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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:48 PM

Indiana vs. Illinois Predictions, Odds


  • December 26, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

A big game in the Big Ten sees the Indiana Hoosiers visit the Illinois Fighting Illini.Tip for the rivalry game is set for 4:00 p.m. (ET) at the State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois.

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WHERE TO BET INDIANA-ILLINOIS

Indiana-Illinois Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Illinois -6
  • Money-Line: Illinois -286 Indiana +220
  • Total: 145.5

Odds Subject to Change

Illinois enters this pivotal home game as the favorite, given a -6-point spread against Archie Miller's Indiana Hoosiers. The point total is set at 145.5, something Illinois goes OVER on more times than not.

Illinois has actually gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine games this season, while Indiana is 3-5 on the O/U. The Hoosiers have covered the spread in six of their last eight games this season, while Illinois is 5-4 ATS.

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Betting Analysis – Indiana Hoosiers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-3
  • ATS: 6-2
  • SU - Home: 3-2
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 3-5

This is going to be a tough game for Indiana to win, playing on the road against a rival that is better in terms of talent. The Hoosiers can more than hold their own however, if that wasn't apparent with their solid 6-2 ATS record this season. Indiana has lost three games SU this season, all against formidable opponents.

Indiana lost to both Texas and FSU on a neutral court, before dropping a surprising game to Northwestern. Typically, a loss to Northwestern would raise concerns but the Wildcats just beat Michigan State. Sophomore Trayce Jackson-Davis will need to continue carrying this team if they want to pull out the road upset.

Jackson-Davis averages over 20 points per game for the Hoosiers, while also leading the team in rebounding with 8.6 per game. This team cleans up well on the glass, as Armaan Franklin, Race Thompson and Aljami Durham average 4.3 rebounds or more per game.

In terms of what Indiana can control to win this game, they need to limit second-chance points for Illinois. The Hoosiers have the 77th-most defensive rebounds in the nation (219) and the 21st-most blocked shot attempts (40). If Indiana can get a solid performance from Jackson-Davis, while also team rebounding off missed and blocked Illinois shot attempts, then they have a chance to sneak away from Champaign with a win.

Indiana will need help though, specifically from Illinois' Wooden Award candidates in Ayo Dosunmu and Kofi Cockburn. The Hoosiers will need to lock these two down or hope for abysmal performances if they wish to pull off the upset. If Dosunmu and Cockburn are on their games, it will be tough for Indiana to win, even if they out-rebound the Fighting Illini and limit second-chance scoring.

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