Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:01 AM
CFL Betting Notes - Week 21
Calgary may still have the best record in the CFL, but it heads into the final week of the regular season on a straight-up three-game losing streak after falling to Winnipeg 29-21 on Friday night as a 3 ½-point road underdog.
In the first of two Saturday games, Ottawa tripped up Hamilton 3013 as a 4 ½-point road underdog to sweep the home-and-home series while also locking up the East Division title. Saskatchewan remained in the hunt for the division title in the West with a 35-16 victory against British Columbia as a 4 ½-point home favorite.
Week 20 wrapped things up on Sunday with Montreal playing its best game of the season in a 40-10 victory against Toronto as a rare three-point home favorite.
Friday, Nov. 2
Toronto Argonauts (4-13 SU, 6-11 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -7
Total: 53 ½
The Argonauts have finally gotten to the point they are just phoning it in after giving up 40 points to the worst offense in the league. One score was actually recorded by Montreal’s defense, but at this point does it really matter. They have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games with the total going OVER in six of the last eight outings.
Ottawa has little to play for in this regular-season finale after winning the East to secure a first round bye in the playoffs. The RedBlacks head into the postseason with some solid momentum after going 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games, including that impressive sweep over Hamilton the last two weeks. Trevor Harris had another big day in Saturday’s win with 267 yards passing and three touchdown throws.
-- Ottawa has covered in six of its last nine home games against Toronto while also going 6-3 SU. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.
Saturday, Nov. 3
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-7 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -5
The Blue Bombers eliminated Edmonton from the playoffs with Friday’s win against Calgary. They also extended their current winning streak to five games both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the five victories. Matt Nichols played one of his best games of the season at just the right time with 358 yards passing and two scoring strikes against the Stampeders.
Coming off a Week 20 bye, the Eskimos can point to a 1-4 slide both SU and ATS in their previous five games as the main reason why their season will come to an end after this game. They could also point to an offense that ran out of steam down the stretch with 15 points or less in three of its last five contests. Mike Reilly still leads the CFL in total passing yards (5,242).
-- The first two games of this season series was split with the road team winning SU. Winnipeg covered in both contests as part of a 4-1 record ATS in its last five games against the Eskimos. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in Edmonton.
Montreal Alouettes (4-13 SU, 10-7 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-9 SU, 7-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -6
Alouettes’ fans have to be happy that another dismal season finally comes to an end. Other than this Sunday’s win, it has been a very hard campaign to endure with an offense that has averaged 18.5 points per game. With three different players under center on Sunday, Montreal gained 246 yards through the air to complement a ground game that racked up 180 yards on 24 carries.
The Tiger-Cats cannot be all too happy with 2-4 (SU and ATS) slide in their last six games, but they can still rest their starters if they want ahead of next week’s home game in the first round of the playoffs. The total stayed UNDER 53 ½ points in Saturday’s loss to Ottawa after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in Hamilton’s previous seven games. It went OVER 50 ½ points in a 50-11 road win against Montreal as a seven-point favorite on Aug. 3.
-- The Tiger-Cats have gone 12-2 SU in their last 14 home games against Montreal and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Hamilton.
Calgary Stampeders (12-5 SU, 8-9 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (9-8 AU, 10-7 ATS)
A second-straight season-ending collapse has bettors questioning the value in betting with the Stampeders as the top team in the league. After losing their final three games last season (SU and ATS), they are 0-3 SU in their last three outings this time around with a costly 2-6 mark ATS over their last eight games. They still need to win on Saturday to win the West and earn a first round bye.
The Lions’ loss to Saskatchewan on Saturday snapped a SU three-game winning streak. After failing to cover in that game, they are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total ended as a PUSH on a closing line of 51 points and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of BC’s last 12 games. Travis Lulay turned in a dismal performance on Saturday with 94 yards passing and two interceptions while completing just nine of his 20 passing attempts.
-- The Stampeders have won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but this season’s series has been evenly split SU with each team winning once in Calgary. The Lions covered in both games with the total staying UNDER each time as well.