Betting Recap – Week 10
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
League Betting Notes
This Week
-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 10
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 10
Year To Date
-- Favorites are 27-12 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 21-18 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 24-15 SU overall
-- Road teams are 20-18 ATS overall
-- The 'Under' is 22-17 overall
Analysis
Winnipeg (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) was able to double up the lowly BC Lions (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS), 32-16. After failing to cover in each of the past three, the Blue Bombers were able to cover for the first time since Week 6. They’re a perfect 5-0 SU at home while covering in all but one of those contests. The under has hit in three of those five outings at home, including their Week 10 victory against BC.
For the Lions, they have really struggled both straight-up and against the number. They have allowed 32 or more points in each of the past five outings, with the over going 3-1 in the past four. BC has covered just twice in nine outings this season, and they haven’t covered in consecutive games. They’re 2-4 ATS in six road games this season, and 0-3 SU/ATS at home.
On Friday, Edmonton (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) was able to get back on track against struggling Toronto (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS). The Eskimos posted the 41-26 victory, winning consecutive games straight-up for just the second time this season. Their over result was a rarity for the league’s No. 1 defense, as the under was 6-0 entering play.
For the struggling Argonauts, they’ve won just one of their eight outings overall, although they’re a respectable 3-3 ATS over the past six. They hang their hats on the fact the offense is finally starting to click a little bit, especially against some of the CFL’s upper-echelon teams. Toronto averaged just 12.5 points per game (PPG) in their first six outings, all losses, while averaging 27.0 PPG in the past two weeks against Winnipeg and Edmonton. As such, the over has cashed in consecutive games for the Argos for the first time this season.
Hamilton (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) was able to post the impressive 21-7 road victory at Ottawa (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) to keep a little distance between the top two and bottom two teams in the East. The Tabbies have won two in a row, and four of the past five, and they haven’t lost consecutive games straight-up this season. The ‘under’ has hit in four of the past five, too. The favorable schedule continues, as they travel to meet the lowly Lions next week.
Montreal (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) was angry after that ridiculous Week 9 weather-shortened loss. They took out their frustrations on Calgary (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS), who have been very ordinary this season. The Alouettes snapped a two-game losing streak and non-cover straight. The Als have allowed 29 or more points in five of their eight contests overall. For the Stamps, they have managed 23 or more points in three straight, and eight of nine overall.Team Betting Notes
-- Winnipeg and Edmonton kick off Week 11 on Friday night at Commonwealth Stadium. The Bombers enter 19-8 ATS in the past 27 against winning teams, 12-5 ATS in the past 17 overall and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 vs. West. They’re also 22-10 ATS in the past 32 road contest.
-- The Esks have posted just two victories in the past seven against winning teams. They’re 0-5 ATS in the past five following a cover while going 1-12 ATS in the past 13 in Week 11. They’re also 2-5 ATS in the past seven tries against the Bombers.
-- Ottawa enters the new week having over 28 of their past 39 on the road as they travel to Regina to battle the Roughriders. Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Saskatchewan, while the over is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Regina, and 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.
-- The Riders have been hot against the number lately, going 5-2 ATS in the past seven at home, 5-2 ATS in the past seven against losing teams and 4-0 ATS in the past four overall. They’re also 4-0 ATSA in the past four following a bye. The under is 5-1-1 in the past seven at home for the Riders. However, the over is 4-0 in their past four after a bye, 5-0 in the past five meetings in Saskatchewan and 4-1 in the past five in this series overall.
-- Hamilton and BC hook up in Vancouver at Saturday night. The Lions limp in 2-10 ATS in the past 12 overall, 1-5 ATS in the past six against winning teams and 0-4 ATSA in the past four at home. However, they’re 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. HAM, while the over is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings overall in this series, and 9-1 in the past 10 battles in the Pacific Northwest.
-- We haven’t had a Sunday battle in a while, but Montreal and Toronto square off at high noon in Hogtown in Week 11. The Als are 10-2 ATS in the past 12 on the road, while going 10-3 ATS in the past 13 overall and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 vs. East. For Toronto, they have failed to cover eight in a row against the East while going 3-9 ATS in the past 12 overall. In this series, the Alouettes have covered 19 of the past 26 trips to Toronto, while cashing in five of the past seven. The under is 18-7-1 in the past 26 meetings in this series, and 7-2 in the past nine in Toronto.
-- The Alouettes look to rebound after a difficult loss against the Roughriders last week in that weather-shortened game. They face a tough trip to Calgary. Montreal is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 road games, while connecting in eight of their past 10 against winning teams.
-- The Stamps are 1-4 ATS in the past five against losing teams, and 1-5 ATS in the past six following a straight-up loss. However, they're 24-7-1 ATS in the past 32 games in the month of August. The under has been the way for both teams lately, going 10-4 in Montreal's past 14 road games, and 5-1 in the past six overall for Calgary. In this series, the under is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings, including 4-1 in the past five in Calgary. Montreal has covered eight of the past nine meetings with Calgary, too.
Joe Williams can be followed on Twitter at JoeWilliamsVI .
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