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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 14:02 PM

CFL Betting Recap - Week 12

Editor's Note: Don't miss Winning Picks from Joe Williams for the 2018 CFL regular season. Click to Win!

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 12
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 12
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 12
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 12
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12

Analysis

Montreal (3-8) made another change under center this week, as head coach Mike Sherman stuck with QB Antonio Pipkin in Friday's 21-11 win at Ottawa (6-4). QB Johnny Manziel (concussion) cleared the concussion protocol, but Sherman stuck with Pipkin after his big performance in the previous game. Pipkin led the Als to a season-high second straight win, and they have now covered four in a row. Perhaps the biggest reason for the win streak is improvement on defense, allowing just 16.5 points per game (PPG) over the past two outings. They'll have two weeks to sort out their offense with a bye in Week 13.

The RedBlacks managed just 11 points in the loss, their second-lowest performance of the season. Ottawa entered averaged 24.0 PPG in their four previous home outings. After an opening game cover at home, the RedBlacks are 0-4 ATS across their past four at home.

It was a close shave for total bettors in Winnipeg (5-6)-Saskatchewan (6-4). The Roughriders vaulted into sole possession of second place with their victory, a half-game clear of Edmonton (6-5). The game appeared to be on the way to an 'under' (52) results, with 37 points on the through three quarters. The Riders were clinging to a 24-23 lead before Nick Marshall punched in a 1-yard touchdown run with just 66 seconds left, flipping the total from an under to over result. It also changed the side result, as the Bombers were covering the 3 1/2-point number for nearly the entire game.

The Bombers opened the season 5-2 ATS through their first seven outings, but they're 0-4 ATS across the past four. The 'over' has hit in a season-high three in a row for Winnipeg, and is 8-3 overall on the season. The bombers will look for revenge at home in Manitoba on Saturday in the second end of the home-and-home.

The Riders have covered three in a row and they have won a season-best three in a row. They have seen an uptick in offense, averaging 31.7 PPG over the three-game span.

Toronto (3-7) continues to struggle, as Hamilton (5-5) dropped the Argos 42-28. The Argos have allowed 38 or more points in four of their past six, as defense continues to turn good results into bad ones. The Argos were actually winning this won 28-24 heading to the final 15 minutes, but the defense failed when the visitors needed them most.

The Ti-Cats opened the season 2-4 SU/ATS, but they have rattled off victories in three of the past four while also going 3-1 ATS. They have picked up the pace on offense, rolling up 35.0 PPG across the past four after averaging just 21.8 PPG across their first six. It was a rare 'over' results, as the 'under' was 6-2-1 in Hamilton's first nine contests.

Calgary (9-1) slipped by their provincial rivals from Edmonton, 23-20. However, after opening the season 4-0 ATS, the Stamps are now just 2-4 ATS across the past six. These two rivals will have a quick turnaround, facing each other again on Saturday night.

Joe Williams can be followed on Twitter at JoeWilliamsVI.



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