Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 14:03 PM
CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
Week 11 Betting Recap
For the second week in a row, the underdogs in the CFL were the best bet against the spread at 3-1. Edmonton got things going last Thursday in a 25-24 loss to Hamilton as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. In Friday’s action, Montreal pulled off the straight-up upset with a last-second 25-22 victory against Toronto as a five-point underdog at home.
Saturday’s doubleheader of games got underway with Calgary bouncing back from last week’s unexpected loss with a solid 39-26 victory over Winnipeg as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Week 11 closed things out with Saskatchewan squeezing past British Columbia 24-21 after closing as a 2 ½-point road underdog.
Friday, Aug. 31
Montreal Alouettes (2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -13
Total: 51 ½
Montreal snapped a straight-up six-game losing streak with last Friday night’s upset and it has now covered in it last three games. The total stayed UNDER 52 ½-points against the Argonauts and it has stayed UNDER in six of the Alouettes’ first 10 contests. The quarterback situation in Montreal has been an issue all year long, but the offense has found some better consistency over the past two weeks with Antonio Pipkin as the starter. He has completed 63.2 percent of his 57 passing attempts for 520 yards.
The RedBlacks come off a Week 11 bye with a two-game lead over Hamilton in the East. They beat Montreal 24-17 on Aug. 11, but could not cover the heavy 14-point spread at home. Ottawa also won the first meeting early in the season 28-18 as a 7 ½-point road favorite. The total stayed UNDER in each of those two wins. Trevor Harris is third in the CFL in passing with 2,735 yards through nine starts.
-- Ottawa has won the last five meetings SU and it has a 5-1 edge ATS in its last six games against Montreal. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five matchups in the East Division clash.
Sunday, Sept. 2
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-5 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 54 ½
The Blue Bombers have lost their last two outings both SU and ATS coming into the first game of this West Division home-and-home clash. The total has gone OVER in both of those setbacks with the defense allowing a combined 83 points. Winnipeg is still the highest scoring team in the league with an average of 31.5 points through its first 10 games to help take the total OVER in seven of those outings.
Saskatchewan did what it had to do to get past BC last week and it has strung together four victories in its last six games both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 50 ½-points against the Lions after it had gone OVER in three of its previous four games. One of the big reasons for the recent success has been the elevated play of Zach Collaros at quarterback. He thrown for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns in five starts this year.
-- The Roughriders have covered ATS in six of their last nine home games against Winnipeg and the total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in Saskatchewan.
Monday, Sept. 3
Edmonton Eskimos (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
The Eskimos have a golden opportunity to make things interesting out West over the next two weeks in this home-and-home series. Edmonton has a pair of losses (SU and ATS) in its last three games and concerns with a shaky defense have once gain plagued this team. The defense is allowing an average of 24.7 points per game and that average as crept up to 26.7 points in the last three contests.
Calgary quickly got back to its winning ways following a stunning loss to Saskatchewan in Week 10. With the 13-point victory against the Blue Bombers, the Stampeders have won seven of eight games by double figures. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games with an average of 31.8 points scored after it had stayed UNDER in their first five contests this season.
-- Calgary has a 9-1 SU record in its last 10 games against the Eskimos at home and it has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings on its home field. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings overall.
Toronto Argonauts (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Toronto has turned to McLeod Bethel-Thompson has its new starting quarterback. Heading into the second half of the season, it decided to add veteran wide receiver Duron Carter to the mix after he was recently released by Saskatchewan. The Argonauts are going to need all the help they can get coming off that unexpected loss to Montreal. Bethel-Thompson did throw for 296 yards and one touchdown in last Friday’s game.
The Tiger-Cats are 2-4 SU in their last six games with a costly 1-4-1 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their first nine games heading into the opener of this East Division home-and-home tilt. Hamilton is an even 2-2 SU at home this season and it has failed to cover in three of those four games. In last Thursday’s squeaker against the Eskimos, Jeramiah Masoli put the ball up 44 times with 27 completions for 419 yards and one score. He was also picked off twice.
-- Hamilton has a SU 7-3 edge over Toronto in the last 10 meetings of this East Division matchup and it has gone 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games between the two. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups.