5 -113 o53.5 -105 o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u54 -115 N/A N/A u54.5 -118 u53.5 -117 u53.5 -113 u53.5 -125 u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A N/A -115 +102 +102 -104 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A N/A -125 -122 -130 -118 N/A -118  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -125 -0.5 -105 -1.5 +120 -0.5 -100 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -105 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -157 +0.5 -122 -0.5 -105 -1.5 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
o209.5 -110 o54 -115 N/A N/A o53.5 -105 o53.5 -109 o53.5 +108 o53.5 -110 o211 -110  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
u209.5 -110 u54 -115 N/A N/A u53.5 -115 u53.5 -122 u53.5 -138 u53.5 -115 u211 -110  
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves 507 Timberwolves
+134 N/A N/A -110 -118 -113 -112 N/A -100  
Dallas Mavericks 508 Mavericks
-158 N/A N/A -120 -102 -113 -110 N/A -118  

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Timberwolves vs Mavericks Picks & Prediction

The Mavericks enter Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals with a 3-0 series lead over Minnesota. However, don’t be fooled by the steep overall deficit. These two teams are very evenly matched, and now it’s desperation-time for the Timberwolves with Minnesota officially on the brink of elimination. 

It may be too late for the Wolves to come back and win the series, given the way the first three games unfolded in crunch time. But, this Minnesota squad plays with a ton of pride, and the back-and-forth nature of all three matchups leads me to believe a temporary swing in motivation between these two teams may move the needle enough for the Wolves to get over the hump in a game or two with Dallas boasting a comfortable three-game lead.

The score was neck-and-neck entering the fourth quarter of all three matchups. The Wolves led by a score of 83-82 with 12 minutes left to play in Game 1; they led by a score of 86-79 in Game 2; and the score was tied at 87-87 entering the fourth quarter of Game 3. However, it all boils down to this: the Mavericks have a duo of cold-blooded killers in closing time capable of finishing big games, while the Wolves are clearly still a young, work-in-progress.

In the fourth quarters of the first three matchups of this series, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving combined for a total of 58 points on 18-of-32 (56.3%) from the field and 9-of-13 (69.2%) from 3-point range to help seal the deal for the Mavs in a trio of highly competitive battles they won by an an average margin of 4.3 points per victory. While contrarily, the Wolves faded away late in those contests. They scored only 64 points (as an entire team) in the fourth quarters of the first three games of the series, while shooting 24-of-55 (43.6%) from the field and 8-of-26 (30.8%) from long range in those pivotal 36 minutes of play, which has been the only real edge Dallas in this matchup, despite the gap appearing quite big at the moment.

Not to pat myself on the back, but I picked Dallas to win this series from the start, and I highly doubt we’ll see Minnesota become the first team in NBA history to come from behind to advance after trailing 3-0. However, the Wolves (-170) were originally favored to win this series for a reason, and they’ve proven they can hang with Dallas deep into games. They just haven’t been able to seal the deal in crunch time. 

So, with that in mind, I’m going to back Minnesota to win the first half of Tuesday’s contest. The Wolves have either led, or the score has been tied, entering the fourth quarter of all three matchups in this series – and while I still don’t quite trust them to steal one on the road, I expect to see another strong, early effort from Minnesota in a desperate attempt to avoid a sweep in Game 4.

Pick: Timberwolves 1H ML (+105)

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Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Tuesday, May 28
Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
Venue: American Airlines Center
Location: Dallas, TX
Time-TV: TNT, 8:30 p.m. ET

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Betting Stats

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +4100
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1400
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks from VegasInsider Senior Reporter Patrick Everson!

5) Dallas Mavericks
(1st Place, Southwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +185
  • Odds to Win Conference: -3500
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 48-34
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 117.9
  • OPPG: 115.6

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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